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Is Kirby (NYSE:KEX) A Risky Investment?

Is Kirby (NYSE:KEX) A Risky Investment?

卡比海運(紐交所:KEX)是否是一項風險投資?
Simply Wall St ·  06/03 18:35

David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. Importantly, Kirby Corporation (NYSE:KEX) does carry debt. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

卡比海運(NYSE:KEX)在股市分析師中的評價一直很高。大家多次一起分析這個公司,一直在研究它的資產和負債表以確定它的風險。企業債務或許是企業倒閉的罪魁禍首,所以從這個角度看卡比海運的風險也是不可避免的。但是至關重要的是確定卡比海運的債務水平是否使得該公司的風險加大。

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

債務帶來了什麼風險?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

公司債務只有在公司無法輕鬆償還它時才會成爲真正的問題,要麼通過提高資本或者通過自己的現金流。在最壞的情況下,公司無法償還債權人,可以破產。尤其是負債的公司被迫以低於市場價格的價格籌集資本,會壓縮股東的利益,這通常會看到債務導致公司的股東永久性稀釋。當然,負債可以成爲企業的重要工具,尤其是在資本密集型企業中。當我們考慮公司負債水平時的第一步是考慮其現金和債務之間的關係。

How Much Debt Does Kirby Carry?

卡比海運的負債總額約爲10.6億美元,與去年大致相同。然而,由於其有7,520萬美元的現金儲備,因此其淨債務規模較小,約爲9.852億美元。

The chart below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Kirby had US$1.06b in debt in March 2024; about the same as the year before. However, because it has a cash reserve of US$75.2m, its net debt is less, at about US$985.2m.

紐交所(KEX)的債務和權益歷史圖表於2024年6月3日。

debt-equity-history-analysis
NYSE:KEX Debt to Equity History June 3rd 2024
卡比海運的資產負債表顯示有6.504億美元的負債在未來一年內到期,191億美元的負債在那之後到期。此外,其有7.52億美元的現金和價值585.1million美元的應收賬款在12個月內到期。因此,其負債總額比其現金和短期應收款項的總和高出19億美元。

How Strong Is Kirby's Balance Sheet?

卡比海運(紐交所KEX)的資產負債表體現其強健的資產負債狀況。

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Kirby had liabilities of US$650.4m falling due within a year, and liabilities of US$1.91b due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of US$75.2m as well as receivables valued at US$585.1m due within 12 months. So its liabilities total US$1.90b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

卡比海運的負債總額約爲10.6億美元,與去年大致相同,其中6.5億美元的負債將於2024年到期。此外,卡比海運有75.2million美元的現金和短期應收款項。因此,其負債總額比其現金和短期應收款項的總和高出19億美元。但是,由於卡比海運有一個市值達72.4億美元的市場,所以即使需要,它也可以通過籌集資金來加強其資產負債表。今天我們想看一下它的負債是否帶來了過多的風險。

While this might seem like a lot, it is not so bad since Kirby has a market capitalization of US$7.24b, and so it could probably strengthen its balance sheet by raising capital if it needed to. But we definitely want to keep our eyes open to indications that its debt is bringing too much risk.

我們通過將公司的淨債務除以息稅折舊及攤銷前利潤(EBITDA)並計算其利息費用的盈利前利潤(EBIT)來相對於其收益能力衡量企業的債務負擔。這種方法的優點是我們既考慮了債務的絕對量(net debt to EBITDA)還考慮到了與該債務相關的實際利息費用(interest cover ratio)。

We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).

卡比海運的淨債務爲1.7倍EBITDA,這表明它很好地利用了債務。 同時,EBIT利息覆蓋(7.3倍)也證明卡比海運的利潤完全足以支付管理費和計息費。此外,卡比海運過去12個月EBIT增長了64%,這種增長將使其更容易處理其債務。通過財務報表,我們確信該公司對債務的運用是明智的。然而,確保公司未來的盈利能力才是最終關鍵,這將決定卡比海運能否逐漸加強其資產負債表。此外,自由現金流還將幫助我們檢查公司的出現的任何偏離預期的現金流。

Kirby's net debt of 1.7 times EBITDA suggests graceful use of debt. And the alluring interest cover (EBIT of 7.3 times interest expense) certainly does not do anything to dispel this impression. On top of that, Kirby grew its EBIT by 64% over the last twelve months, and that growth will make it easier to handle its debt. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Kirby can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

比較EBITDA淨負債比,即網負債與EBITDA相除,以衡量企業的財務穩定性。卡比海運的淨負債爲1.7倍EBITDA,這表明它很好地利用了債務。卡比海運的利息保障倍數是非常優秀的,達到了7.3倍,這表明卡比海運的利潤完全可以支付管理費和計息費。此外,卡比海運過去12個月EBIT增長了64%,這種增長將使其更容易處理其債務。沒有排除了這種假象。

Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So we always check how much of that EBIT is translated into free cash flow. Over the most recent three years, Kirby recorded free cash flow worth 61% of its EBIT, which is around normal, given free cash flow excludes interest and tax. This cold hard cash means it can reduce its debt when it wants to.

卡比海運的自由現金流(Earnings Before Interest, Tax, Depreciation and Amortization)相當可觀,佔其EBIT的61%,這意味着卡比海運可以用其可自由支配現金流來減輕其負債。卡比海運財務增長速度較快 ,這意味着它在管理其負債方面具有上風。

Our View

我們的觀點

Happily, Kirby's impressive EBIT growth rate implies it has the upper hand on its debt. And its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow is good too. When we consider the range of factors above, it looks like Kirby is pretty sensible with its use of debt. While that brings some risk, it can also enhance returns for shareholders. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For example - Kirby has 1 warning sign we think you should be aware of.

綜上所述,卡比海運在運用債務方面非常明智。雖然這帶來了一些風險,但也爲股東帶來了更高的回報。分析負債要考慮的關鍵領域是資產負債表。但是,並不是所有投資風險都表現爲負債 - 大多數投資風險都表現爲市場風險,需要通過多種不同的方式來衡量。例如,卡比海運有1個警告,我們認爲您應該了解。

Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.

當然,如果您是那種喜歡購買沒有負債負擔的股票的投資者,則今天就可以發現我們的獨家淨現金增長股清單。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對本文有反饋?關於內容有所顧慮?直接和我們聯繫。或者,發送電子郵件至editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com。
這篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,只使用公正的方法論,我們的文章並不意味着提供任何金融建議。文章不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也不考慮您的目標或您的財務狀況。我們的目標是帶給您基本數據驅動的長期關注分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St沒有任何股票頭寸。

譯文內容由第三人軟體翻譯。


以上內容僅用作資訊或教育之目的,不構成與富途相關的任何投資建議。富途竭力但無法保證上述全部內容的真實性、準確性和原創性。
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