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Is Elastic (NYSE:ESTC) Weighed On By Its Debt Load?

Is Elastic (NYSE:ESTC) Weighed On By Its Debt Load?

Elastic(紐約證券交易所代碼:ESTC)是否受到債務負擔的壓力?
Simply Wall St ·  05/13 18:47

David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We note that Elastic N.V. (NYSE:ESTC) does have debt on its balance sheet. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

大衛·伊本說得好,他說:“波動性不是我們關心的風險。我們關心的是避免資本的永久損失。”當我們思考一家公司的風險有多大時,我們總是喜歡考慮其債務的用途,因爲債務過載可能導致破產。我們注意到,Elastic N.V.(紐約證券交易所代碼:ESTC)的資產負債表上確實有債務。但是,股東是否應該擔心其債務的使用?

When Is Debt Dangerous?

債務何時危險?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

一般而言,只有當公司無法通過籌集資金或用自己的現金流輕鬆還清債務時,債務才會成爲真正的問題。在最壞的情況下,如果一家公司無法償還債權人,它可能會破產。但是,更頻繁(但仍然代價高昂)的情況是,公司必須以低廉的價格發行股票,永久稀釋股東,以支撐其資產負債表。話雖如此,最常見的情況是公司合理地管理其債務,而且對自己有利。當我們考慮公司對債務的使用時,我們首先要同時考慮現金和債務。

What Is Elastic's Net Debt?

Elastic 的淨負債是多少?

The chart below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Elastic had US$568.3m in debt in January 2024; about the same as the year before. But it also has US$1.02b in cash to offset that, meaning it has US$446.7m net cash.

您可以點擊下圖查看更多詳細信息,該圖表顯示,2024年1月,Elastic的債務爲5.683億美元;與前一年大致相同。但它也有10.2億美元的現金可以抵消這一點,這意味着它的淨現金爲4.467億美元。

debt-equity-history-analysis
NYSE:ESTC Debt to Equity History May 13th 2024
紐約證券交易所:ESTC債務與股本比率的歷史記錄 2024年5月13日

A Look At Elastic's Liabilities

看看 Elastic 的負債

According to the last reported balance sheet, Elastic had liabilities of US$728.3m due within 12 months, and liabilities of US$622.8m due beyond 12 months. Offsetting this, it had US$1.02b in cash and US$229.9m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities total US$106.1m more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

根據上次報告的資產負債表,Elastic的負債爲7.283億美元,12個月後到期的負債爲6.228億美元。與此相抵消的是,它有10.2億美元的現金和2.299億美元的應收賬款將在12個月內到期。因此,其負債總額比其現金和短期應收賬款的總和高出1.061億美元。

This state of affairs indicates that Elastic's balance sheet looks quite solid, as its total liabilities are just about equal to its liquid assets. So while it's hard to imagine that the US$10.7b company is struggling for cash, we still think it's worth monitoring its balance sheet. While it does have liabilities worth noting, Elastic also has more cash than debt, so we're pretty confident it can manage its debt safely. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Elastic's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

這種狀況表明,Elastic的資產負債表看起來相當穩健,因爲其總負債幾乎等於其流動資產。因此,儘管很難想象這家價值107億美元的公司正在爲現金而苦苦掙扎,但我們仍然認爲值得監控其資產負債表。儘管它確實有值得注意的負債,但Elastic的現金也多於債務,因此我們非常有信心它可以安全地管理債務。資產負債表顯然是分析債務時需要關注的領域。但是,未來的收益比什麼都重要,將決定Elastic未來保持健康資產負債表的能力。因此,如果你想看看專業人士的想法,你可能會發現這份關於分析師利潤預測的免費報告很有趣。

Over 12 months, Elastic reported revenue of US$1.2b, which is a gain of 18%, although it did not report any earnings before interest and tax. We usually like to see faster growth from unprofitable companies, but each to their own.

在過去的12個月中,Elastic報告的收入爲12億美元,增長了18%,儘管它沒有報告任何利息和稅前收益。我們通常希望看到無利可圖的公司實現更快的增長,但每家公司都有自己的發展。

So How Risky Is Elastic?

那麼 Elastic 的風險有多大?

While Elastic lost money on an earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) level, it actually booked a paper profit of US$56m. So taking that on face value, and considering the cash, we don't think its very risky in the near term. Until we see some positive EBIT, we're a bit cautious of the stock, not least because of the rather modest revenue growth. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For example, we've discovered 3 warning signs for Elastic (1 doesn't sit too well with us!) that you should be aware of before investing here.

儘管Elastic在利息稅前收益(EBIT)水平上蒙受了損失,但它實際上實現了5600萬美元的票面利潤。因此,從面值來看,考慮到現金,我們認爲短期內風險不大。在我們看到息稅前利潤爲正數之前,我們對該股持謹慎態度,尤其是因爲收入增長相當溫和。資產負債表顯然是分析債務時需要關注的領域。但是,並非所有的投資風險都存在於資產負債表中,遠非如此。例如,我們發現了 Elastic 的 3 個警告信號(1 個對我們來說不太合適!)在這裏投資之前,您應該注意這一點。

When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.

當一切都說完之後,有時更容易將注意力集中在甚至不需要債務的公司上。讀者現在可以100%免費訪問淨負債爲零的成長型股票清單。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。

譯文內容由第三人軟體翻譯。


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