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Jiangsu Phoenix Publishing & Media (SHSE:601928) Seems To Use Debt Rather Sparingly

Jiangsu Phoenix Publishing & Media (SHSE:601928) Seems To Use Debt Rather Sparingly

江蘇鳳凰出版傳媒(SHSE: 601928)似乎相當謹慎地使用債務
Simply Wall St ·  04/24 14:43

The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We can see that Jiangsu Phoenix Publishing & Media Corporation Limited (SHSE:601928) does use debt in its business. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

由伯克希爾·哈撒韋公司的查理·芒格支持的外部基金經理李露對此毫不掩飾,他說:“最大的投資風險不是價格的波動,而是你是否會遭受永久的資本損失。”當我們考慮一家公司的風險時,我們總是喜歡考慮其債務的用途,因爲債務過載可能導致破產。我們可以看到,江蘇鳳凰出版傳媒股份有限公司(SHSE: 601928)確實在其業務中使用了債務。但是,股東是否應該擔心其債務的使用?

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

爲什麼債務會帶來風險?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

當企業無法通過自由現金流或以有吸引力的價格籌集資金來輕鬆履行這些義務時,債務和其他負債就會變得有風險。如果情況變得非常糟糕,貸款人可以控制業務。但是,更常見(但成本仍然很高)的情況是,公司必須以低廉的價格發行股票,永久稀釋股東,只是爲了支撐其資產負債表。但是,通過取代稀釋,對於需要資本以高回報率投資增長的企業來說,債務可能是一個非常好的工具。在考慮企業使用多少債務時,要做的第一件事是將現金和債務放在一起考慮。

What Is Jiangsu Phoenix Publishing & Media's Debt?

江蘇鳳凰出版傳媒的債務是多少?

As you can see below, Jiangsu Phoenix Publishing & Media had CN¥161.4m of debt at December 2023, down from CN¥176.2m a year prior. But it also has CN¥3.14b in cash to offset that, meaning it has CN¥2.98b net cash.

如下所示,截至2023年12月,江蘇鳳凰出版傳媒的債務爲1.614億元人民幣,低於去年同期的1.762億加元。但它也有31.4億元的現金來抵消這一點,這意味着它的淨現金爲29.8億元人民幣。

debt-equity-history-analysis
SHSE:601928 Debt to Equity History April 24th 2024
SHSE: 601928 2024 年 4 月 24 日債務與股權比率的歷史記錄

How Healthy Is Jiangsu Phoenix Publishing & Media's Balance Sheet?

江蘇鳳凰出版傳媒的資產負債表有多健康?

According to the last reported balance sheet, Jiangsu Phoenix Publishing & Media had liabilities of CN¥10.6b due within 12 months, and liabilities of CN¥1.33b due beyond 12 months. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of CN¥3.14b as well as receivables valued at CN¥748.2m due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by CN¥8.03b.

根據上次報告的資產負債表,江蘇鳳凰出版傳媒的負債爲106億元人民幣,12個月以後到期的負債爲13.3億元人民幣。除了這些債務外,它還有31.4億元人民幣的現金以及價值7.482億元人民幣的應收賬款將在12個月內到期。因此,其負債超過其現金和(短期)應收賬款總額80.3億元人民幣。

While this might seem like a lot, it is not so bad since Jiangsu Phoenix Publishing & Media has a market capitalization of CN¥26.7b, and so it could probably strengthen its balance sheet by raising capital if it needed to. But we definitely want to keep our eyes open to indications that its debt is bringing too much risk. While it does have liabilities worth noting, Jiangsu Phoenix Publishing & Media also has more cash than debt, so we're pretty confident it can manage its debt safely.

儘管這可能看起來很多,但還不錯,因爲江蘇鳳凰出版傳媒的市值爲267億元人民幣,因此如果需要,它可能會通過籌集資金來加強資產負債表。但是,我們絕對希望留意其債務帶來過大風險的跡象。儘管它確實有值得注意的負債,但江蘇鳳凰出版傳媒的現金也多於債務,因此我們非常有信心它可以安全地管理債務。

Also positive, Jiangsu Phoenix Publishing & Media grew its EBIT by 23% in the last year, and that should make it easier to pay down debt, going forward. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Jiangsu Phoenix Publishing & Media can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

同樣樂觀的是,江蘇鳳凰出版傳媒去年其息稅前利潤增長了23%,這將使未來更容易償還債務。在分析債務水平時,資產負債表是顯而易見的起點。但最終,該業務未來的盈利能力將決定江蘇鳳凰出版傳媒能否隨着時間的推移加強其資產負債表。因此,如果你想看看專業人士的想法,你可能會發現這份關於分析師利潤預測的免費報告很有趣。

Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. Jiangsu Phoenix Publishing & Media may have net cash on the balance sheet, but it is still interesting to look at how well the business converts its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, because that will influence both its need for, and its capacity to manage debt. Happily for any shareholders, Jiangsu Phoenix Publishing & Media actually produced more free cash flow than EBIT over the last three years. That sort of strong cash generation warms our hearts like a puppy in a bumblebee suit.

最後,企業需要自由現金流來償還債務;會計利潤根本無法減少債務。江蘇鳳凰出版傳媒的資產負債表上可能有淨現金,但研究該企業如何將其利息稅前收益(EBIT)轉換爲自由現金流仍然很有趣,因爲這將影響其對債務的需求和管理能力。令所有股東感到高興的是,在過去三年中,江蘇鳳凰出版傳媒產生的自由現金流實際上超過了息稅前利潤。這種強勁的現金產生像穿着大黃蜂套裝的小狗一樣溫暖着我們的心。

Summing Up

總結

While Jiangsu Phoenix Publishing & Media does have more liabilities than liquid assets, it also has net cash of CN¥2.98b. And it impressed us with free cash flow of CN¥2.1b, being 137% of its EBIT. So is Jiangsu Phoenix Publishing & Media's debt a risk? It doesn't seem so to us. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. We've identified 2 warning signs with Jiangsu Phoenix Publishing & Media (at least 1 which is a bit concerning) , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

儘管江蘇鳳凰出版傳媒的負債確實超過了流動資產,但其淨現金也爲29.8億元人民幣。它以21億元人民幣的自由現金流給我們留下了深刻的印象,佔其息稅前利潤的137%。那麼江蘇鳳凰出版傳媒的債務有風險嗎?在我們看來,情況並非如此。毫無疑問,我們從資產負債表中學到的關於債務的知識最多。但是,並非所有的投資風險都存在於資產負債表中,遠非如此。我們已經向江蘇鳳凰出版傳媒確定了兩個警告信號(至少有一個有點令人擔憂),了解它們應該是你投資過程的一部分。

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

畢竟,如果你對一家資產負債表堅如磐石的快速成長型公司更感興趣,那麼請立即查看我們的淨現金增長股票清單。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。

譯文內容由第三人軟體翻譯。


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