With a median price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of close to 16x in the United States, you could be forgiven for feeling indifferent about Patria Investments Limited's (NASDAQ:PAX) P/E ratio of 17.8x. While this might not raise any eyebrows, if the P/E ratio is not justified investors could be missing out on a potential opportunity or ignoring looming disappointment.
Patria Investments certainly has been doing a good job lately as its earnings growth has been positive while most other companies have been seeing their earnings go backwards. One possibility is that the P/E is moderate because investors think the company's earnings will be less resilient moving forward. If not, then existing shareholders have reason to be feeling optimistic about the future direction of the share price.
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Is There Some Growth For Patria Investments?
There's an inherent assumption that a company should be matching the market for P/E ratios like Patria Investments' to be considered reasonable.
Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew earnings per share by an impressive 26% last year. The strong recent performance means it was also able to grow EPS by 48% in total over the last three years. So we can start by confirming that the company has done a great job of growing earnings over that time.
Shifting to the future, estimates from the four analysts covering the company suggest earnings should grow by 36% per annum over the next three years. With the market only predicted to deliver 11% each year, the company is positioned for a stronger earnings result.
With this information, we find it interesting that Patria Investments is trading at a fairly similar P/E to the market. Apparently some shareholders are skeptical of the forecasts and have been accepting lower selling prices.
The Key Takeaway
It's argued the price-to-earnings ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.
Our examination of Patria Investments' analyst forecasts revealed that its superior earnings outlook isn't contributing to its P/E as much as we would have predicted. When we see a strong earnings outlook with faster-than-market growth, we assume potential risks are what might be placing pressure on the P/E ratio. At least the risk of a price drop looks to be subdued, but investors seem to think future earnings could see some volatility.
Before you settle on your opinion, we've discovered 1 warning sign for Patria Investments that you should be aware of.
If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Patria Investments, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.
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