share_log

Shandong Linglong Tyre Co.,Ltd. Just Missed Revenue By 16%: Here's What Analysts Think Will Happen Next

Shandong Linglong Tyre Co.,Ltd. Just Missed Revenue By 16%: Here's What Analysts Think Will Happen Next

山東玲瓏輪胎有限公司, Ltd. 的收入剛剛下降了16%:以下是分析師認爲接下來會發生的事情
Simply Wall St ·  04/27 08:31

Shandong Linglong Tyre Co.,Ltd. (SHSE:601966) shareholders are probably feeling a little disappointed, since its shares fell 7.3% to CN¥22.52 in the week after its latest quarterly results. Revenues were CN¥5.0b, 16% below analyst expectations, although losses didn't appear to worsen significantly, with a statutory per-share loss of CN¥0.95 being in line with what the analysts anticipated. This is an important time for investors, as they can track a company's performance in its report, look at what experts are forecasting for next year, and see if there has been any change to expectations for the business. So we collected the latest post-earnings statutory consensus estimates to see what could be in store for next year.

山東玲瓏輪胎有限公司, Ltd.(上海證券交易所股票代碼:601966)的股東可能會感到有些失望,因爲其股價在公佈最新季度業績後的一週內下跌了7.3%,至22.52元人民幣。收入爲50億元人民幣,比分析師的預期低16%,儘管虧損似乎沒有顯著惡化,0.95元人民幣的法定每股虧損符合分析師的預期。對於投資者來說,這是一個重要時刻,因爲他們可以在報告中追蹤公司的業績,看看專家對明年的預測,看看對該業務的預期是否有任何變化。因此,我們收集了最新的業績後法定共識估計,以了解明年可能會發生什麼。

earnings-and-revenue-growth
SHSE:601966 Earnings and Revenue Growth April 27th 2024
SHSE: 601966 收益和收入增長 2024 年 4 月 27 日

Taking into account the latest results, the consensus forecast from Shandong Linglong TyreLtd's nine analysts is for revenues of CN¥25.1b in 2024. This reflects a substantial 21% improvement in revenue compared to the last 12 months. Statutory earnings per share are predicted to soar 34% to CN¥1.48. Yet prior to the latest earnings, the analysts had been anticipated revenues of CN¥25.4b and earnings per share (EPS) of CN¥1.43 in 2024. The analysts seems to have become more bullish on the business, judging by their new earnings per share estimates.

考慮到最新業績,山東玲瓏輪胎有限公司的九位分析師的共識預測是,2024年的收入爲251億元人民幣。這反映了與過去12個月相比,收入大幅增長了21%。預計每股法定收益將飆升34%,至1.48元人民幣。然而,在最新業績公佈之前,分析師曾預計2024年的收入爲254億元人民幣,每股收益(EPS)爲1.43元人民幣。從他們新的每股收益估計來看,分析師似乎對該業務變得更加看好。

There's been no major changes to the consensus price target of CN¥30.82, suggesting that the improved earnings per share outlook is not enough to have a long-term positive impact on the stock's valuation. There's another way to think about price targets though, and that's to look at the range of price targets put forward by analysts, because a wide range of estimates could suggest a diverse view on possible outcomes for the business. There are some variant perceptions on Shandong Linglong TyreLtd, with the most bullish analyst valuing it at CN¥35.50 and the most bearish at CN¥27.10 per share. The narrow spread of estimates could suggest that the business' future is relatively easy to value, or thatthe analysts have a strong view on its prospects.

30.82元人民幣的共識目標股價沒有重大變化,這表明每股收益前景的改善不足以對股票估值產生長期的積極影響。但是,還有另一種思考價格目標的方法,那就是研究分析師提出的價格目標範圍,因爲範圍廣泛的估計可能表明,對業務可能的結果有不同的看法。對山東玲瓏輪胎有一些不同的看法,最看漲的分析師將其估值爲35.50元人民幣,最看跌的爲每股27.10元人民幣。估計值的狹窄差異可能表明該業務的未來相對容易估值,或者分析師對其前景有強烈的看法。

Taking a look at the bigger picture now, one of the ways we can understand these forecasts is to see how they compare to both past performance and industry growth estimates. It's clear from the latest estimates that Shandong Linglong TyreLtd's rate of growth is expected to accelerate meaningfully, with the forecast 29% annualised revenue growth to the end of 2024 noticeably faster than its historical growth of 2.7% p.a. over the past five years. Compare this with other companies in the same industry, which are forecast to grow their revenue 18% annually. It seems obvious that, while the growth outlook is brighter than the recent past, the analysts also expect Shandong Linglong TyreLtd to grow faster than the wider industry.

現在從大局來看,我們理解這些預測的方法之一是了解它們與過去的業績和行業增長估計相比如何。從最新估計中可以明顯看出,山東玲瓏輪胎的增長率預計將大幅加快,預計到2024年底的年化收入增長率爲29%,將明顯快於其過去五年2.7%的歷史年增長率。相比之下,同行業的其他公司預計收入每年將增長18%。顯而易見,儘管增長前景比最近更加光明,但分析師也預計,山東玲瓏輪胎有限公司的增長速度將超過整個行業。

The Bottom Line

底線

The biggest takeaway for us is the consensus earnings per share upgrade, which suggests a clear improvement in sentiment around Shandong Linglong TyreLtd's earnings potential next year. Fortunately, they also reconfirmed their revenue numbers, suggesting that it's tracking in line with expectations. Additionally, our data suggests that revenue is expected to grow faster than the wider industry. The consensus price target held steady at CN¥30.82, with the latest estimates not enough to have an impact on their price targets.

對我們來說,最大的收穫是共識的每股收益上調,這表明圍繞山東玲瓏輪胎明年盈利潛力的情緒將明顯改善。幸運的是,他們還再次確認了收入數字,表明收入符合預期。此外,我們的數據表明,收入的增長速度預計將快於整個行業。共識目標股價穩定在30.82元人民幣,最新估計不足以對其目標股價產生影響。

With that in mind, we wouldn't be too quick to come to a conclusion on Shandong Linglong TyreLtd. Long-term earnings power is much more important than next year's profits. At Simply Wall St, we have a full range of analyst estimates for Shandong Linglong TyreLtd going out to 2026, and you can see them free on our platform here..

考慮到這一點,我們不會很快就山東玲瓏輪胎得出結論。長期盈利能力比明年的利潤重要得多。在Simply Wall St,我們有分析師對山東玲瓏輪胎到2026年的全方位估計,你可以在我們的平台上免費查看。

It is also worth noting that we have found 1 warning sign for Shandong Linglong TyreLtd that you need to take into consideration.

還值得注意的是,我們發現了山東玲瓏輪胎的1個警告標誌,你需要考慮。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對這篇文章有反饋嗎?對內容感到擔憂?直接聯繫我們。 或者,給編輯團隊 (at) simplywallst.com 發送電子郵件。
Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。

譯文內容由第三人軟體翻譯。


以上內容僅用作資訊或教育之目的,不構成與富途相關的任何投資建議。富途竭力但無法保證上述全部內容的真實性、準確性和原創性。
    搶先評論