A Piece Of The Puzzle Missing From Fox Corporation's (NASDAQ:FOXA) Share Price
A Piece Of The Puzzle Missing From Fox Corporation's (NASDAQ:FOXA) Share Price
With a median price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of close to 17x in the United States, you could be forgiven for feeling indifferent about Fox Corporation's (NASDAQ:FOXA) P/E ratio of 18x. Although, it's not wise to simply ignore the P/E without explanation as investors may be disregarding a distinct opportunity or a costly mistake.
With earnings that are retreating more than the market's of late, Fox has been very sluggish. One possibility is that the P/E is moderate because investors think the company's earnings trend will eventually fall in line with most others in the market. If you still like the company, you'd want its earnings trajectory to turn around before making any decisions. If not, then existing shareholders may be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.
If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Fox.What Are Growth Metrics Telling Us About The P/E?
The only time you'd be comfortable seeing a P/E like Fox's is when the company's growth is tracking the market closely.
Taking a look back first, the company's earnings per share growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 39%. This means it has also seen a slide in earnings over the longer-term as EPS is down 31% in total over the last three years. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing earnings over that time.
Looking ahead now, EPS is anticipated to climb by 29% per annum during the coming three years according to the analysts following the company. That's shaping up to be materially higher than the 11% per year growth forecast for the broader market.
With this information, we find it interesting that Fox is trading at a fairly similar P/E to the market. Apparently some shareholders are skeptical of the forecasts and have been accepting lower selling prices.
The Key Takeaway
We'd say the price-to-earnings ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.
Our examination of Fox's analyst forecasts revealed that its superior earnings outlook isn't contributing to its P/E as much as we would have predicted. There could be some unobserved threats to earnings preventing the P/E ratio from matching the positive outlook. At least the risk of a price drop looks to be subdued, but investors seem to think future earnings could see some volatility.
It's always necessary to consider the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 4 warning signs with Fox (at least 1 which is concerning), and understanding them should be part of your investment process.
If P/E ratios interest you, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
在美國,市盈率中位數(或 “市盈率”)接近17倍,你對福克斯公司(納斯達克股票代碼:FOXA)的18倍市盈率漠不關心是可以原諒的。但是,不加解釋地忽略市盈率是不明智的,因爲投資者可能無視一個特殊的機會或一個代價高昂的錯誤。
由於收益的回落幅度超過了最近的市場,福克斯一直非常疲軟。一種可能性是市盈率適中,因爲投資者認爲該公司的收益趨勢最終將與市場上大多數其他公司的收益趨勢一致。如果你仍然喜歡這家公司,那麼在做出任何決定之前,你會希望其盈利軌跡得到扭轉。如果不是,那麼現有股東可能會對股價的可行性有些緊張。
如果你想了解分析師對未來的預測,你應該查看我們關於福克斯的免費報告。關於市盈率,增長指標告訴我們什麼?
你唯一能放心地看到像福克斯這樣的市盈率是在公司的增長密切關注市場的時候。
首先回顧一下,該公司去年的每股收益增長並不令人興奮,因爲它公佈了令人失望的39%的跌幅。這意味着從長遠來看,其收益也有所下滑,因爲在過去三年中,每股收益總額下降了31%。因此,不幸的是,我們必須承認,在此期間,該公司在增加收益方面做得不好。
根據關注該公司的分析師的說法,展望未來,預計未來三年每股收益將每年增長29%。這將大大高於整個市場每年11%的增長預期。
有了這些信息,我們發現有趣的是,福克斯的市盈率與市場相當相似。顯然,一些股東對預測持懷疑態度,並一直在接受較低的銷售價格。
關鍵要點
我們可以說,市盈率的力量主要不是作爲估值工具,而是衡量當前投資者情緒和未來預期。
我們對福克斯分析師預測的審查顯示,其優異的盈利前景對市盈率的貢獻不如我們預期的那麼大。可能存在一些未觀察到的收益威脅,使市盈率無法與樂觀的前景相一致。至少價格下跌的風險似乎有所減弱,但投資者似乎認爲未來的收益可能會出現一些波動。
始終有必要考慮永遠存在的投資風險幽靈。我們已經向福克斯確定了4個警告信號(至少有一個令人擔憂),了解它們應該是您投資過程的一部分。
如果你對市盈率感興趣,你可能希望看到這批盈利增長強勁、市盈率低的免費公司。
對這篇文章有反饋嗎?對內容感到擔憂?直接聯繫我們。 或者,給編輯團隊 (at) simplywallst.com 發送電子郵件。
Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。
譯文內容由第三人軟體翻譯。
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