Improved Revenues Required Before Universe Pharmaceuticals INC (NASDAQ:UPC) Stock's 30% Jump Looks Justified
Improved Revenues Required Before Universe Pharmaceuticals INC (NASDAQ:UPC) Stock's 30% Jump Looks Justified
The Universe Pharmaceuticals INC (NASDAQ:UPC) share price has done very well over the last month, posting an excellent gain of 30%. Unfortunately, the gains of the last month did little to right the losses of the last year with the stock still down 25% over that time.
Even after such a large jump in price, Universe Pharmaceuticals may still look like a strong buying opportunity at present with its price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.2x, considering almost half of all companies in the Pharmaceuticals industry in the United States have P/S ratios greater than 2.8x and even P/S higher than 15x aren't out of the ordinary. However, the P/S might be quite low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
What Does Universe Pharmaceuticals' Recent Performance Look Like?
For example, consider that Universe Pharmaceuticals' financial performance has been poor lately as its revenue has been in decline. Perhaps the market believes the recent revenue performance isn't good enough to keep up the industry, causing the P/S ratio to suffer. However, if this doesn't eventuate then existing shareholders may be feeling optimistic about the future direction of the share price.
We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Universe Pharmaceuticals' earnings, revenue and cash flow.Do Revenue Forecasts Match The Low P/S Ratio?
There's an inherent assumption that a company should far underperform the industry for P/S ratios like Universe Pharmaceuticals' to be considered reasonable.
In reviewing the last year of financials, we were disheartened to see the company's revenues fell to the tune of 20%. Regardless, revenue has managed to lift by a handy 5.2% in aggregate from three years ago, thanks to the earlier period of growth. So we can start by confirming that the company has generally done a good job of growing revenue over that time, even though it had some hiccups along the way.
Comparing that to the industry, which is predicted to deliver 14% growth in the next 12 months, the company's momentum is weaker, based on recent medium-term annualised revenue results.
With this information, we can see why Universe Pharmaceuticals is trading at a P/S lower than the industry. Apparently many shareholders weren't comfortable holding on to something they believe will continue to trail the wider industry.
What Does Universe Pharmaceuticals' P/S Mean For Investors?
Universe Pharmaceuticals' recent share price jump still sees fails to bring its P/S alongside the industry median. We'd say the price-to-sales ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.
As we suspected, our examination of Universe Pharmaceuticals revealed its three-year revenue trends are contributing to its low P/S, given they look worse than current industry expectations. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in revenue isn't great enough to justify a higher P/S ratio. If recent medium-term revenue trends continue, it's hard to see the share price experience a reversal of fortunes anytime soon.
It's always necessary to consider the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 3 warning signs with Universe Pharmaceuticals, and understanding these should be part of your investment process.
If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Universe Pharmaceuticals, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
宇宙製藥公司(納斯達克股票代碼:UPC)的股價在上個月表現良好,漲幅爲30%。不幸的是,上個月的漲幅幾乎沒有彌補去年的虧損,在此期間,該股仍下跌了25%。
即使在價格大幅上漲之後,Universe Pharmaceuticals目前仍是一個強勁的買入機會,其市銷率(或 “市盈率”)爲0.2倍,因爲美國製藥行業幾乎有一半公司的市銷率大於2.8倍,即使市盈率高於15倍也並非不尋常。但是,市銷率可能很低是有原因的,需要進一步調查以確定其是否合理。
環球製藥最近的表現如何?
例如,假設由於收入下降,Universe Pharmaceuticals的財務表現不佳。也許市場認爲最近的收入表現不足以維持該行業的步伐,從而導致市銷率受到影響。但是,如果最終沒有發生這種情況,那麼現有股東可能會對股價的未來走向感到樂觀。
我們沒有分析師的預測,但您可以查看我們關於Universe Pharmaceuticals收益、收入和現金流的免費報告,了解最近的趨勢如何爲公司的未來做好準備。收入預測與低市銷率相匹配嗎?
人們固有的假設是,如果像環球製藥這樣的市銷率被認爲是合理的,公司的表現應該遠遠低於該行業。
在回顧去年的財務狀況時,我們沮喪地看到該公司的收入下降到20%左右。無論如何,得益於較早的增長期,總收入成功地比三年前增長了5.2%。因此,我們可以首先確認該公司在此期間在增加收入方面總體上做得很好,儘管在此過程中遇到了一些小問題。
相比之下,該行業預計將在未來12個月內實現14%的增長,但根據最近的中期年化收入業績,該公司的勢頭較弱。
有了這些信息,我們可以了解爲何環球製藥的市銷率低於該行業。顯然,許多股東不願意堅持他們認爲將繼續落後於整個行業的東西。
環球製藥的市銷率對投資者意味着什麼?
Universe Pharmaceuticals最近的股價上漲仍未能使其市銷率與行業中位數並駕齊驅。我們可以說,市銷比率的力量主要不是作爲一種估值工具,而是用來衡量當前的投資者情緒和未來預期。
正如我們所懷疑的那樣,我們對Universe Pharmicals的檢查顯示,其三年收入趨勢是其低市銷率的原因,因爲這些趨勢看起來不如當前的行業預期。在現階段,投資者認爲,收入改善的可能性不足以證明更高的市銷率是合理的。如果最近的中期收入趨勢繼續下去,就很難看到股價在短期內出現命運逆轉。
始終有必要考慮永遠存在的投資風險幽靈。我們已經向宇宙製藥公司確定了三個警告信號,了解這些信號應該是您投資過程的一部分。
如果這些風險讓你重新考慮你對Universe Pharmicals的看法,請瀏覽我們的互動式高質量股票清單,了解還有什麼。
對這篇文章有反饋嗎?對內容感到擔憂?直接聯繫我們。 或者,給編輯團隊 (at) simplywallst.com 發送電子郵件。
Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。
譯文內容由第三人軟體翻譯。
風險及免責聲明
- 分享到weixin
- 分享到qq
- 分享到facebook
- 分享到twitter
- 分享到微博
- 粘贴板
使用瀏覽器的分享功能,分享給你的好友吧