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The Five-year Shareholder Returns and Company Earnings Persist Lower as Hello Group (NASDAQ:MOMO) Stock Falls a Further 6.3% in Past Week

The Five-year Shareholder Returns and Company Earnings Persist Lower as Hello Group (NASDAQ:MOMO) Stock Falls a Further 6.3% in Past Week

由於Hello Group(納斯達克股票代碼:MOMO)股價在過去一週進一步下跌6.3%,五年股東回報率和公司收益持續走低
Simply Wall St ·  05/23 20:22

Some stocks are best avoided. We really hate to see fellow investors lose their hard-earned money. Spare a thought for those who held Hello Group Inc. (NASDAQ:MOMO) for five whole years - as the share price tanked 80%. We also note that the stock has performed poorly over the last year, with the share price down 34%. Shareholders have had an even rougher run lately, with the share price down 13% in the last 90 days. This could be related to the recent financial results - you can catch up on the most recent data by reading our company report.

最好避開一些股票。我們真的很討厭看到其他投資者損失辛苦賺來的錢。不妨考慮那些持有Hello Group Inc.(納斯達克股票代碼:MOMO)整整五年的人,因爲股價下跌了80%。我們還注意到,該股去年表現不佳,股價下跌了34%。股東們最近的表現更加艱難,股價在過去90天中下跌了13%。這可能與最近的財務業績有關——您可以通過閱讀我們的公司報告來了解最新的數據。

Since Hello Group has shed US$70m from its value in the past 7 days, let's see if the longer term decline has been driven by the business' economics.

由於Hello Group在過去7天內已從其價值中減少了7000萬美元,因此讓我們看看長期下跌是否是由該業務的經濟推動的。

In his essay The Superinvestors of Graham-and-Doddsville Warren Buffett described how share prices do not always rationally reflect the value of a business. One imperfect but simple way to consider how the market perception of a company has shifted is to compare the change in the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price movement.

在他的文章中 格雷厄姆和多茲維爾的超級投資者 禾倫·巴菲特描述了股價如何並不總是合理地反映企業的價值。考慮市場對公司的看法發生了怎樣的變化的一種不完美但簡單的方法是將每股收益(EPS)的變化與股價走勢進行比較。

During the five years over which the share price declined, Hello Group's earnings per share (EPS) dropped by 5.2% each year. Readers should note that the share price has fallen faster than the EPS, at a rate of 27% per year, over the period. So it seems the market was too confident about the business, in the past. The less favorable sentiment is reflected in its current P/E ratio of 3.87.

在股價下跌的五年中,Hello Group的每股收益(EPS)每年下降5.2%。讀者應注意,在此期間,股價的下跌速度快於每股收益,每年下降27%。因此,過去市場似乎對該業務過於自信。不太樂觀的情緒反映在其目前的市盈率3.87上。

The graphic below depicts how EPS has changed over time (unveil the exact values by clicking on the image).

下圖描述了 EPS 隨着時間的推移是如何變化的(點擊圖片可以看到確切的值)。

earnings-per-share-growth
NasdaqGS:MOMO Earnings Per Share Growth May 23rd 2024
納斯達克GS:MOMO每股收益增長 2024年5月23日

We know that Hello Group has improved its bottom line lately, but is it going to grow revenue? You could check out this free report showing analyst revenue forecasts.

我們知道Hello Group最近提高了利潤,但它會增加收入嗎?您可以查看這份顯示分析師收入預測的免費報告。

What About Dividends?

分紅呢?

As well as measuring the share price return, investors should also consider the total shareholder return (TSR). The TSR is a return calculation that accounts for the value of cash dividends (assuming that any dividend received was reinvested) and the calculated value of any discounted capital raisings and spin-offs. So for companies that pay a generous dividend, the TSR is often a lot higher than the share price return. As it happens, Hello Group's TSR for the last 5 years was -71%, which exceeds the share price return mentioned earlier. This is largely a result of its dividend payments!

除了衡量股價回報率外,投資者還應考慮股東總回報率(TSR)。股東總回報率是一種回報計算方法,它考慮了現金分紅的價值(假設收到的任何股息都經過再投資)以及任何貼現資本籌集和分拆的計算價值。因此,對於支付豐厚股息的公司來說,股東總回報率通常遠高於股價回報率。碰巧的是,Hello Group在過去5年的股東總回報率爲-71%,超過了前面提到的股價回報率。這在很大程度上是其股息支付的結果!

A Different Perspective

不同的視角

Hello Group shareholders are down 28% for the year (even including dividends), but the market itself is up 30%. However, keep in mind that even the best stocks will sometimes underperform the market over a twelve month period. Unfortunately, last year's performance may indicate unresolved challenges, given that it was worse than the annualised loss of 11% over the last half decade. We realise that Baron Rothschild has said investors should "buy when there is blood on the streets", but we caution that investors should first be sure they are buying a high quality business. It's always interesting to track share price performance over the longer term. But to understand Hello Group better, we need to consider many other factors. Consider for instance, the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 2 warning signs with Hello Group (at least 1 which doesn't sit too well with us) , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

Hello Group的股東今年下跌了28%(甚至包括股息),但市場本身上漲了30%。但是,請記住,即使是最好的股票有時也會在十二個月內表現不如市場。不幸的是,去年的表現可能預示着尚未解決的挑戰,因爲它比過去五年中11%的年化虧損還要糟糕。我們意識到羅斯柴爾德男爵曾說過,投資者應該 “在街頭流血時買入”,但我們警告說,投資者應首先確保他們購買的是高質量的企業。長期跟蹤股價表現總是很有意思的。但是,爲了更好地了解Hello Group,我們需要考慮許多其他因素。例如,投資風險的幽靈無處不在。我們已經向Hello Group發現了2個警告信號(至少有1個對我們來說不太合適),了解它們應該是您投資過程的一部分。

But note: Hello Group may not be the best stock to buy. So take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with past earnings growth (and further growth forecast).

但請注意:Hello Group可能不是最值得購買的股票。因此,來看看這份過去盈利增長(以及進一步增長預測)的有趣公司的免費清單。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on American exchanges.

請注意,本文引用的市場回報反映了目前在美國交易所交易的股票的市場加權平均回報。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對這篇文章有反饋嗎?對內容感到擔憂?直接聯繫我們。 或者,給編輯團隊 (at) simplywallst.com 發送電子郵件。
Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。

譯文內容由第三人軟體翻譯。


以上內容僅用作資訊或教育之目的,不構成與富途相關的任何投資建議。富途竭力但無法保證上述全部內容的真實性、準確性和原創性。
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