MediaCo Holding Inc. (NASDAQ:MDIA) Stock Rockets 348% As Investors Are Less Pessimistic Than Expected
MediaCo Holding Inc. (NASDAQ:MDIA) Stock Rockets 348% As Investors Are Less Pessimistic Than Expected
MediaCo Holding Inc. (NASDAQ:MDIA) shares have had a really impressive month, gaining 348% after a shaky period beforehand. The last 30 days bring the annual gain to a very sharp 76%.
Since its price has surged higher, when almost half of the companies in the United States' Media industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 0.9x, you may consider MediaCo Holding as a stock probably not worth researching with its 2.9x P/S ratio. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the elevated P/S.
What Does MediaCo Holding's Recent Performance Look Like?
As an illustration, revenue has deteriorated at MediaCo Holding over the last year, which is not ideal at all. One possibility is that the P/S is high because investors think the company will still do enough to outperform the broader industry in the near future. However, if this isn't the case, investors might get caught out paying too much for the stock.
Although there are no analyst estimates available for MediaCo Holding, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The High P/S?
MediaCo Holding's P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver solid growth, and importantly, perform better than the industry.
Taking a look back first, the company's revenue growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 16%. The last three years don't look nice either as the company has shrunk revenue by 17% in aggregate. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing revenue over that time.
Weighing that medium-term revenue trajectory against the broader industry's one-year forecast for expansion of 3.8% shows it's an unpleasant look.
With this in mind, we find it worrying that MediaCo Holding's P/S exceeds that of its industry peers. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent revenue trends is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.
What Does MediaCo Holding's P/S Mean For Investors?
MediaCo Holding shares have taken a big step in a northerly direction, but its P/S is elevated as a result. Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.
We've established that MediaCo Holding currently trades on a much higher than expected P/S since its recent revenues have been in decline over the medium-term. When we see revenue heading backwards and underperforming the industry forecasts, we feel the possibility of the share price declining is very real, bringing the P/S back into the realm of reasonability. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve markedly, investors will have a hard time accepting the share price as fair value.
You need to take note of risks, for example - MediaCo Holding has 5 warning signs (and 4 which don't sit too well with us) we think you should know about.
If strong companies turning a profit tickle your fancy, then you'll want to check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
MediaCo Holding Inc.(納斯達克股票代碼:MDIA)的股價經歷了一個非常令人印象深刻的月份,在經歷了動盪時期之後上漲了348%。過去30天使年增長率達到76%。
由於其價格飆升,當美國媒體行業中將近一半的公司的市銷率(或 “市銷率”)低於0.9倍時,您可以將MediaCo Holding視爲市銷率爲2.9倍的股票,可能不值得研究。但是,我們需要更深入地挖掘,以確定市銷率上升是否有合理的基礎。
MediaCo Holding最近的表現如何?
舉例來說,去年,MediaCo Holding的收入有所下降,這根本不理想。一種可能性是市銷率居高不下,因爲投資者認爲公司在不久的將來仍將做足以跑贏整個行業。但是,如果不是這樣,投資者可能會陷入爲股票支付過多費用的困境。
儘管沒有分析師對MediaCo Holding的估計,但請看一下這個免費的數據豐富的可視化圖表,看看該公司的收益、收入和現金流是如何積累的。收入增長指標告訴我們高市銷率有哪些?
MediaCo Holding的市銷率對於一家有望實現穩健增長且重要的是表現優於行業的公司來說是典型的。
首先回顧一下,該公司去年的收入增長並不令人興奮,因爲它公佈了令人失望的16%的跌幅。過去三年看起來也不太好,因爲該公司的總收入減少了17%。因此,不幸的是,我們必須承認,在此期間,該公司在增加收入方面做得不好。
將中期收入軌跡與整個行業對3.8%的增長預測進行權衡,可以看出這是一個令人不快的表情。
考慮到這一點,我們對MediaCo Holding的市銷率超過業內同行感到擔憂。顯然,該公司的許多投資者比最近所表示的要看漲得多,他們不願意以任何價格拋售股票。只有最大膽的人才會假設這些價格是可持續的,因爲近期收入趨勢的延續最終可能會嚴重壓制股價。
MediaCo Holding的市銷率對投資者意味着什麼?
MediaCo Holding的股票已向北方向邁出了一大步,但其市銷率因此上升。僅使用市銷率來確定是否應該出售股票是不明智的,但它可以作爲公司未來前景的實用指南。
我們已經確定,MediaCo Holding目前的市銷率遠高於預期,因爲其最近的收入在中期內有所下降。當我們看到收入倒退且表現低於行業預測時,我們認爲股價下跌的可能性是真實存在的,這使市銷率回到了合理的境地。除非最近的中期狀況明顯改善,否則投資者將很難接受股價作爲公允價值。
例如,你需要注意風險——MediaCo Holding有5個警告信號(還有4個不太適合我們),我們認爲你應該知道。
如果你喜歡實力雄厚的公司盈利,那麼你會想看看這份以低市盈率(但已證明可以增加收益)的有趣公司的免費名單。
對這篇文章有反饋嗎?對內容感到擔憂?直接聯繫我們。 或者,給編輯團隊 (at) simplywallst.com 發送電子郵件。
Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。
譯文內容由第三人軟體翻譯。
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