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There's Reason For Concern Over DFI Retail Group Holdings Limited's (SGX:D01) Price

Simply Wall St ·  May 23 06:17

With a median price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of close to 0.4x in the Consumer Retailing industry in Singapore, you could be forgiven for feeling indifferent about DFI Retail Group Holdings Limited's (SGX:D01) P/S ratio of 0.3x. While this might not raise any eyebrows, if the P/S ratio is not justified investors could be missing out on a potential opportunity or ignoring looming disappointment.

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SGX:D01 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry May 22nd 2024

How Has DFI Retail Group Holdings Performed Recently?

With only a limited decrease in revenue compared to most other companies of late, DFI Retail Group Holdings has been doing relatively well. One possibility is that the P/S ratio is moderate because investors think this relatively better revenue performance might be about to evaporate. If you still like the company, you'd want its revenue trajectory to turn around before making any decisions. In saying that, existing shareholders probably aren't too pessimistic about the share price if the company's revenue continues outplaying the industry.

Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on DFI Retail Group Holdings will help you uncover what's on the horizon.

What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The P/S?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should be matching the industry for P/S ratios like DFI Retail Group Holdings' to be considered reasonable.

Taking a look back first, we see that there was hardly any revenue growth to speak of for the company over the past year. The lack of growth did nothing to help the company's aggregate three-year performance, which is an unsavory 11% drop in revenue. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been undesirable for the company.

Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 2.5% each year as estimated by the eight analysts watching the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the industry is forecast to expand by 12% each year, which is noticeably more attractive.

In light of this, it's curious that DFI Retail Group Holdings' P/S sits in line with the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are ignoring the fairly limited growth expectations and are willing to pay up for exposure to the stock. These shareholders may be setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the growth outlook.

The Key Takeaway

Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

When you consider that DFI Retail Group Holdings' revenue growth estimates are fairly muted compared to the broader industry, it's easy to see why we consider it unexpected to be trading at its current P/S ratio. At present, we aren't confident in the P/S as the predicted future revenues aren't likely to support a more positive sentiment for long. Circumstances like this present a risk to current and prospective investors who may see share prices fall if the low revenue growth impacts the sentiment.

Having said that, be aware DFI Retail Group Holdings is showing 2 warning signs in our investment analysis, and 1 of those is a bit unpleasant.

Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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