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SolarWinds' (NYSE:SWI) Five-year Decline in Earnings Translates Into Losses for Shareholders

SolarWinds' (NYSE:SWI) Five-year Decline in Earnings Translates Into Losses for Shareholders

SolarWinds(紐約證券交易所代碼:SWI)的五年收益下降轉化爲股東的虧損
Simply Wall St ·  05/06 22:38

In order to justify the effort of selecting individual stocks, it's worth striving to beat the returns from a market index fund. But the main game is to find enough winners to more than offset the losers So we wouldn't blame long term SolarWinds Corporation (NYSE:SWI) shareholders for doubting their decision to hold, with the stock down 69% over a half decade.

爲了證明選擇個股的努力是合理的,值得努力超過市場指數基金的回報。但是主要的遊戲是找到足夠的贏家來抵消輸家。因此,我們不會責怪SolarWinds公司(紐約證券交易所代碼:SWI)的長期股東懷疑他們的持股決定,該股在五年內下跌了69%。

While the last five years has been tough for SolarWinds shareholders, this past week has shown signs of promise. So let's look at the longer term fundamentals and see if they've been the driver of the negative returns.

儘管過去五年對SolarWinds的股東來說是艱難的,但上週顯示出希望的跡象。因此,讓我們來看看長期基本面,看看它們是否是負回報的驅動力。

Given that SolarWinds only made minimal earnings in the last twelve months, we'll focus on revenue to gauge its business development. As a general rule, we think this kind of company is more comparable to loss-making stocks, since the actual profit is so low. For shareholders to have confidence a company will grow profits significantly, it must grow revenue.

鑑於SolarWinds在過去十二個月中僅實現了最低收益,我們將重點關注收入來衡量其業務發展。通常,我們認爲這種公司更能與虧損股票相提並論,因爲實際利潤太低了。要使股東有信心公司大幅增加利潤,就必須增加收入。

In the last five years SolarWinds saw its revenue shrink by 3.3% per year. That's not what investors generally want to see. With neither profit nor revenue growth, the loss of 11% per year doesn't really surprise us. The chance of imminent investor enthusiasm for this stock seems slimmer than Louise Brooks. Not that many investors like to invest in companies that are losing money and not growing revenue.

在過去的五年中,SolarWinds的收入每年下降3.3%。這不是投資者普遍希望看到的。由於利潤和收入都沒有增長,每年11%的虧損並不令我們感到驚訝。投資者對這隻股票產生迫在眉睫的熱情的可能性似乎比路易絲·布魯克斯要小。很少有投資者喜歡投資虧損且收入不增長的公司。

The company's revenue and earnings (over time) are depicted in the image below (click to see the exact numbers).

公司的收入和收益(隨着時間的推移)如下圖所示(點擊查看確切數字)。

earnings-and-revenue-growth
NYSE:SWI Earnings and Revenue Growth May 6th 2024
紐約證券交易所:SWI 收益和收入增長 2024 年 5 月 6 日

We know that SolarWinds has improved its bottom line lately, but what does the future have in store? So we recommend checking out this free report showing consensus forecasts

我們知道SolarWinds最近提高了利潤,但是未來會發生什麼?因此,我們建議您查看這份顯示共識預測的免費報告

What About The Total Shareholder Return (TSR)?

那麼股東總回報(TSR)呢?

Investors should note that there's a difference between SolarWinds' total shareholder return (TSR) and its share price change, which we've covered above. The TSR is a return calculation that accounts for the value of cash dividends (assuming that any dividend received was reinvested) and the calculated value of any discounted capital raisings and spin-offs. SolarWinds hasn't been paying dividends, but its TSR of -30% exceeds its share price return of -69%, implying it has either spun-off a business, or raised capital at a discount; thereby providing additional value to shareholders.

投資者應注意,SolarWinds的股東總回報率(TSR)與其股價變動之間存在差異,我們在上面已經對此進行了介紹。股東總回報率是一種回報計算方法,它考慮了現金分紅的價值(假設收到的任何股息都經過再投資)以及任何貼現資本籌集和分拆的計算價值。SolarWinds尚未派發股息,但其股東回報率爲-30%,超過了-69%的股價回報率,這意味着它要麼分拆了業務,要麼以折扣價籌集了資金;從而爲股東提供了額外價值。

A Different Perspective

不同的視角

We're pleased to report that SolarWinds shareholders have received a total shareholder return of 46% over one year. That certainly beats the loss of about 5% per year over the last half decade. We generally put more weight on the long term performance over the short term, but the recent improvement could hint at a (positive) inflection point within the business. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. Take risks, for example - SolarWinds has 3 warning signs (and 1 which is concerning) we think you should know about.

我們很高興地向大家報告,SolarWinds的股東在一年內獲得了46%的總股東回報率。這無疑超過了過去五年中每年約5%的損失。我們通常更看重短期內的長期表現,但最近的改善可能暗示業務出現了(積極的)轉折點。儘管市場狀況可能對股價產生的不同影響值得考慮,但還有其他因素更爲重要。例如,冒險吧——SolarWinds有3個警告信號(其中一個令人擔憂),我們認爲你應該知道。

But note: SolarWinds may not be the best stock to buy. So take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with past earnings growth (and further growth forecast).

但請注意:SolarWinds可能不是最值得購買的股票。因此,來看看這份過去盈利增長(以及進一步增長預測)的有趣公司的免費清單。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on American exchanges.

請注意,本文引用的市場回報反映了目前在美國交易所交易的股票的市場加權平均回報。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對這篇文章有反饋嗎?對內容感到擔憂?直接聯繫我們。 或者,給編輯團隊 (at) simplywallst.com 發送電子郵件。
Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。

譯文內容由第三人軟體翻譯。


以上內容僅用作資訊或教育之目的,不構成與富途相關的任何投資建議。富途竭力但無法保證上述全部內容的真實性、準確性和原創性。
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