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Could The Market Be Wrong About D.R. Horton, Inc. (NYSE:DHI) Given Its Attractive Financial Prospects?

Could The Market Be Wrong About D.R. Horton, Inc. (NYSE:DHI) Given Its Attractive Financial Prospects?

鑒於其吸引人的財務前景,紐交所:D.R. Horton,Inc. (NYSE:DHI)的市場評估可能錯誤嗎?
Simply Wall St ·  06/05 21:37

It is hard to get excited after looking at D.R. Horton's (NYSE:DHI) recent performance, when its stock has declined 5.3% over the past three months. But if you pay close attention, you might gather that its strong financials could mean that the stock could potentially see an increase in value in the long-term, given how markets usually reward companies with good financial health. In this article, we decided to focus on D.R. Horton's ROE.

看了D.R.霍頓房屋(NYSE:DHI)的近期表現,股價在過去三個月下跌了5.3%,讓人難以感到興奮。但是,如果您仔細觀察,您可能會發現其強大的財務狀況意味着該股票在長期內潛在地可能會增值,因爲市場通常會獎勵擁有良好財務健康狀況的公司。在本文中,我們決定關注D.R.霍頓房屋的roe。

Return on Equity or ROE is a test of how effectively a company is growing its value and managing investors' money. In other words, it is a profitability ratio which measures the rate of return on the capital provided by the company's shareholders.

淨資產收益率(ROE)是衡量公司增值和管理投資者資金有效性的測試。換句話說,它是一種盈利能力比率,用於衡量公司股東提供的資金回報率。

How To Calculate Return On Equity?

如何計算股東權益報酬率?

ROE can be calculated by using the formula:

淨資產收益率可以使用以下公式進行計算:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

淨資產收益率 = 淨利潤(從持續經營中獲得)÷ 股東權益

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for D.R. Horton is:

因此,根據以上公式,D.R.霍頓房屋的ROE爲:

21% = US$5.0b ÷ US$24b (Based on the trailing twelve months to March 2024).

21%= 50億美元÷ 240億美元(基於2024年3月的過去十二個月)。

The 'return' is the income the business earned over the last year. Another way to think of that is that for every $1 worth of equity, the company was able to earn $0.21 in profit.

“回報”是公司在過去一年中賺取的收入。換句話說,對於每美元的股權,公司能夠賺取0.21美元的利潤。

What Has ROE Got To Do With Earnings Growth?

ROE與盈利增長有什麼關係?

So far, we've learned that ROE is a measure of a company's profitability. Based on how much of its profits the company chooses to reinvest or "retain", we are then able to evaluate a company's future ability to generate profits. Generally speaking, other things being equal, firms with a high return on equity and profit retention, have a higher growth rate than firms that don't share these attributes.

到目前爲止,我們已經了解了ROE是衡量公司盈利能力的一種指標。根據公司選擇重新投資或“保留”的利潤數量,我們能夠評估公司未來產生利潤的能力。一般而言,其他條件相等的情況下,具有高股東回報率和利潤保留能力的公司比不具備這些屬性的公司具有更高的增長率。

A Side By Side comparison of D.R. Horton's Earnings Growth And 21% ROE

D.R.霍頓房屋的收益增長和21%的ROE的對比

At first glance, D.R. Horton seems to have a decent ROE. Further, the company's ROE compares quite favorably to the industry average of 15%. This certainly adds some context to D.R. Horton's exceptional 24% net income growth seen over the past five years. We believe that there might also be other aspects that are positively influencing the company's earnings growth. For instance, the company has a low payout ratio or is being managed efficiently.

乍一看,D.R.霍頓房屋的ROE似乎還不錯。此外,該公司的ROE與行業平均水平相比非常有優勢,爲15%。這無疑爲D.R.霍頓房屋在過去五年中出色的24%淨利潤增長增添了一些上下文。我們認爲,還可能有其他方面對公司的收益增長產生了積極影響。例如,公司的支付比率較低或者公司管理效率高。

As a next step, we compared D.R. Horton's net income growth with the industry and found that the company has a similar growth figure when compared with the industry average growth rate of 24% in the same period.

接下來,我們將D.R.霍頓房屋的淨利潤增長與行業進行了比較,發現該公司的增長數據與相同時期的行業平均增長率24%相當。

past-earnings-growth
NYSE:DHI Past Earnings Growth June 5th 2024
NYSE:DHI過去的利潤增長率截至2024年6月5日

The basis for attaching value to a company is, to a great extent, tied to its earnings growth. It's important for an investor to know whether the market has priced in the company's expected earnings growth (or decline). By doing so, they will have an idea if the stock is headed into clear blue waters or if swampy waters await. Is DHI fairly valued? This infographic on the company's intrinsic value has everything you need to know.

對於公司的價值附加值的基礎,在很大程度上與其收益增長有關。投資者知道市場是否已經定價了公司預期的收益增長(或下降)是很重要的。這樣做,他們將有一個想法,股票是朝着清晰的藍水還是等待泥潭走去。DHI是否公允價值?公司內在價值的這張信息圖表將爲您提供一切所需。

Is D.R. Horton Making Efficient Use Of Its Profits?

D.R.霍頓房屋是否有效利用其利潤?

D.R. Horton's three-year median payout ratio to shareholders is 6.9%, which is quite low. This implies that the company is retaining 93% of its profits. So it looks like D.R. Horton is reinvesting profits heavily to grow its business, which shows in its earnings growth.

D.R.霍頓房屋向股東的三年間中值支付比率爲6.9%,相當低。這意味着公司保留了93%的利潤。因此,看起來像D.R.霍頓房屋正在大量重新投資利潤以促進業務增長,這反映在其收益增長中。

Moreover, D.R. Horton is determined to keep sharing its profits with shareholders which we infer from its long history of paying a dividend for at least ten years. Our latest analyst data shows that the future payout ratio of the company is expected to rise to 8.5% over the next three years. Regardless, the ROE is not expected to change much for the company despite the higher expected payout ratio.

此外,我們可以從D.R.霍頓房屋至少10年的現金股息歷史來推斷,該公司決定繼續與股東分享其利潤。我們最新的分析數據顯示,未來三年該公司的支付比率有望升至8.5%。儘管預計支付比率將更高,ROE預計不會對該公司產生太大變化。

Conclusion

結論

Overall, we are quite pleased with D.R. Horton's performance. Specifically, we like that the company is reinvesting a huge chunk of its profits at a high rate of return. This of course has caused the company to see substantial growth in its earnings. That being so, a study of the latest analyst forecasts show that the company is expected to see a slowdown in its future earnings growth. Are these analysts expectations based on the broad expectations for the industry, or on the company's fundamentals? Click here to be taken to our analyst's forecasts page for the company.

總的來說,我們對D.R.霍頓房屋的業績非常滿意。具體來說,我們喜歡該公司以高利率重新投資其巨額利潤的方式。當然,這導致公司的收益增長顯著。最新的分析預測研究表明,該公司未來的收益增長將會減緩。這些分析師的預期基於行業的宏觀預期還是基於公司的基本面?單擊此處以訪問我們的分析師預測頁面。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對本文有反饋?關於內容有所顧慮?直接和我們聯繫。或者,發送電子郵件至editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com。
這篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,只使用公正的方法論,我們的文章並不意味着提供任何金融建議。文章不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也不考慮您的目標或您的財務狀況。我們的目標是帶給您基本數據驅動的長期關注分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St沒有任何股票頭寸。

譯文內容由第三人軟體翻譯。


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