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BP For 2Q Expects Reported Upstream Production To Be Slightly Lower Compared Q1; For Fiscal 2024 Continues To Expect Both Reported And Underlying Upstream Production To Be Slightly Higher Compared With 2023

BP For 2Q Expects Reported Upstream Production To Be Slightly Lower Compared Q1; For Fiscal 2024 Continues To Expect Both Reported And Underlying Upstream Production To Be Slightly Higher Compared With 2023

英国石油公司预计第二季度报告的上游产量将与第一季度相比略有下降;对于2024财年,报告的上游产量和基础上游产量都将与2023年相比略有增加
Benzinga ·  05/07 14:50

Outlook & Guidance 2Q 2024 guidance • Looking ahead, bp expects second quarter 2024 reported upstream* production to be slightly lower compared with first-quarter 2024. • In its customers business, bp expects seasonally higher volumes and fuels margin to remain sensitive to movements in the cost of supply. • In products, bp expects realized margins to be impacted by narrower North American heavy crude oil differentials, and to remain sensitive to relative movements in product cracks. In addition, bp expects the absence of the first quarter plant-wide power outage at the Whiting refinery to be partly offset by a higher level of turnaround activity. 2024 guidance In addition to the guidance on page 2: • bp continues to expect both reported and underlying upstream production* to be slightly higher compared with 2023. Within this, bp continues to expect underlying production from oil production & operations to be higher and production from gas & low carbon energy to be lower. • In its customers business, bp continues to expect growth from convenience, including a full year contribution from TravelCenters of America; a stronger contribution from Castrol underpinned by volume growth in focus markets; and continued margin growth from bp pulse driven by higher energy sold. In addition, bp continues to expect fuels margin to remain sensitive to the cost of supply. • In products, bp continues to expect a lower level of industry refining margins, with realized margins impacted by narrower North American heavy crude oil differentials. bp continues to expect refinery turnaround activity to have a similar impact on both throughput and financial performance compared to 2023, with phasing of activity in 2024 heavily weighted towards the second half. • bp continues to expect the other businesses & corporate underlying annual charge to be around $1.0 billion for 2024. The charge may vary from quarter to quarter. • bp continues to expect the depreciation, depletion and amortization to be slightly higher than 2023. • bp continues to expect the underlying ETR* for 2024 to be around 40% but it is sensitive to the impact that volatility in the current price environment may have on the geographical mix of the group's profits and losses. • bp continues to expect capital expenditure* for 2024 to be around $16 billion, but now expects the phasing to be split broadly evenly between the first half and the second half. • bp continues to expect divestment and other proceeds of $2-3 billion in 2024, weighted towards the second half. Having realized $18.2 billion of divestment and other proceeds since the second quarter of 2020, bp continues to expect to reach $25 billion of divestment and other proceeds between the second half of 2020 and 2025. • bp continues to expect Gulf of Mexico oil spill payments for the year to be around $1.2 billion pre-tax including $1.1 billion pre-tax paid during the second quarter.

展望与指导2024年第二季度指引 • 展望未来,英国石油公司预计,与2024年第一季度相比,2024年第二季度公布的上游*产量将略有下降。• 在客户业务方面,英国石油公司预计,季节性增长的销量和燃料利润率仍将受到供应成本变动的敏感性。• 在产品方面,英国石油公司预计,已实现利润率将受到北美重质原油差异缩小的影响,并对产品裂缝的相对变动保持敏感。此外,英国石油公司预计,惠廷炼油厂第一季度没有出现全厂停电的情况将被更高的周转活动水平所部分抵消。2024年指引除了第2页的指引外:• bp继续预计,与2023年相比,报告的和基础上游产量*都将略有增加。在此范围内,英国石油公司继续预计,石油生产和运营的基础产量将增加,天然气和低碳能源的产量将降低。• 在其客户业务中,英国石油公司继续预计,便利性带来增长,包括美国旅行中心的全年贡献;在焦点市场销量增长的支撑下,嘉实多将做出更大的贡献;以及受能源销售增加的推动,英国石油公司的利润率持续增长。此外,英国石油公司继续预计,燃料利润率将对供应成本保持敏感。• 在产品方面,英国石油公司继续预计行业炼油利润率将降低,已实现利润率受到北美重质原油差异缩小的影响。英国石油公司继续预计,与2023年相比,炼油厂周转活动将对吞吐量和财务业绩产生类似的影响,2024年的分阶段活动主要集中在下半年。• 英国石油公司继续预计其他业务的周转活动将对吞吐量和财务业绩产生类似的影响。• 英国石油公司继续预计其他业务将对产量和财务业绩产生类似的影响。而公司基础年费将为2024 年约为 10 亿美元。费用可能因季度而异。• 英国石油公司继续预计折旧、损耗和摊销额将略高于2023年。• bp继续预计2024年的基础ETR*约为40%,但它对当前价格环境的波动可能对集团盈亏的地域结构产生的影响很敏感。• bp继续预计2024年的资本支出*约为160亿美元,但现在预计php将在160亿美元左右将在上半场和下半场之间大致平均分配。• bp 继续预计2024年撤资和其他收益将达到20亿至30亿美元,加权下半年。英国石油公司自2020年第二季度以来已实现182亿美元的撤资和其他收益,预计在2020年下半年至2025年之间,撤资和其他收益将达到250亿美元。• bp继续预计,墨西哥湾漏油事件的税前补助金约为12亿美元,其中包括第二季度支付的11亿美元税前付款。

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