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Here's Why Cheniere Energy (NYSE:LNG) Can Manage Its Debt Responsibly

Here's Why Cheniere Energy (NYSE:LNG) Can Manage Its Debt Responsibly

這就是Cheniere Energy(紐約證券交易所代碼:LNG)可以負責任地管理債務的原因
Simply Wall St ·  04/26 20:36

Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. As with many other companies Cheniere Energy, Inc. (NYSE:LNG) makes use of debt. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

有人說,波動性,而不是債務,是投資者思考風險的最佳方式,但禾倫·巴菲特曾說過一句名言:“波動性遠非風險的代名詞。”當我們思考一家公司的風險有多大時,我們總是喜歡考慮其債務的用途,因爲債務過載可能導致破產。與許多其他公司一樣,切尼爾能源公司(紐約證券交易所代碼:LNG)也使用債務。但是這筆債務是股東關心的問題嗎?

When Is Debt A Problem?

債務何時會成爲問題?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

債務是幫助企業增長的工具,但如果企業無法還清貸方,那麼債務就任其擺佈。最終,如果公司無法履行償還債務的法律義務,股東可能一無所有地離開。但是,更常見(但仍然昂貴)的情況是,公司必須以低廉的股價稀釋股東,這樣才能控制債務。當然,許多公司使用債務爲增長提供資金,而不會產生任何負面後果。在考慮企業使用多少債務時,要做的第一件事是將其現金和債務放在一起考慮。

What Is Cheniere Energy's Debt?

Cheniere Energy的債務是什麼?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that Cheniere Energy had US$23.7b of debt in December 2023, down from US$24.9b, one year before. On the flip side, it has US$4.16b in cash leading to net debt of about US$19.5b.

你可以點擊下圖查看歷史數字,但它顯示切尼爾能源在2023年12月有237億美元的債務,低於一年前的249億美元。另一方面,它擁有41.6億美元的現金,淨負債約爲195億美元。

debt-equity-history-analysis
NYSE:LNG Debt to Equity History April 26th 2024
紐約證券交易所:液化天然氣債權益比率歷史記錄 2024 年 4 月 26 日

How Healthy Is Cheniere Energy's Balance Sheet?

Cheniere Energy 的資產負債表有多健康?

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Cheniere Energy had liabilities of US$3.89b falling due within a year, and liabilities of US$30.2b due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of US$4.16b and US$1.11b worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by US$28.8b.

我們可以從最新的資產負債表中看出,Cheniere Energy的負債爲38.9億美元,在此之後到期的負債爲302億美元。另一方面,它有一年內到期的現金爲41.6億美元,還有價值11.1億美元的應收賬款。因此,其負債超過其現金和(短期)應收賬款總額288億美元。

This deficit is considerable relative to its very significant market capitalization of US$36.8b, so it does suggest shareholders should keep an eye on Cheniere Energy's use of debt. Should its lenders demand that it shore up the balance sheet, shareholders would likely face severe dilution.

與其368億美元的巨大市值相比,這一赤字相當可觀,因此這確實表明股東應密切關注Cheniere Energy的債務使用情況。如果其貸款人要求其支撐資產負債表,股東可能會面臨嚴重的稀釋。

We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).

我們使用兩個主要比率來告知我們相對於收益的債務水平。第一個是淨負債除以利息、稅項、折舊和攤銷前的收益(EBITDA),第二個是其利息和稅前收益(EBIT)覆蓋其利息支出(或簡稱利息保障)的多少倍。這種方法的優勢在於,我們既考慮了債務的絕對數量(包括淨負債與息稅折舊攤銷前利潤),也考慮了與該債務相關的實際利息支出(及其利息覆蓋率)。

Cheniere Energy's net debt is only 1.2 times its EBITDA. And its EBIT covers its interest expense a whopping 16.7 times over. So you could argue it is no more threatened by its debt than an elephant is by a mouse. Better yet, Cheniere Energy grew its EBIT by 245% last year, which is an impressive improvement. If maintained that growth will make the debt even more manageable in the years ahead. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Cheniere Energy can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

切尼爾能源的淨負債僅爲其息稅折舊攤銷前利潤的1.2倍。其息稅前利潤可支付其高達16.7倍的利息支出。因此,你可以爭辯說,它受到債務的威脅並不比大象受到老鼠的威脅更大。更好的是,Cheniere Energy去年的息稅前利潤增長了245%,這是一個令人印象深刻的改善。如果這種增長得以維持,將使未來幾年的債務更加易於管理。毫無疑問,我們從資產負債表中學到的關於債務的知識最多。但最終,該業務未來的盈利能力將決定Cheniere Energy能否隨着時間的推移加強其資產負債表。因此,如果您專注於未來,可以查看這份顯示分析師利潤預測的免費報告。

Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So it's worth checking how much of that EBIT is backed by free cash flow. During the last two years, Cheniere Energy produced sturdy free cash flow equating to 75% of its EBIT, about what we'd expect. This cold hard cash means it can reduce its debt when it wants to.

最後,儘管稅務人員可能喜歡會計利潤,但貸款人只接受冷硬現金。因此,值得檢查一下息稅前利潤中有多少是由自由現金流支持的。在過去的兩年中,Cheniere Energy產生了穩健的自由現金流,相當於其息稅前利潤的75%,與我們的預期差不多。這種冷硬現金意味着它可以在需要時減少債務。

Our View

我們的觀點

The good news is that Cheniere Energy's demonstrated ability to cover its interest expense with its EBIT delights us like a fluffy puppy does a toddler. But, on a more sombre note, we are a little concerned by its level of total liabilities. When we consider the range of factors above, it looks like Cheniere Energy is pretty sensible with its use of debt. While that brings some risk, it can also enhance returns for shareholders. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. These risks can be hard to spot. Every company has them, and we've spotted 2 warning signs for Cheniere Energy (of which 1 is significant!) you should know about.

好消息是,Cheniere Energy表現出的用息稅前利潤支付利息支出的能力使我們感到高興,就像毛茸茸的小狗對待幼兒一樣。但是,更悲觀的是,我們對其總負債水平有點擔憂。當我們考慮上述一系列因素時,Cheniere Energy使用債務似乎相當明智。儘管這帶來了一些風險,但也可以提高股東的回報。在分析債務水平時,資產負債表是顯而易見的起點。但歸根結底,每家公司都可以控制資產負債表之外存在的風險。這些風險可能很難發現。每家公司都有,我們已經發現了 Cheniere Energy 的 2 個警告信號(其中 1 個很重要!)你應該知道。

When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.

當一切都說完之後,有時更容易將注意力集中在甚至不需要債務的公司上。讀者現在可以100%免費訪問淨負債爲零的成長型股票清單。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。

譯文內容由第三人軟體翻譯。


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