FUTU Morning Post

Futu Morning Post | Nvidia's Empty Raid! Middle East business may be restricted; two major indices were “frozen” intraday, traders say there was little impact

Futu News · May 31 08:03

热点要闻

美联储“三把手”：货币政策处于正确位置

美联储威廉姆斯表示，目前的货币政策处于让通胀率回到2%的正确位置，但这番话没有暗示他认为美联储何时能够降息。“过去一年的经济表现提供了充分证据，表明货币政策在某种程度上是限制性的，有助于我们实现目标，”威廉姆斯称。“我认为目前的货币政策立场有利于继续我们在实现目标方面取得的进展。”他补充说，美联储政策制定者“将继续关注整体数据，以便做出政策决定，确保通胀可持续地回到2%，同时保持强劲的劳动力市场。”

美国一季度GDP和PCE增速双双大幅下修，经济放缓、通胀降温

美国一季度GDP和PCE增速双双大幅下修，为美联储年内降息争取了更多空间。5月30日，美国商务部发布的修正数据显示，美国第一季度实际GDP年化季环比增速为1.3%，较初值1.6%下修0.3个百分点，较去年四季度的3.4%大幅放缓。经济增速下调，主要是因为消费支出低于预期。通胀方面，核心PCE价格指数年化季环比增长3.6%，较初值3.7%下修0.1个百分点，较去年四季度2%大幅增长。

交易员称标普500指数报价故障影响甚微

美东时间周四上午，美国最大的股指实时报价停更持续了近80分钟，不过个股报价保持正常，因此此次停更对交易员影响有限。根据标普道琼斯指数，由于数据发布问题，标普500指数报价于美东时间上午10：41停止更新，报价更新于中午之前恢复。道琼斯工业平均指数也遇到了同样的问题，不过其早几分钟恢复。此外，个股和ETF、包括跟踪标普500指数的最大规模ETF，一直正常报价。

高盛谈“商品5D牛市”，继续看好金铜今年上涨、油价震荡

“大宗商品旗手”高盛再度唱多商品，5D牛市趋势带来了结构性机会，金、铜今年将继续大涨。高盛在5月29号的报告中指出，由于工业金属和黄金的结构性上涨、稳健的需求增长以及石油地缘政治风险溢价的下降，仍然选择性地看涨大宗商品，预计2024年总回报率将从13%上升至18%。

34项重罪指控成立，特朗普成首位被判有罪的美国前总统

当地时间5月30日，负责美国前总统特朗普“封口费”案的陪审团成员作出裁决，宣判特朗普在此案中的34项伪造商业记录的重罪指控全部成立。纽约州检察官指控，特朗普2016年竞选美国总统期间，委托科亨向艳星丹尼尔斯（本名斯蒂芬妮·克利福德）支付13万美元“封口费”，以免后者声称2006年与特朗普有染的桃色丑闻影响选情；特朗普后续伪造商业记录，以“律师费”名义分期返还科亨垫付款项，以掩盖其违反纽约州和联邦选举法规的行为。根据此前的报道，陪审团必须在此案中做出一致决定。

美股复盘

美股三大指数集体收跌，惠普大涨超17%

美股三大指数集体收跌，道指跌0.86%，纳指跌1.08%，标普500指数跌0.6%，热门科技股多数下跌，英伟达、微软跌超3%，谷歌跌超2%，特斯拉涨超1%。

惠普涨超17%，创最近十一年最大单日涨幅。赛富时跌近20%，公司Q2营收增长指引首次跌至个位数。

热门中概股普涨，纳斯达克中国金龙指数涨1.37%。蔚来涨超9%，哔哩哔哩、小鹏汽车涨超5%，微博涨超4%，京东涨超3%，理想汽车、腾讯音乐涨超2%。

英伟达收跌3.77%，美国限制英伟达和AMD向中东销售AI芯片

英伟达收跌3.77%。消息上，据外媒援引知情人士，美国官员已经放慢了向$英伟达 (NVDA.US)$和$美国超微公司 (AMD.US)$等芯片制造商发放向中东地区大批量出口AI加速器的许可证，与此同时官员们正在对该地区的人工智能开发进行国家安全评估。知情人士称，目前尚不清楚评估需要多长时间，怎样才算大批量出口也没有具体定义。

科技巨头成立联盟，制定AI加速器连接标准，挑战英伟达

$英特尔 (INTC.US)$、$谷歌-A (GOOGL.US)$、$微软 (MSFT.US)$、$Meta Platforms (META.US)$以及其他科技巨头周四宣布成立一个新的行业组织——“Ultra Accelerator Link (UALink) 推广组”，意在制定行业标准，领导数据中心中AI加速器芯片之间连接组件的发展，挑战英伟达在AI加速器一家独大的地位。分析认为，英伟达目前已提供互联技术，加上霸主地位稳固，目前英伟达没有动机也没有必要参与该联盟。

传特斯拉FSD软件即将在中国注册并进行内部测试

有报道称，$特斯拉 (TSLA.US)$即将在中国注册其全自动驾驶软件(FSD)。据知情人士透露，如果特斯拉成功向中国工业和信息化部注册FSD软件，特斯拉员工可以在中国的公共道路上进行FSD的内部测试。报道称，特斯拉的下一步计划是在今年晚些时候向中国客户提供FSD升级服务。此外，有消息称，特斯拉可能在中国以订阅形式销售FSD软件。

戴尔一季度AI服务器收入创新高，但盈利承压未能打动投资者，盘后跌近18%

$戴尔科技 (DELL.US)$尽管戴尔总营收和分项业务收入都超预期，总收入为两年来首度同比增长，AI服务器的积压订单高达38亿美元或季环比增长30%，但调整后EPS盈利同比下滑，无法满足投资者对其AI业务寄予的厚望。不过，戴尔在指引中上调了全年收入与AI服务器业务的销售预期。

亚马逊迈出关键一步！FAA允许其送货无人机超视距飞行

$亚马逊 (AMZN.US)$宣布，联邦监管机构已给予亚马逊关键许可——超视距飞行(BVLOS)，允许其扩大无人机送货业务。亚马逊在官网介绍称，美国联邦航空管理局(FAA)已批准亚马逊Prime Air送货无人机的超视距飞行，从而消除了一个阻止其无人机飞行更远距离的障碍。不过，目前亚马逊无人机送货业务仍然受到很多限制。FAA发言人表示，该批准适用于德克萨斯州的大学城，亚马逊于2022年底在那里推出了无人机送货服务。

苹果计划对Siri进行全面改革

$苹果 (AAPL.US)$计划对Siri进行全面改革，让用户更好地控制应用程序，这将是其重新进军人工智能领域的核心内容，苹果希望夺回亚马逊Alexa和谷歌助手的地盘。

Gap盘后暴涨超23%，上调全年销售和运营利润展望

$Gap Inc (GPS.US)$美股盘后暴涨超23%。Gap一季度EPS为0.41美元。一季度净销售34亿美元，分析师预期32.8亿美元。一季度总体可比销售增长3%，分析师预期增长0.91%。一季度毛利润率41.2%，分析师预期38.5%。一季度Old Navy同店销售增长3%，分析师预期增长2.5%。上调全年销售和运营利润展望。

港市前瞻

北水加仓腾讯超8亿港元，继续抛售盈富基金近14亿港元

5月30日（周四），南下资金净买入港股44.02亿港元。

$腾讯控股 (00700.HK)$、$工商银行 (01398.HK)$、$中国银行 (03988.HK)$分别获净买入8.33亿港元、6.76亿港元、3.71亿港元；$盈富基金 (02800.HK)$、$美团-W (03690.HK)$分别遭净卖出13.68亿港元、9,284万港元。

今日关注

关键词：美国核心PCE物价指数年率；中国官方制造业PMI

周五，经济数据方面，美国将公布4月核心PCE物价指数年率、4月个人支出月率、5月芝加哥PMI等；中国将公布5月官方制造业PMI等；中国香港将公布4月货币供应M3年率、4月零售销售量年率、4月零售销售额年率等。

财经事件方面，FOMC永久票委、纽约联储主席威廉姆斯在纽约经济俱乐部发表讲话，2024年FOMC票委、亚特兰大联储主席博斯蒂克发表讲话，2026年FOMC票委、达拉斯联储主席洛根发表讲话。

新股方面，$汽车街 (02443.HK)$将于港交所上市。

牛牛晨读：

与众人反向而行需要勇气。事实是，这世界上从不曾有哪个人是只靠“从众”而成功的。
——吉姆·罗杰斯

编辑/new

Hot news

The Federal Reserve's “Big Three”: Monetary Policy Is in the Right Position

Federal Reserve Bank Williams said that the current monetary policy is in the right position to return the inflation rate to 2%, but this statement does not suggest when he thinks the Fed will be able to cut interest rates. “The economic performance over the past year provides sufficient evidence that monetary policy is somewhat restrictive and helps us achieve our goals,” Williams said. “I think the current monetary policy stance is conducive to continuing the progress we have made in achieving our goals.” He added that Fed policymakers “will continue to look at overall data in order to make policy decisions to ensure a sustainable return to 2% inflation while maintaining a strong labor market.”

The US GDP and PCE growth rates were both drastically lowered in the first quarter, and the economy slowed down and inflation cooled

The US GDP and PCE growth rates were both drastically reduced in the first quarter, making more room for the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates during the year. On May 30, revised data released by the US Department of Commerce showed that the US real GDP annualized quarterly growth rate for the first quarter was 1.3%, down 0.3 percentage points from the initial value of 1.6%, and a sharp decline from 3.4% in the fourth quarter of last year. The decline in economic growth is mainly due to lower consumer spending than expected. In terms of inflation, the core PCE price index increased 3.6% quarterly, down 0.1 percentage points from the initial value of 3.7%, and a sharp increase from 2% in the fourth quarter of last year.

Traders say the S&P 500 quote failure had little impact

On Thursday morning EST, the real-time price of the largest US stock index stopped for nearly 80 minutes, but individual stock prices remained normal, so the impact of this suspension on traders was limited. According to the S&P Dow Jones Index, due to data release issues, the S&P 500 index price stopped being updated at 10:41 a.m. EST, and the price update resumed before noon. The Dow Jones Industrial Average experienced the same problem, but it recovered a few minutes earlier. Furthermore, individual stocks and ETFs, including the largest ETF that tracks the S&P 500 index, have always been quoted normally.

Goldman Sachs talks about the “5D commodity bull market” and continues to be optimistic that gold and copper will rise this year and oil prices will fluctuate

Goldman Sachs, the “commodity standard-bearer”, is once again singing multiple commodities. The 5D bull market trend has brought structural opportunities, and gold and copper will continue to rise sharply this year. Goldman Sachs pointed out in its May 29 report that due to structural increases in industrial metals and gold, steady demand growth, and falling oil geopolitical risk premiums, the overall return is expected to rise from 13% to 18% in 2024.

34 felony charges were established, and Trump became the first former US president to be convicted

On May 30, local time, members of the jury in charge of the “sealing fee” case of former US President Trump handed down a verdict, verifying Trump's 34 felony charges of falsifying business records in this case. New York state prosecutors alarmed that during Trump's 2016 US presidential campaign, he commissioned Cohen to pay actor Daniels (real name Stephanie Clifford) a “seal fee” of $130,000 to prevent the latter from claiming that the peach-colored scandal with Trump in 2006 affected the election; Trump subsequently falsified business records and returned Cohen advance payments in installments under the name of “attorney fees” to cover up his violation of New York State and federal election regulations. According to previous reports, the jury must make a unanimous decision in this case.

Resumption of US stock trading

The three major US stock indices collectively closed down, and HP surged more than 17%

The three major US stock indices collectively closed down. The Dow fell 0.86%, the NASDAQ fell 1.08%, and the S&P 500 index fell 0.6%. Most popular technology stocks fell, Nvidia and Microsoft fell more than 3%, Google fell more than 2%, and Tesla rose more than 1%.

HP rose more than 17%, the biggest one-day increase in the last 11 years. Safez fell nearly 20%, and the company's Q2 revenue growth guide fell to single digits for the first time.

Popular Chinese securities generally rose, and the Nasdaq China Golden Dragon Index rose 1.37%. NIO rose more than 9%, Bilibili and Xiaopeng Motors rose more than 5%, Weibo rose more than 4%, JD rose more than 3%, and Ideal Auto and Tencent Music rose more than 2%.

Nvidia closed down 3.77%, and the US restricted Nvidia and AMD from selling AI chips to the Middle East

Nvidia closed down 3.77%. According to the news, according to foreign media quoting people familiar with the matter, US officials have already slowed down$NVIDIA (NVDA.US)$und$Advanced Micro Devices (AMD.US)$While chipmakers are issuing licenses to export AI accelerators in large quantities to the Middle East, officials are conducting a national security assessment of artificial intelligence development in the region. People familiar with the matter said that it is currently unclear how long the assessment will take, and there is no specific definition of what qualifies as a mass export.

Tech giants form an alliance to set AI accelerator connectivity standards to challenge Nvidia

$Intel (INTC.US)$,$Alphabet-A (GOOGL.US)$,$Microsoft (MSFT.US)$,$Meta Platforms (META.US)$Other tech giants announced on Thursday the establishment of a new industry organization, the “Ultra Accelerator Link (UALink) Promotion Group”, which aims to set industry standards, lead the development of connecting components between AI accelerator chips in data centers, and challenge Nvidia's dominant position as an AI accelerator. Analysts believe that Nvidia has now provided connectivity technology. Coupled with its stable dominance, Nvidia currently has no motive or need to participate in this alliance.

Rumor has it that Tesla FSD software will soon be registered and tested internally in China

According to some reports,$Tesla (TSLA.US)$It will soon register its fully automated driving software (FSD) in China. According to people familiar with the matter, if Tesla successfully registers FSD software with China's Ministry of Industry and Information Technology, Tesla employees can conduct internal FSD tests on public roads in China. The report said that Tesla's next plan is to provide FSD upgrade services to Chinese customers later this year. Furthermore, according to some sources, Tesla may sell FSD software in the form of a subscription in China.

Dell's AI server revenue reached a record high in the first quarter, but profit pressure failed to impress investors, falling nearly 18% after the market

$Dell Technologies (DELL.US)$Although Dell's total revenue and segment revenue both exceeded expectations. Total revenue increased year over year for the first time in two years. The backlog of AI server orders reached 3.8 billion US dollars or increased 30% from quarter to quarter, but adjusted EPS profits declined year over year, unable to meet investors' high expectations for its AI business. However, in the guidelines, Dell raised revenue and sales expectations for the AI server business for the full year.

Amazon has taken a critical step! FAA allows its delivery drone to fly beyond sight

$Amazon (AMZN.US)$It was announced that federal regulators have granted Amazon a key license — Over-the-Line Flight (BVLOS) — to expand its drone delivery business. According to Amazon's official website, the US Federal Aviation Administration (FAA) has approved the Amazon Prime Air delivery drone to fly beyond the line of sight, thus removing an obstacle preventing its drone from flying longer distances. However, at present, Amazon's drone delivery business is still subject to many restrictions. An FAA spokesperson said the approval applies to University City, Texas, where Amazon launched a drone delivery service at the end of 2022.

Apple plans to completely overhaul Siri

$Apple (AAPL.US)$The plan is to comprehensively reform Siri to give users better control over the app. This will be the core content of its re-entry into the field of artificial intelligence. Apple hopes to take back the seat of Amazon Alexa and Google Assistant.

Gap surged more than 23% after the market, raising sales and operating profit forecasts for the whole year

$Gap Inc (GPS.US)$US stocks surged more than 23% after the market. Gap's Q1 EPS was $0.41. Net sales for the first quarter were $3.4 billion, and analysts expected $3.28 billion. Overall comparable sales increased by 3% in the first quarter, and analysts expect an increase of 0.91%. The gross profit margin for the first quarter was 41.2%, and analysts expected 38.5%. Old Navy's same-store sales increased 3% in the first quarter, and analysts expect a 2.5% increase. The full-year sales and operating profit outlook was raised.

Hong Kong Market Outlook

Beishui added more than HK$800 million and continued to sell off Yingfu Fund for nearly HK$1.4 billion

On May 30 (Thursday), Southbound made a net purchase of HK$4.402 billion in Hong Kong stocks.

$TENCENT (00700.HK)$,$ICBC (01398.HK)$,$BANK OF CHINA (03988.HK)$Received net purchases of HK$833 million, HK$676 million and HK$371 million respectively;$TRACKER FUND OF HONG KONG (02800.HK)$,$MEITUAN-W (03690.HK)$Net sales were HK$1,368 million and HK$92.84 million respectively.

Today's attention

Keywords：US core PCE price index annual rate; China official manufacturing PMI

On Friday, in terms of economic data, the US will announce the April core PCE price index, April monthly personal spending rate, Chicago PMI for May, etc.; China will announce the May official manufacturing PMI, etc.; Hong Kong, China will announce the April M3 rate of money supply, the annual retail sales volume rate for April, and the annual retail sales rate for April.

In terms of financial events, FOMC Permanent Voting Committee and New York Federal Reserve Chairman Williams delivered a speech at the New York Economic Club; 2024 FOMC Voting Committee and Atlanta Federal Reserve Chairman Bostic delivered a speech; and 2026 FOMC Voting Committee and Dallas Federal Reserve Chairman Logan delivered a speech.

In terms of new shares,$AUTOSTREETS (02443.HK)$It will be listed on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange.

Futubull Chen read:

It takes courage to go against the crowd. The truth is, no one in this world has ever succeeded by “following the crowd” alone.
— Jim Rogers

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