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Liqun Commercial GroupLtd's (SHSE:601366) Profits Appear To Have Quality Issues

Liqun Commercial GroupLtd's (SHSE:601366) Profits Appear To Have Quality Issues

利群商業集團有限公司(上海證券交易所代碼:601366)的利潤似乎存在質量問題
Simply Wall St ·  04/26 07:10

Liqun Commercial Group Co.,Ltd.'s (SHSE:601366) robust recent earnings didn't do much to move the stock. However the statutory profit number doesn't tell the whole story, and we have found some factors which might be of concern to shareholders.

利群商業集團有限公司, Ltd. 's(上海證券交易所代碼:601366)近期強勁的收益並沒有對該股產生太大影響。但是,法定利潤數字並不能說明全部情況,我們發現了一些可能引起股東關注的因素。

earnings-and-revenue-history
SHSE:601366 Earnings and Revenue History April 25th 2024
SHSE: 601366 2024 年 4 月 25 日的收益和收入歷史記錄

A Closer Look At Liqun Commercial GroupLtd's Earnings

仔細看看利群商業集團有限公司的收益

Many investors haven't heard of the accrual ratio from cashflow, but it is actually a useful measure of how well a company's profit is backed up by free cash flow (FCF) during a given period. To get the accrual ratio we first subtract FCF from profit for a period, and then divide that number by the average operating assets for the period. You could think of the accrual ratio from cashflow as the 'non-FCF profit ratio'.

許多投資者尚未聽說過現金流的應計比率,但它實際上是衡量公司在給定時期內自由現金流(FCF)在多大程度上支持利潤的有用指標。爲了獲得應計比率,我們首先從一段時期的利潤中減去FCF,然後將該數字除以該期間的平均運營資產。你可以將現金流的應計比率視爲 “非FCF利潤率”。

As a result, a negative accrual ratio is a positive for the company, and a positive accrual ratio is a negative. That is not intended to imply we should worry about a positive accrual ratio, but it's worth noting where the accrual ratio is rather high. To quote a 2014 paper by Lewellen and Resutek, "firms with higher accruals tend to be less profitable in the future".

因此,負應計比率對公司來說是正數,正應計比率是負數。這並不意味着我們應該擔心應計比率爲正,但值得注意的是,應計比率相當高的地方。引用Lewellen和Resutek在2014年發表的一篇論文,“應計額較高的公司未來的利潤往往較低”。

For the year to December 2023, Liqun Commercial GroupLtd had an accrual ratio of -0.10. Therefore, its statutory earnings were quite a lot less than its free cashflow. In fact, it had free cash flow of CN¥955m in the last year, which was a lot more than its statutory profit of CN¥29.8m. Notably, Liqun Commercial GroupLtd had negative free cash flow last year, so the CN¥955m it produced this year was a welcome improvement. However, that's not all there is to consider. We can see that unusual items have impacted its statutory profit, and therefore the accrual ratio.

在截至2023年12月的一年中,利群商業集團有限公司的應計比率爲-0.10。因此,其法定收入遠遠低於其自由現金流。實際上,它去年的自由現金流爲9.55億元人民幣,遠遠超過其2980萬元的法定利潤。值得注意的是,利群商業集團有限公司去年的自由現金流爲負,因此其今年的9.55億元人民幣是一個可喜的改善。但是,這還不是要考慮的全部。我們可以看到,不尋常的項目影響了其法定利潤,從而影響了應計比率。

Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Liqun Commercial GroupLtd.

注意:我們始終建議投資者檢查資產負債表的實力。點擊此處查看我們對利群商業集團有限公司的資產負債表分析。

How Do Unusual Items Influence Profit?

不尋常的物品如何影響利潤?

Surprisingly, given Liqun Commercial GroupLtd's accrual ratio implied strong cash conversion, its paper profit was actually boosted by CN¥86m in unusual items. We can't deny that higher profits generally leave us optimistic, but we'd prefer it if the profit were to be sustainable. When we analysed the vast majority of listed companies worldwide, we found that significant unusual items are often not repeated. And, after all, that's exactly what the accounting terminology implies. Liqun Commercial GroupLtd had a rather significant contribution from unusual items relative to its profit to December 2023. As a result, we can surmise that the unusual items are making its statutory profit significantly stronger than it would otherwise be.

令人驚訝的是,鑑於利群商業集團有限公司的應計比率意味着強勁的現金轉換,其票面利潤實際上是由8600萬元人民幣的不尋常項目提振的。我們不能否認更高的利潤通常會讓我們感到樂觀,但如果利潤是可持續的,我們更願意這樣做。當我們分析全球絕大多數上市公司時,我們發現重大不尋常的事項往往不會重演。而且,畢竟,這正是會計術語的含義。截至2023年12月,利群商業集團有限公司從不尋常的項目中獲得了相當大的利潤。因此,我們可以推測,這些不尋常的物品使其法定利潤明顯高於原來的水平。

Our Take On Liqun Commercial GroupLtd's Profit Performance

我們對利群商業集團有限公司利潤表現的看法

Liqun Commercial GroupLtd's profits got a boost from unusual items, which indicates they might not be sustained and yet its accrual ratio still indicated solid cash conversion, which is promising. Having considered these factors, we don't think Liqun Commercial GroupLtd's statutory profits give an overly harsh view of the business. Keep in mind, when it comes to analysing a stock it's worth noting the risks involved. For instance, we've identified 3 warning signs for Liqun Commercial GroupLtd (2 are concerning) you should be familiar with.

利群商業集團有限公司的利潤因不尋常的項目而得到提振,這表明利群商業集團的利潤可能無法持續下去,但其應計比率仍然顯示出穩健的現金轉換,這令人鼓舞。考慮到這些因素,我們認爲利群商業集團有限公司的法定利潤對業務的看法並不過於嚴厲。請記住,在分析股票時,值得注意所涉及的風險。例如,我們已經確定了你應該熟悉的利群商業集團有限公司的3個警告信號(2個令人擔憂)。

In this article we've looked at a number of factors that can impair the utility of profit numbers, as a guide to a business. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. For example, many people consider a high return on equity as an indication of favorable business economics, while others like to 'follow the money' and search out stocks that insiders are buying. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying to be useful.

在本文中,我們研究了許多可能削弱利潤數字效用的因素,以此作爲業務指南。但是,如果你能夠將注意力集中在細節上,總會有更多值得發現的地方。例如,許多人認爲高股本回報率表明商業經濟狀況良好,而另一些人則喜歡 “追隨資金”,尋找內部人士正在購買的股票。儘管可能需要代表你進行一些研究,但你可能會發現這份免費收集的擁有高股本回報率的公司,或者這份內部人士正在購買的股票清單很有用。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對這篇文章有反饋嗎?對內容感到擔憂?直接聯繫我們。 或者,給編輯團隊 (at) simplywallst.com 發送電子郵件。
Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。

譯文內容由第三人軟體翻譯。


以上內容僅用作資訊或教育之目的,不構成與富途相關的任何投資建議。富途竭力但無法保證上述全部內容的真實性、準確性和原創性。
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