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China Post Technology Co., Ltd.'s (SHSE:688648) Stock On An Uptrend: Could Fundamentals Be Driving The Momentum?

China Post Technology Co., Ltd.'s (SHSE:688648) Stock On An Uptrend: Could Fundamentals Be Driving The Momentum?

中國郵政科技有限公司's(SHSE: 688648)股票處於上升趨勢:基本面能否推動勢頭?
Simply Wall St ·  05/14 11:01

China Post Technology's (SHSE:688648) stock is up by a considerable 13% over the past three months. Given that stock prices are usually aligned with a company's financial performance in the long-term, we decided to study its financial indicators more closely to see if they had a hand to play in the recent price move. Particularly, we will be paying attention to China Post Technology's ROE today.

中國郵政科技(上海證券交易所代碼:688648)的股票在過去三個月中上漲了13%。鑑於股票價格通常與公司的長期財務表現一致,我們決定更仔細地研究其財務指標,看看它們在近期的價格走勢中是否有機會發揮作用。特別是,我們今天將關注中國郵政科技的投資回報率。

Return on equity or ROE is an important factor to be considered by a shareholder because it tells them how effectively their capital is being reinvested. In other words, it is a profitability ratio which measures the rate of return on the capital provided by the company's shareholders.

股本回報率或投資回報率是股東需要考慮的重要因素,因爲它可以告訴他們資本再投資的有效性。換句話說,它是衡量公司股東提供的資本回報率的盈利比率。

How To Calculate Return On Equity?

如何計算股本回報率?

The formula for return on equity is:

股本回報率的公式是:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

股本回報率 = 淨利潤(來自持續經營業務)÷ 股東權益

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for China Post Technology is:

因此,根據上述公式,中國郵政科技的投資回報率爲:

3.3% = CN¥56m ÷ CN¥1.7b (Based on the trailing twelve months to March 2024).

3.3% = 5600萬元人民幣 ÷ 17億元人民幣(基於截至2024年3月的過去十二個月)。

The 'return' is the yearly profit. One way to conceptualize this is that for each CN¥1 of shareholders' capital it has, the company made CN¥0.03 in profit.

“回報” 是每年的利潤。將其概念化的一種方法是,公司每擁有1元人民幣的股東資本,公司就會獲得0.03元人民幣的利潤。

What Has ROE Got To Do With Earnings Growth?

投資回報率與收益增長有什麼關係?

We have already established that ROE serves as an efficient profit-generating gauge for a company's future earnings. Depending on how much of these profits the company reinvests or "retains", and how effectively it does so, we are then able to assess a company's earnings growth potential. Assuming all else is equal, companies that have both a higher return on equity and higher profit retention are usually the ones that have a higher growth rate when compared to companies that don't have the same features.

我們已經確定,投資回報率是衡量公司未來收益的有效盈利指標。然後,我們能夠評估公司的收益增長潛力,具體取決於公司對這些利潤進行再投資或 “保留” 了多少及其有效性。假設其他條件都一樣,與功能不相同的公司相比,具有更高股本回報率和更高利潤保留率的公司通常具有更高的增長率。

China Post Technology's Earnings Growth And 3.3% ROE

中國郵政科技的收益增長和3.3%的投資回報率

As you can see, China Post Technology's ROE looks pretty weak. Even compared to the average industry ROE of 6.9%, the company's ROE is quite dismal. However, the moderate 5.2% net income growth seen by China Post Technology over the past five years is definitely a positive. Therefore, the growth in earnings could probably have been caused by other variables. For example, it is possible that the company's management has made some good strategic decisions, or that the company has a low payout ratio.

如你所見,中國郵政科技的投資回報率看起來相當疲軟。即使與6.9%的行業平均投資回報率相比,該公司的投資回報率也相當慘淡。但是,中國郵政科技在過去五年中實現的5.2%的溫和淨收入增長絕對是積極的。因此,收益的增長可能是由其他變量造成的。例如,公司的管理層可能做出了一些良好的戰略決策,或者公司的派息率很低。

As a next step, we compared China Post Technology's net income growth with the industry and were disappointed to see that the company's growth is lower than the industry average growth of 10% in the same period.

下一步,我們將中郵科技的淨收入增長與該行業進行了比較,並失望地看到該公司的增長低於同期10%的行業平均增長。

past-earnings-growth
SHSE:688648 Past Earnings Growth May 14th 2024
SHSE: 688648 過去的收益增長 2024 年 5 月 14 日

Earnings growth is a huge factor in stock valuation. It's important for an investor to know whether the market has priced in the company's expected earnings growth (or decline). By doing so, they will have an idea if the stock is headed into clear blue waters or if swampy waters await. If you're wondering about China Post Technology's's valuation, check out this gauge of its price-to-earnings ratio, as compared to its industry.

收益增長是股票估值的重要因素。對於投資者來說,重要的是要知道市場是否對公司的預期收益增長(或下降)進行了定價。通過這樣做,他們將知道股票是走向清澈的藍色海水還是沼澤水域在等着呢。如果你想知道中國郵政科技的估值,可以看看這個衡量其市盈率與行業相比的指標。

Is China Post Technology Efficiently Re-investing Its Profits?

中國郵政科技是否有效地將其利潤再投資?

China Post Technology doesn't pay any regular dividends, meaning that all of its profits are being reinvested in the business, which explains the fair bit of earnings growth the company has seen.

中國郵政科技不支付任何定期股息,這意味着其所有利潤都被再投資於該業務,這解釋了該公司的收益增長幅度。

Conclusion

結論

Overall, we feel that China Post Technology certainly does have some positive factors to consider. Namely, its respectable earnings growth, which it achieved due to it retaining most of its profits. However, given the low ROE, investors may not be benefitting from all that reinvestment after all. While we won't completely dismiss the company, what we would do, is try to ascertain how risky the business is to make a more informed decision around the company. To know the 2 risks we have identified for China Post Technology visit our risks dashboard for free.

總體而言,我們認爲中郵科技確實有一些積極因素需要考慮。也就是說,其可觀的收益增長是由於保留了大部分利潤而實現的。但是,鑑於投資回報率低,投資者畢竟可能無法從所有這些再投資中受益。雖然我們不會完全解散公司,但我們要做的是努力確定業務的風險,以便在公司周圍做出更明智的決定。要了解我們爲中郵科技確定的兩種風險,請免費訪問我們的風險儀表板。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。

譯文內容由第三人軟體翻譯。


以上內容僅用作資訊或教育之目的,不構成與富途相關的任何投資建議。富途竭力但無法保證上述全部內容的真實性、準確性和原創性。
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