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BYD ELECTRONIC(00285.HK):1Q2024 EARNINGS MEET MARKET EXPECTATIONS;AI BUSINESS EXPANSION TO EXCEED MARKET EXPECTATIONS

BYD ELECTRONIC(00285.HK):1Q2024 EARNINGS MEET MARKET EXPECTATIONS;AI BUSINESS EXPANSION TO EXCEED MARKET EXPECTATIONS

比亞迪電子(00285.HK):2024年第一季度收益符合市場預期;人工智能業務擴張將超出市場預期
国泰君安国际 ·  04/30

We maintain TP at HK$38.70 and the investment rating as "Buy". Since we expect BYD Electronic's (the "Company") main business lines will be growing this year, and we expect net profit to increase by over 30% yoy in 2024, coupled with the new opportunities that AI will bring to the Company, we maintain TP at HK$38.70 and the investment rating as "Buy". The TP represents 15.1x/ 12.0x/ 10.4 2024-2026 PER.

我們將目標價維持在38.70港元,投資評級爲 “買入”。由於我們預計比亞迪電子(“公司”)今年的主要業務線將增長,並且我們預計2024年淨利潤將同比增長30%以上,再加上人工智能將爲公司帶來的新機遇,我們將目標價維持在38.70港元,投資評級爲 “買入”。目標收益率爲 15.1x/ 12.0x/ 10.4 2024-2026 年市盈率。

BYD Electronic's 1Q2024 earnings were in line with market expectations. Revenue and shareholders' net profit in 1Q2024 were RMB36,480 million (+38.3% yoy) and RMB610 million (+33.0% yoy), respectively, thanks to revenue contribution from Jabil plants, recovery of Android business as well as the further development of vehicle electronics business. Gross margin decreased by 0.8 ppts yoy to 6.9%, due to the change in product mix.

比亞迪電子的 1Q2024 收益符合市場預期。1Q2024 的收入和股東淨利潤分別爲人民幣364.8億元(同比增長38.3%)和 RMB610 百萬元(同比增長33.0%),這要歸功於捷普工廠的收入貢獻、安卓業務的復甦以及汽車電子業務的進一步發展。由於產品結構的變化,毛利率同比下降0.8個百分點至6.9%。

We expect earnings to keep achieving strong growth. Due to the contribution of acquisition of Jabil plant, recovery of Android business, especially in components and parts, as well as start of massive production of more intelligent driving and intelligent suspension products, we expect revenue to still record remarkable growth higher than 30% in 2024 and afterwards. Moreover, the Company is copying its own automation and lean management concepts and tools to Jabil factories currently, which we believe will significantly improving the profitability level of the business. Last but not least, given the acquisition incurred a large amount of loans, the Company started to repay the loans and replace USD loans to RMB loans, and by the end of 2Q2024, USD loans are expected to be basically gone, and interest expenses in each quarter to gradually decline.

我們預計收益將繼續實現強勁增長。由於收購捷普工廠、安卓業務的恢復,尤其是零部件業務的恢復,以及開始大規模生產更智能的駕駛和智能懸架產品的貢獻,我們預計2024年及以後的收入仍將實現超過30%的顯著增長。此外,該公司目前正在將自己的自動化和精益管理概念和工具複製到捷普工廠,我們認爲這將顯著提高業務的盈利水平。最後但並非最不重要的一點是,鑑於此次收購產生了大量貸款,公司開始償還貸款並將美元貸款替換爲人民幣貸款,到 2Q2024 結束時,美元貸款預計將基本消失,每個季度的利息支出將逐漸下降。

We expect the Company's future expansion in AI field to exceed market expectations. The Company has cooperated with NVIDIA for a long time and has been in the graphics card business since 2010. Therefore, they are very familiar with the R&D and marketing at NVIDIA. Last year, the Company became a partner of NVIDIA AI server, and the products are expected to start shipping from 2Q this year. Besides, the Company is cooperating with NVIDIA in AMR robot. We believe many underlying technologies of many companies' existing businesses are similar to these new businesses. For instance, BYD Electronic has a long-time experience of assembly, components and parts, and industrial chain management in PC industry, which is transferable to server industry. Besides, the power consumption of AI computing is increasing, and traditional air-cooled cooling is no longer sufficient to cope with it, thus It is necessary to introduce liquid cooling technology, while BYD Electronics has accumulated a lot of experience in automotive liquid cooling (the environment that automotive liquid cooling needs to deal with is more complex). Therefore, we believe that the Company can effectively replicate its experience and technology in liquid cooling to the server business. For another example, due to the fact that the underlying AI technology and image recognition technology required by robots are essentially similar to the underlying technology of intelligent driving, while the environment faced by intelligent driving is relatively more complex than that of AMR robot, thus we believe that the Company's extensive accumulation in intelligent driving can help it quickly enter the robotics field. Relying on these underlying technology and experiences, we believe the Company's expansion in the server and robotics field will exceed market expectations.

我們預計,該公司未來在人工智能領域的擴張將超出市場預期。該公司與NVIDIA合作了很長時間,自2010年以來一直從事顯卡業務。因此,他們對NVIDIA的研發和營銷非常熟悉。去年,該公司成爲NVIDIA AI服務器的合作伙伴,這些產品預計將於今年第二季度開始發貨。此外,該公司正在與NVIDIA合作開發AMR機器人。我們認爲,許多公司現有業務的許多底層技術與這些新業務相似。例如,比亞迪電子在個人電腦行業擁有長期的組裝、零部件和產業鏈管理經驗,這種經驗可以轉移到服務器行業。此外,人工智能計算的功耗在增加,傳統的風冷冷卻已經不足以應對,因此有必要引入液體冷卻技術,而比亞迪電子在汽車液冷方面積累了大量的經驗(汽車液冷需要應對的環境更爲複雜)。因此,我們相信該公司可以有效地將其在液體冷卻方面的經驗和技術複製到服務器業務中。再舉一個例子,由於機器人所需的底層人工智能技術和圖像識別技術與智能駕駛的底層技術本質上相似,而智能駕駛所面臨的環境相對比AMR機器人更爲複雜,因此我們認爲公司在智能駕駛方面的廣泛積累可以幫助其迅速進入機器人領域。依靠這些底層技術和經驗,我們相信公司在服務器和機器人領域的擴張將超出市場預期。

Catalysts: Improvement of production efficiency at Jabil plants may result in higher gross margin; Quicker-than-expected mass production of AI servers and AMR robots.

催化劑:捷普工廠生產效率的提高可能會提高毛利率;人工智能服務器和AMR機器人的批量生產速度快於預期。

Risk warning: Market competition may be more intense than expected; product line expansion may be slower-than-expected.

風險警告:市場競爭可能比預期的更加激烈;產品線擴張可能比預期的要慢。

譯文內容由第三人軟體翻譯。


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