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AEM Holdings Ltd.'s (SGX:AWX) 27% Share Price Plunge Could Signal Some Risk

Simply Wall St ·  May 14 06:14

Unfortunately for some shareholders, the AEM Holdings Ltd. (SGX:AWX) share price has dived 27% in the last thirty days, prolonging recent pain. The drop over the last 30 days has capped off a tough year for shareholders, with the share price down 44% in that time.

Even after such a large drop in price, you could still be forgiven for feeling indifferent about AEM Holdings' P/S ratio of 1.2x, since the median price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio for the Semiconductor industry in Singapore is also close to 0.9x. Although, it's not wise to simply ignore the P/S without explanation as investors may be disregarding a distinct opportunity or a costly mistake.

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SGX:AWX Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry May 13th 2024

What Does AEM Holdings' Recent Performance Look Like?

AEM Holdings has been struggling lately as its revenue has declined faster than most other companies. It might be that many expect the dismal revenue performance to revert back to industry averages soon, which has kept the P/S from falling. You'd much rather the company improve its revenue if you still believe in the business. Or at the very least, you'd be hoping it doesn't keep underperforming if your plan is to pick up some stock while it's not in favour.

Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on AEM Holdings will help you uncover what's on the horizon.

How Is AEM Holdings' Revenue Growth Trending?

The only time you'd be comfortable seeing a P/S like AEM Holdings' is when the company's growth is tracking the industry closely.

Taking a look back first, the company's revenue growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 45%. The last three years don't look nice either as the company has shrunk revenue by 7.3% in aggregate. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing revenue over that time.

Shifting to the future, estimates from the seven analysts covering the company suggest revenue should grow by 10% per year over the next three years. Meanwhile, the rest of the industry is forecast to expand by 21% each year, which is noticeably more attractive.

With this in mind, we find it intriguing that AEM Holdings' P/S is closely matching its industry peers. Apparently many investors in the company are less bearish than analysts indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock right now. These shareholders may be setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the growth outlook.

What Does AEM Holdings' P/S Mean For Investors?

With its share price dropping off a cliff, the P/S for AEM Holdings looks to be in line with the rest of the Semiconductor industry. Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.

Our look at the analysts forecasts of AEM Holdings' revenue prospects has shown that its inferior revenue outlook isn't negatively impacting its P/S as much as we would have predicted. When we see companies with a relatively weaker revenue outlook compared to the industry, we suspect the share price is at risk of declining, sending the moderate P/S lower. A positive change is needed in order to justify the current price-to-sales ratio.

Having said that, be aware AEM Holdings is showing 1 warning sign in our investment analysis, you should know about.

If you're unsure about the strength of AEM Holdings' business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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