Goldman Sachs analyst Tina Hou reiterated a Buy rating on XPeng Inc. (NYSE:XPEV), with a price forecast of $11.50.
Yesterday, the company reported fiscal first-quarter sales growth of 62.3% year-on-year, to 6.55 billion Chinese Yuan ($0.91 billion), beating the analyst consensus estimate of 6.17 billion Chinese Yuan ($0.87 billion). Total revenues declined 49.8% sequentially.
Adjusted net loss per ADS of $0.21 beat the analyst consensus loss estimate of $0.27.
Per Hou, the beat is mainly from software services revenue with much higher margins versus the vehicle sales segment.
With recurring software services revenue recognition, the company gross margin should be sustainable at low-to-mid teens level throughout 2024.
In the near term, the analyst expects the company's vehicle delivery volume to regain momentum with the latest G6 model launch and the margin to improve on a larger vehicle delivery scale together with a battery pricing decline.
In the longer term, Hou projects XPeng's leading position in NOA (navigation on autopilot) with strong R&D focus could provide further upside to its revenue growth and margin profile.
Overall, the company's G6, together with P7/P7i, is expected to be a major volume contributor going forward, driving a 63% CAGR in vehicle sales and a market share gain from 2.5% to 4.0% over 2023E-2025E.
The analyst expects the company's FY24 revenues to be RMB34.75 billion and FY25 revenues to be RMB54.49 billion.
Price Action: XPEV shares are trading higher by 0.46% to $8.81 at last check Wednesday.
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高盛分析師蒂娜·侯重申了對小鵬公司(紐約證券交易所代碼:XPEV)的買入評級,預測價格爲11.50美元。
昨天,該公司報告稱,第一財季銷售額同比增長62.3%,達到65.5億元人民幣(合9.1億美元),超過了分析師共識估計的61.7億元人民幣(8.7億美元)。總收入環比下降49.8%。
調整後的每股ADS淨虧損爲0.21美元,超過了分析師共識虧損預期的0.27美元。
根據侯的說法,主要來自軟件服務收入,與汽車銷售細分市場相比,其利潤率要高得多。
通過定期確認軟件服務收入,該公司的毛利率應在2024年保持在低至中等水平的青少年水平。
分析師預計,在短期內,隨着最新G6車型的推出,該公司的汽車交付量將恢復勢頭,在擴大汽車交付規模的基礎上再加上電池價格的下降,利潤率將有所改善。
從長遠來看,侯預計,小鵬在NOA(自動駕駛導航)中的領先地位以及強大的研發重點可能會爲其收入增長和利潤率狀況提供進一步的上行空間。
總體而言,該公司的G6以及P7/P7i預計將成爲未來銷量的主要貢獻者,與2023E-2025E相比,汽車銷售的複合年增長率爲63%,市場份額從2.5%增長到4.0%。
分析師預計,該公司24財年的收入爲人民幣347.5億元,25財年的收入爲人民幣544.9億元。
價格走勢:週三最後一次檢查時,XPEV股價上漲0.46%,至8.81美元。
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