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These 4 Measures Indicate That Hillenbrand (NYSE:HI) Is Using Debt Extensively

These 4 Measures Indicate That Hillenbrand (NYSE:HI) Is Using Debt Extensively

這4項指標表明希倫布蘭德(紐約證券交易所代碼:HI)正在廣泛使用債務
Simply Wall St ·  05/31 18:27

Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. As with many other companies Hillenbrand, Inc. (NYSE:HI) makes use of debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

傳奇基金經理李錄(得到了查理·芒格的支持)曾經說過:“最大的投資風險不是價格的波動性,而是您是否會遭受永久性的資本損失。”考慮一家公司有多大的風險時,考慮到債務常常與業務崩潰有關,查看其資產負債表才是合理的。與許多其他公司一樣,希倫布蘭德有限公司(NYSE:HI)利用債務。但更重要的問題是:這筆債務創造了多少風險?

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

債務帶來了什麼風險?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

債務是幫助企業成長的工具,但是如果一個企業無法償還其債權人的債務,則該企業存在於債權人的掌控之下。如果情況變得嚴重,債權人可以接管企業。雖然這種情況並不太常見,但我們經常見到負債累累的公司因爲債權人強迫他們以困境價格籌集資本而永久性地稀釋股東權益。話雖如此,最常見的情況是企業合理地管理其債務 - 並對其自身有利。考慮企業運用多少債務時,首先要做的是查看其現金和債務的總和。

How Much Debt Does Hillenbrand Carry?

希倫布蘭德承擔了多少債務?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at March 2024 Hillenbrand had debt of US$2.11b, up from US$1.31b in one year. However, it does have US$224.4m in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about US$1.88b.

下面的圖表是關於2024年3月希倫布蘭德負債爲21.1億美元,一年之內從13.1億美元增長。另一方面,它有2.244億美元的現金抵銷,從而導致淨負債約爲18.8億美元。

debt-equity-history-analysis
NYSE:HI Debt to Equity History May 31st 2024
NYSE:HI資產負債歷史記錄2024年5月31日

How Strong Is Hillenbrand's Balance Sheet?

我們最近的資產負債表顯示,希倫布蘭德的負債在一年內到期的是12.1億美元,長期負債是26.8億美元。相應的,希倫布蘭德有2.244億美元的現金和6.782億美元的應收款項,這些應收款項在12個月內到期。因此,它的負債合計超過現金和短期應收款項,達到29.9億美元。

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Hillenbrand had liabilities of US$1.21b falling due within a year, and liabilities of US$2.68b due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had US$224.4m in cash and US$678.2m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling US$2.99b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

相對於其市值達到32.2億美元,這種赤字相當可觀,因此它確實表明股東應該關注希倫布蘭德的債務使用情況。這表明,如果公司需要急於彌補其資產負債表,股東的權益將被大幅稀釋。

This deficit is considerable relative to its market capitalization of US$3.22b, so it does suggest shareholders should keep an eye on Hillenbrand's use of debt. This suggests shareholders would be heavily diluted if the company needed to shore up its balance sheet in a hurry.

希倫布蘭德的債務是其EBITDA的3.5倍,而其EBIT覆蓋利息開支是3.9倍。綜合考慮,這意味着,雖然我們不希望看到債務水平上升,但我們認爲它可以處理其當前的槓桿比率。簡單點說,值得注意的是,希倫布蘭德去年的EBIT增長了23%。如果該增長能夠持續下去,這種債務就像自然界中的一滴飲用水一樣會蒸發。毫無疑問,我們從資產負債表中了解到債務方面的大多數內容。但是未來利潤,而不是任何其他方面,將決定希倫布蘭德保持健康資產負債表的能力。因此,如果您關注未來,您可以查看這份免費報告,其中顯示了分析師的利潤預測。

We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).

卡比海運的淨債務爲1.7倍EBITDA,這表明它很好地利用了債務。 同時,EBIT利息覆蓋(7.3倍)也證明卡比海運的利潤完全足以支付管理費和計息費。此外,卡比海運過去12個月EBIT增長了64%,這種增長將使其更容易處理其債務。通過財務報表,我們確信該公司對債務的運用是明智的。然而,確保公司未來的盈利能力才是最終關鍵,這將決定卡比海運能否逐漸加強其資產負債表。此外,自由現金流還將幫助我們檢查公司的出現的任何偏離預期的現金流。

Hillenbrand's debt is 3.5 times its EBITDA, and its EBIT cover its interest expense 3.9 times over. Taken together this implies that, while we wouldn't want to see debt levels rise, we think it can handle its current leverage. On a lighter note, we note that Hillenbrand grew its EBIT by 23% in the last year. If sustained, this growth should make that debt evaporate like a scarce drinking water during an unnaturally hot summer. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Hillenbrand's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

最後,一家公司只能用現金而不是會計利潤來償還債務。所以我們總是要檢查多少EBIT轉化爲自由現金流。在過去的三年中,希倫布蘭德的自由現金流佔其EBIT的31%,少於我們預期。這種弱的現金轉化率使其更難處理負債。希倫布蘭德的總負債和淨負債與EBITDA的比值確實令人擔憂。但好消息是它似乎能以容易的方式增長其EBIT。當我們考慮到所有討論的因素時,我們認爲希倫布蘭德在債務使用方面存在一些風險。因此,雖然這種槓桿比率的確提高了股東的回報,但我們並不希望看到它從這裏上升。資產負債表顯然是分析債務時需要關注的領域。但是,並非所有的投資風險都存在於資產負債表中。警告的例子:我們發現希倫布蘭德存在4個可能致命缺陷,其中有1個可能非常嚴重。

Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So we always check how much of that EBIT is translated into free cash flow. In the last three years, Hillenbrand's free cash flow amounted to 31% of its EBIT, less than we'd expect. That weak cash conversion makes it more difficult to handle indebtedness.

最後,一家公司只能用現金而不是會計利潤來償還債務。所以我們總是要檢查多少EBIT轉化爲自由現金流。在過去的三年中,希倫布蘭德的自由現金流佔其EBIT的31%,少於我們預期。這種弱的現金轉化率使其更難處理負債。

Our View

我們的觀點

Hillenbrand's level of total liabilities and net debt to EBITDA definitely weigh on it, in our esteem. But the good news is it seems to be able to grow its EBIT with ease. When we consider all the factors discussed, it seems to us that Hillenbrand is taking some risks with its use of debt. So while that leverage does boost returns on equity, we wouldn't really want to see it increase from here. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. Case in point: We've spotted 4 warning signs for Hillenbrand you should be aware of, and 1 of them is potentially serious.

希倫布蘭德的總負債和淨債務與EBITDA的比率顯然對其造成了壓力。但好消息是,它似乎能夠輕鬆地增長其EBIT。當我們考慮到所有討論的因素時,我們認爲希倫布蘭德在債務使用方面存在一些風險。因此,雖然這種槓桿比率的確提高了股東的回報,但我們並不希望看到它從這裏上升。資產負債表顯然是分析債務時需要關注的領域。但是,並非所有的投資風險都存在於資產負債表中。警告的例子:我們發現希倫布蘭德存在4個可能致命缺陷,其中有1個可能非常嚴重。如果您專注未來,可以查看這個免費的報告,其中顯示了分析師的利潤預測。

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

如果您有興趣投資能夠在不負債的情況下增長利潤的企業,請查看這份免費列表,其中列出了在資產負債表上擁有淨現金的成長型企業。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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這篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,只使用公正的方法論,我們的文章並不意味着提供任何金融建議。文章不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也不考慮您的目標或您的財務狀況。我們的目標是帶給您基本數據驅動的長期關注分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St沒有任何股票頭寸。

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