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Is Brookfield Business (NYSE:BBUC) A Risky Investment?

Is Brookfield Business (NYSE:BBUC) A Risky Investment?

布鲁克菲尔德商业银行(纽约证券交易所代码:BBUC)是一项风险投资吗?
Simply Wall St ·  05/09 22:14

The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We can see that Brookfield Business Corporation (NYSE:BBUC) does use debt in its business. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

由伯克希尔·哈撒韦公司的查理·芒格支持的外部基金经理李露对此毫不掩饰,他说:“最大的投资风险不是价格的波动,而是你是否会遭受永久的资本损失。”当我们思考一家公司的风险有多大时,我们总是喜欢考虑其债务的用途,因为债务过载可能导致破产。我们可以看到,布鲁克菲尔德商业公司(纽约证券交易所代码:BBUC)确实在其业务中使用了债务。但是这笔债务是股东关心的问题吗?

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

为什么债务会带来风险?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

当企业无法通过自由现金流或以诱人的价格筹集资金来轻松履行这些义务时,债务和其他负债就会成为风险。资本主义的组成部分是 “创造性破坏” 过程,在这种过程中,倒闭的企业被银行家无情地清算。尽管这种情况并不常见,但我们经常会看到负债公司永久稀释股东,因为贷款人迫使他们以不良价格筹集资金。当然,债务的好处在于它通常代表廉价资本,尤其是当它以高回报率进行再投资的能力取代公司的稀释时。当我们检查债务水平时,我们首先要同时考虑现金和债务水平。

How Much Debt Does Brookfield Business Carry?

布鲁克菲尔德企业背负了多少债务?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that Brookfield Business had US$8.55b of debt in March 2024, down from US$13.4b, one year before. On the flip side, it has US$784.0m in cash leading to net debt of about US$7.76b.

你可以点击下图查看历史数字,但它显示布鲁克菲尔德商业公司在2024年3月的债务为85.5亿美元,低于一年前的134亿美元。另一方面,它拥有7.84亿美元的现金,净负债约为77.6亿美元。

debt-equity-history-analysis
NYSE:BBUC Debt to Equity History May 9th 2024
纽约证券交易所:BBUC 债券与股本的比率历史记录 2024 年 5 月 9 日

How Healthy Is Brookfield Business' Balance Sheet?

布鲁克菲尔德商业的资产负债表有多健康?

The latest balance sheet data shows that Brookfield Business had liabilities of US$4.65b due within a year, and liabilities of US$11.7b falling due after that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of US$784.0m as well as receivables valued at US$1.69b due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by US$13.9b.

最新的资产负债表数据显示,布鲁克菲尔德商业的负债为46.5亿美元,此后到期的负债为117亿美元。除这些债务外,它有7.84亿美元的现金以及价值16.9亿美元的应收账款将在12个月内到期。因此,其负债超过其现金和(短期)应收账款总额139亿美元。

This deficit casts a shadow over the US$1.58b company, like a colossus towering over mere mortals. So we'd watch its balance sheet closely, without a doubt. After all, Brookfield Business would likely require a major re-capitalisation if it had to pay its creditors today.

这笔赤字给这家价值15.8亿美元的公司蒙上了阴影,就像一个耸立在凡人之上的巨人。因此,毫无疑问,我们将密切关注其资产负债表。毕竟,如果布鲁克菲尔德商业今天必须向债权人付款,则可能需要进行大规模的资本重组。

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.

为了扩大公司相对于收益的负债规模,我们计算其净负债除以利息、税项、折旧和摊销前的收益(EBITDA),将其利息和税前收益(EBIT)除以利息支出(利息保障)。这样,我们既考虑债务的绝对数量,也考虑为债务支付的利率。

Weak interest cover of 0.66 times and a disturbingly high net debt to EBITDA ratio of 6.8 hit our confidence in Brookfield Business like a one-two punch to the gut. This means we'd consider it to have a heavy debt load. On a lighter note, we note that Brookfield Business grew its EBIT by 25% in the last year. If sustained, this growth should make that debt evaporate like a scarce drinking water during an unnaturally hot summer. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Brookfield Business will need earnings to service that debt. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.

0.66倍的薄弱利息覆盖率和令人不安的高净负债与息税折旧摊销前利润的6.8比率打击了我们对布鲁克菲尔德商业的信心,就像是一二的冲击。这意味着我们会认为它有沉重的债务负担。简而言之,我们注意到布鲁克菲尔德商业公司的息税前利润在去年增长了25%。如果持续下去,这种增长应该使债务在异常炎热的夏天像稀缺的饮用水一样蒸发。资产负债表显然是分析债务时需要关注的领域。但是你不能完全孤立地看待债务;因为布鲁克菲尔德商业需要收益来偿还债务。因此,如果你想进一步了解其收益,可能值得看看这张长期收益趋势图。

Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So it's worth checking how much of that EBIT is backed by free cash flow. During the last three years, Brookfield Business burned a lot of cash. While that may be a result of expenditure for growth, it does make the debt far more risky.

最后,尽管税务人员可能喜欢会计利润,但贷款人只接受冷硬现金。因此,值得检查一下息税前利润中有多少是由自由现金流支持的。在过去的三年中,布鲁克菲尔德商业公司消耗了大量现金。尽管这可能是增长支出的结果,但它确实使债务风险大大增加。

Our View

我们的观点

To be frank both Brookfield Business's conversion of EBIT to free cash flow and its track record of staying on top of its total liabilities make us rather uncomfortable with its debt levels. But on the bright side, its EBIT growth rate is a good sign, and makes us more optimistic. Taking into account all the aforementioned factors, it looks like Brookfield Business has too much debt. That sort of riskiness is ok for some, but it certainly doesn't float our boat. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. To that end, you should be aware of the 1 warning sign we've spotted with Brookfield Business .

坦率地说,Brookfield Business将息税前利润转换为自由现金流,以及其保持总负债水平的往绩都使我们对其债务水平感到相当不舒服。但好的一面是,其息税前利润增长率是一个好兆头,也使我们更加乐观。考虑到上述所有因素,布鲁克菲尔德商业的债务似乎太多了。这种风险对某些人来说是可以的,但它肯定无法满足我们的需求。在分析债务水平时,资产负债表是显而易见的起点。但是,并非所有的投资风险都存在于资产负债表中,远非如此。为此,你应该注意我们在《布鲁克菲尔德商业报》上发现的1个警告信号。

When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.

当一切都说完之后,有时更容易将注意力集中在甚至不需要债务的公司上。读者现在可以100%免费访问净负债为零的成长型股票清单。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街没有持有任何上述股票的头寸。

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