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Is Weakness In HighPeak Energy, Inc. (NASDAQ:HPK) Stock A Sign That The Market Could Be Wrong Given Its Strong Financial Prospects?

Simply Wall St ·  May 14 20:24

With its stock down 8.5% over the past month, it is easy to disregard HighPeak Energy (NASDAQ:HPK). However, stock prices are usually driven by a company's financial performance over the long term, which in this case looks quite promising. Particularly, we will be paying attention to HighPeak Energy's ROE today.

Return on Equity or ROE is a test of how effectively a company is growing its value and managing investors' money. In simpler terms, it measures the profitability of a company in relation to shareholder's equity.

How Do You Calculate Return On Equity?

Return on equity can be calculated by using the formula:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for HighPeak Energy is:

11% = US$172m ÷ US$1.5b (Based on the trailing twelve months to March 2024).

The 'return' is the income the business earned over the last year. That means that for every $1 worth of shareholders' equity, the company generated $0.11 in profit.

What Has ROE Got To Do With Earnings Growth?

We have already established that ROE serves as an efficient profit-generating gauge for a company's future earnings. Depending on how much of these profits the company reinvests or "retains", and how effectively it does so, we are then able to assess a company's earnings growth potential. Generally speaking, other things being equal, firms with a high return on equity and profit retention, have a higher growth rate than firms that don't share these attributes.

A Side By Side comparison of HighPeak Energy's Earnings Growth And 11% ROE

To begin with, HighPeak Energy seems to have a respectable ROE. Be that as it may, the company's ROE is still quite lower than the industry average of 18%. However, we are pleased to see the impressive 69% net income growth reported by HighPeak Energy over the past five years. We believe that there might be other aspects that are positively influencing the company's earnings growth. Such as - high earnings retention or an efficient management in place. Bear in mind, the company does have a respectable ROE. It is just that the industry ROE is higher. So this certainly also provides some context to the high earnings growth seen by the company.

We then compared HighPeak Energy's net income growth with the industry and we're pleased to see that the company's growth figure is higher when compared with the industry which has a growth rate of 38% in the same 5-year period.

past-earnings-growth
NasdaqGM:HPK Past Earnings Growth May 14th 2024

Earnings growth is an important metric to consider when valuing a stock. What investors need to determine next is if the expected earnings growth, or the lack of it, is already built into the share price. This then helps them determine if the stock is placed for a bright or bleak future. What is HPK worth today? The intrinsic value infographic in our free research report helps visualize whether HPK is currently mispriced by the market.

Is HighPeak Energy Making Efficient Use Of Its Profits?

HighPeak Energy's three-year median payout ratio to shareholders is 6.9%, which is quite low. This implies that the company is retaining 93% of its profits. So it looks like HighPeak Energy is reinvesting profits heavily to grow its business, which shows in its earnings growth.

Additionally, HighPeak Energy has paid dividends over a period of three years which means that the company is pretty serious about sharing its profits with shareholders.

Summary

Overall, we are quite pleased with HighPeak Energy's performance. In particular, it's great to see that the company has seen significant growth in its earnings backed by a respectable ROE and a high reinvestment rate. That being so, a study of the latest analyst forecasts show that the company is expected to see a slowdown in its future earnings growth. To know more about the company's future earnings growth forecasts take a look at this free report on analyst forecasts for the company to find out more.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

The above content is for informational or educational purposes only and does not constitute any investment advice related to Futu. Although we strive to ensure the truthfulness, accuracy, and originality of all such content, we cannot guarantee it.
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