Zhejiang Shengda Bio-Pharm Co., Ltd. (SHSE:603079) shares have continued their recent momentum with a 27% gain in the last month alone. Taking a wider view, although not as strong as the last month, the full year gain of 12% is also fairly reasonable.
In spite of the firm bounce in price, there still wouldn't be many who think Zhejiang Shengda Bio-Pharm's price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 3.3x is worth a mention when the median P/S in China's Pharmaceuticals industry is similar at about 3.5x. While this might not raise any eyebrows, if the P/S ratio is not justified investors could be missing out on a potential opportunity or ignoring looming disappointment.
What Does Zhejiang Shengda Bio-Pharm's P/S Mean For Shareholders?
For example, consider that Zhejiang Shengda Bio-Pharm's financial performance has been poor lately as its revenue has been in decline. It might be that many expect the company to put the disappointing revenue performance behind them over the coming period, which has kept the P/S from falling. If not, then existing shareholders may be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.
We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Zhejiang Shengda Bio-Pharm's earnings, revenue and cash flow.
What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The P/S?
Zhejiang Shengda Bio-Pharm's P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's only expected to deliver moderate growth, and importantly, perform in line with the industry.
Taking a look back first, the company's revenue growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 1.4%. The last three years don't look nice either as the company has shrunk revenue by 16% in aggregate. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing revenue over that time.
Weighing that medium-term revenue trajectory against the broader industry's one-year forecast for expansion of 18% shows it's an unpleasant look.
In light of this, it's somewhat alarming that Zhejiang Shengda Bio-Pharm's P/S sits in line with the majority of other companies. Apparently many investors in the company are way less bearish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock right now. There's a good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the recent negative growth rates.
The Key Takeaway
Zhejiang Shengda Bio-Pharm appears to be back in favour with a solid price jump bringing its P/S back in line with other companies in the industry Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.
We find it unexpected that Zhejiang Shengda Bio-Pharm trades at a P/S ratio that is comparable to the rest of the industry, despite experiencing declining revenues during the medium-term, while the industry as a whole is expected to grow. When we see revenue heading backwards in the context of growing industry forecasts, it'd make sense to expect a possible share price decline on the horizon, sending the moderate P/S lower. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve markedly, investors will have a hard time accepting the share price as fair value.
You should always think about risks. Case in point, we've spotted 2 warning signs for Zhejiang Shengda Bio-Pharm you should be aware of.
If you're unsure about the strength of Zhejiang Shengda Bio-Pharm's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.
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