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Is CTS International Logistics (SHSE:603128) Using Too Much Debt?

Is CTS International Logistics (SHSE:603128) Using Too Much Debt?

CTS國際物流(SHSE: 603128)的債務是否過多?
Simply Wall St ·  05/11 06:53

Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We note that CTS International Logistics Corporation Limited (SHSE:603128) does have debt on its balance sheet. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

禾倫·巴菲特曾說過一句名言:“波動性遠非風險的代名詞。”當我們思考一家公司的風險有多大時,我們總是喜歡考慮其債務的用途,因爲債務過載可能導致破產。我們注意到,CTS國際物流有限公司(SHSE: 603128)的資產負債表上確實有債務。但是這筆債務是股東關心的問題嗎?

When Is Debt A Problem?

債務何時會成爲問題?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

當企業無法輕易履行這些義務時,無論是通過自由現金流還是以誘人的價格籌集資金,債務和其他負債就會面臨風險。資本主義的重要部分是 “創造性破壞” 的過程,在這個過程中,倒閉的企業被銀行家無情地清算。但是,更常見(但仍然令人痛苦)的情況是,它必須以低廉的價格籌集新的股權資本,從而永久稀釋股東。當然,債務的好處是它通常代表廉價資本,尤其是當它用高回報率進行再投資的能力取代了公司的稀釋時。當我們研究債務水平時,我們首先要同時考慮現金和債務水平。

How Much Debt Does CTS International Logistics Carry?

CTS國際物流揹負了多少債務?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that CTS International Logistics had CN¥486.5m of debt in March 2024, down from CN¥1.15b, one year before. However, it does have CN¥1.65b in cash offsetting this, leading to net cash of CN¥1.17b.

你可以點擊下圖查看歷史數字,但它顯示CTS國際物流在2024年3月有4.865億元人民幣的債務,低於一年前的11.5億元人民幣。但是,它確實有16.5億元的現金抵消了這一點,淨現金爲11.7億元人民幣。

debt-equity-history-analysis
SHSE:603128 Debt to Equity History May 10th 2024
SHSE: 603128 2024 年 5 月 10 日債務與股權比率的歷史記錄

A Look At CTS International Logistics' Liabilities

看看CTS國際物流的負債

The latest balance sheet data shows that CTS International Logistics had liabilities of CN¥2.89b due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥339.5m falling due after that. Offsetting this, it had CN¥1.65b in cash and CN¥4.26b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it can boast CN¥2.68b more liquid assets than total liabilities.

最新的資產負債表數據顯示,CTS國際物流在一年內到期的負債爲28.9億元人民幣,之後到期的負債爲3.395億元人民幣。與此相抵消的是,它有16.5億加元的現金和42.6億元人民幣的應收賬款將在12個月內到期。因此,它擁有的流動資產可以多出26.8億元人民幣 負債。

This excess liquidity suggests that CTS International Logistics is taking a careful approach to debt. Because it has plenty of assets, it is unlikely to have trouble with its lenders. Simply put, the fact that CTS International Logistics has more cash than debt is arguably a good indication that it can manage its debt safely.

這種過剩的流動性表明,CTS國際物流對債務採取了謹慎的態度。由於它擁有充足的資產,因此不太可能與貸款人發生麻煩。簡而言之,CTS國際物流的現金多於債務,這一事實可以說是一個很好的跡象,表明它可以安全地管理債務。

In fact CTS International Logistics's saving grace is its low debt levels, because its EBIT has tanked 45% in the last twelve months. When a company sees its earnings tank, it can sometimes find its relationships with its lenders turn sour. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine CTS International Logistics's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

實際上,CTS國際物流的救命之處在於其低債務水平,因爲其息稅前利潤在過去十二個月中下降了45%。當一家公司看到盈利下降時,它有時會發現與貸款機構的關係惡化。在分析債務水平時,資產負債表是顯而易見的起點。但是,未來的收益將決定CTS國際物流未來維持健康資產負債表的能力。因此,如果您專注於未來,可以查看這份顯示分析師利潤預測的免費報告。

Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. While CTS International Logistics has net cash on its balance sheet, it's still worth taking a look at its ability to convert earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, to help us understand how quickly it is building (or eroding) that cash balance. Over the most recent three years, CTS International Logistics recorded free cash flow worth 59% of its EBIT, which is around normal, given free cash flow excludes interest and tax. This cold hard cash means it can reduce its debt when it wants to.

最後,公司只能用冷硬現金償還債務,不能用會計利潤償還債務。儘管CTS International Logistics的資產負債表上有淨現金,但仍值得一看其將息稅前收益(EBIT)轉換爲自由現金流的能力,以幫助我們了解其建立(或侵蝕)現金餘額的速度有多快。在最近三年中,鑑於自由現金流不包括利息和稅款,CTS國際物流記錄的自由現金流佔其息稅前利潤的59%,這幾乎是正常的。這種冷硬現金意味着它可以在需要時減少債務。

Summing Up

總結

While we empathize with investors who find debt concerning, you should keep in mind that CTS International Logistics has net cash of CN¥1.17b, as well as more liquid assets than liabilities. So we don't have any problem with CTS International Logistics's use of debt. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. We've identified 1 warning sign with CTS International Logistics , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

雖然我們同情那些認爲債務令人擔憂的投資者,但您應該記住,CTS國際物流的淨現金爲11.7億元人民幣,流動資產比負債還多。因此,我們對CTS國際物流使用債務沒有任何問題。資產負債表顯然是分析債務時需要關注的領域。但歸根結底,每家公司都可以控制資產負債表之外存在的風險。我們已經向CTS國際物流確定了一個警告信號,我們知道它們應該是您投資過程的一部分。

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

如果你有興趣投資能夠在沒有債務負擔的情況下增加利潤的企業,請查看這份資產負債表上有淨現金的成長型企業的免費清單。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。

譯文內容由第三人軟體翻譯。


以上內容僅用作資訊或教育之目的,不構成與富途相關的任何投資建議。富途竭力但無法保證上述全部內容的真實性、準確性和原創性。
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