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Is Abbott Laboratories (NYSE:ABT) A Risky Investment?

Is Abbott Laboratories (NYSE:ABT) A Risky Investment?

雅培實驗室(紐約證券交易所代碼:ABT)是一項風險投資嗎?
Simply Wall St ·  05/23 23:18

Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We can see that Abbott Laboratories (NYSE:ABT) does use debt in its business. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

傳奇基金經理李露(由查理·芒格支持)曾經說過:“最大的投資風險不是價格的波動,而是你是否會遭受永久的資本損失。”當我們思考一家公司的風險有多大時,我們總是喜歡考慮其債務的用途,因爲債務過載可能導致破產。我們可以看到,雅培實驗室(紐約證券交易所代碼:ABT)確實在其業務中使用了債務。但更重要的問題是:這筆債務會帶來多大的風險?

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

債務會帶來什麼風險?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

債務爲企業提供幫助,直到企業難以用新資本或自由現金流還清債務。如果情況變得非常糟糕,貸款人可以控制業務。但是,更常見(但仍然令人痛苦)的情況是它必須以低價籌集新的股權資本,從而永久稀釋股東。當然,許多公司使用債務爲增長提供資金,而不會產生任何負面後果。在考慮企業使用多少債務時,要做的第一件事是將現金和債務放在一起考慮。

What Is Abbott Laboratories's Net Debt?

雅培實驗室的淨負債是多少?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that Abbott Laboratories had US$14.7b of debt in March 2024, down from US$17.0b, one year before. However, because it has a cash reserve of US$6.65b, its net debt is less, at about US$8.05b.

你可以點擊下圖查看歷史數字,但它顯示雅培實驗室在2024年3月的債務爲147億美元,低於一年前的170億美元。但是,由於其現金儲備爲66.5億美元,其淨負債較少,約爲80.5億美元。

debt-equity-history-analysis
NYSE:ABT Debt to Equity History May 23rd 2024
紐約證券交易所:ABT 債務與股本比率歷史記錄 2024 年 5 月 23 日

How Healthy Is Abbott Laboratories' Balance Sheet?

雅培實驗室的資產負債表有多健康?

According to the last reported balance sheet, Abbott Laboratories had liabilities of US$14.0b due within 12 months, and liabilities of US$19.4b due beyond 12 months. Offsetting this, it had US$6.65b in cash and US$6.61b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling US$20.2b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

根據上次報告的資產負債表,雅培實驗室的負債爲140億美元,12個月後到期的負債爲194億美元。與此相抵消的是,它有66.5億美元的現金和66.1億美元的應收賬款將在12個月內到期。因此,它的負債總額比其現金和短期應收賬款的總和多出202億美元。

Since publicly traded Abbott Laboratories shares are worth a very impressive total of US$179.1b, it seems unlikely that this level of liabilities would be a major threat. Having said that, it's clear that we should continue to monitor its balance sheet, lest it change for the worse.

由於公開交易的雅培實驗室股票總價值爲1791億美元,非常可觀,因此這種負債水平似乎不太可能構成重大威脅。話雖如此,很明顯,我們應該繼續監控其資產負債表,以免情況惡化。

We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.

我們使用兩個主要比率來告知我們相對於收益的債務水平。第一個是淨負債除以利息、稅項、折舊和攤銷前的收益(EBITDA),第二個是其利息和稅前收益(EBIT)覆蓋其利息支出(或簡稱利息保障)的多少倍。這樣,我們既考慮債務的絕對數量,也考慮爲債務支付的利率。

Abbott Laboratories has a low net debt to EBITDA ratio of only 0.78. And its EBIT covers its interest expense a whopping 27.3 times over. So you could argue it is no more threatened by its debt than an elephant is by a mouse. But the other side of the story is that Abbott Laboratories saw its EBIT decline by 7.8% over the last year. That sort of decline, if sustained, will obviously make debt harder to handle. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Abbott Laboratories's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

雅培實驗室的淨負債與息稅折舊攤銷前利潤的比率很低,僅爲0.78。其息稅前利潤覆蓋了高達27.3倍的利息支出。因此,你可以爭辯說,它受到債務的威脅並不比大象受到老鼠的威脅更大。但故事的另一面是,雅培實驗室的息稅前利潤比去年下降了7.8%。這種下降如果持續下去,顯然會使債務更難處理。資產負債表顯然是分析債務時需要關注的領域。但是,未來的收益將決定雅培實驗室未來維持健康資產負債表的能力。因此,如果你想看看專業人士的想法,你可能會發現這份關於分析師利潤預測的免費報告很有趣。

Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So the logical step is to look at the proportion of that EBIT that is matched by actual free cash flow. Over the most recent three years, Abbott Laboratories recorded free cash flow worth 80% of its EBIT, which is around normal, given free cash flow excludes interest and tax. This cold hard cash means it can reduce its debt when it wants to.

最後,公司只能用冷硬現金償還債務,不能用會計利潤償還債務。因此,合乎邏輯的步驟是研究息稅前利潤與實際自由現金流相匹配的比例。在最近三年中,雅培實驗室記錄的自由現金流佔其息稅前利潤的80%,鑑於自由現金流不包括利息和稅收,這幾乎是正常的。這種冷硬現金意味着它可以在需要的時候減少債務。

Our View

我們的觀點

The good news is that Abbott Laboratories's demonstrated ability to cover its interest expense with its EBIT delights us like a fluffy puppy does a toddler. But truth be told we feel its EBIT growth rate does undermine this impression a bit. We would also note that Medical Equipment industry companies like Abbott Laboratories commonly do use debt without problems. Looking at the bigger picture, we think Abbott Laboratories's use of debt seems quite reasonable and we're not concerned about it. After all, sensible leverage can boost returns on equity. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. These risks can be hard to spot. Every company has them, and we've spotted 1 warning sign for Abbott Laboratories you should know about.

好消息是,雅培實驗室表現出的用息稅前利潤支付利息支出的能力使我們感到高興,就像毛茸茸的小狗對待幼兒一樣。但說實話,我們認爲其息稅前利潤增長率確實稍微削弱了這種印象。我們還要指出,像雅培實驗室這樣的醫療設備行業公司通常會毫無問題地使用債務。從大局來看,我們認爲雅培實驗室對債務的使用似乎相當合理,我們對此並不擔心。畢竟,合理的槓桿可以提高股本回報率。資產負債表顯然是分析債務時需要關注的領域。但歸根結底,每家公司都可以控制資產負債表之外存在的風險。這些風險可能很難發現。每家公司都有它們,我們發現了一個你應該知道的雅培實驗室警告標誌。

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

如果你有興趣投資能夠在沒有債務負擔的情況下增加利潤的企業,請查看這份資產負債表上有淨現金的成長型企業的免費清單。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對這篇文章有反饋嗎?對內容感到擔憂?直接聯繫我們。 或者,給編輯團隊 (at) simplywallst.com 發送電子郵件。
Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。

譯文內容由第三人軟體翻譯。


以上內容僅用作資訊或教育之目的,不構成與富途相關的任何投資建議。富途竭力但無法保證上述全部內容的真實性、準確性和原創性。
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