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Alpha and Omega Semiconductor Limited's (NASDAQ:AOSL) Shares Bounce 37% But Its Business Still Trails The Industry

Simply Wall St ·  May 21 19:54

Alpha and Omega Semiconductor Limited (NASDAQ:AOSL) shareholders would be excited to see that the share price has had a great month, posting a 37% gain and recovering from prior weakness.    The bad news is that even after the stocks recovery in the last 30 days, shareholders are still underwater by about 3.5% over the last year.  

In spite of the firm bounce in price, Alpha and Omega Semiconductor may still look like a strong buying opportunity at present with its price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 1.2x, considering almost half of all companies in the Semiconductor industry in the United States have P/S ratios greater than 4.4x and even P/S higher than 11x aren't out of the ordinary.   Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly reduced P/S.  

NasdaqGS:AOSL Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry May 21st 2024

How Alpha and Omega Semiconductor Has Been Performing

Alpha and Omega Semiconductor could be doing better as its revenue has been going backwards lately while most other companies have been seeing positive revenue growth.   It seems that many are expecting the poor revenue performance to persist, which has repressed the P/S ratio.  If you still like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.    

Keen to find out how analysts think Alpha and Omega Semiconductor's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.

What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The Low P/S?  

In order to justify its P/S ratio, Alpha and Omega Semiconductor would need to produce anemic growth that's substantially trailing the industry.  

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 9.2% decrease to the company's top line.   That put a dampener on the good run it was having over the longer-term as its three-year revenue growth is still a noteworthy 9.2% in total.  So we can start by confirming that the company has generally done a good job of growing revenue over that time, even though it had some hiccups along the way.  

Looking ahead now, revenue is anticipated to climb by 3.8% during the coming year according to the three analysts following the company.  That's shaping up to be materially lower than the 48% growth forecast for the broader industry.

In light of this, it's understandable that Alpha and Omega Semiconductor's P/S sits below the majority of other companies.  Apparently many shareholders weren't comfortable holding on while the company is potentially eyeing a less prosperous future.  

What Does Alpha and Omega Semiconductor's P/S Mean For Investors?

Shares in Alpha and Omega Semiconductor have risen appreciably however, its P/S is still subdued.      Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.

We've established that Alpha and Omega Semiconductor maintains its low P/S on the weakness of its forecast growth being lower than the wider industry, as expected.  Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/S as they concede future revenue probably won't provide any pleasant surprises.  Unless these conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.    

We don't want to rain on the parade too much, but we did also find 1 warning sign for Alpha and Omega Semiconductor that you need to be mindful of.  

If strong companies turning a profit tickle your fancy, then you'll want to check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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