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Hebei Yangyuan ZhiHui Beverage Co., Ltd. (SHSE:603156) Stock Is Going Strong But Fundamentals Look Uncertain: What Lies Ahead ?

Hebei Yangyuan ZhiHui Beverage Co., Ltd. (SHSE:603156) Stock Is Going Strong But Fundamentals Look Uncertain: What Lies Ahead ?

河北陽源智匯飲料有限公司(SHSE: 603156)股票走強但基本面看起來不確定:未來會怎樣?
Simply Wall St ·  04/23 11:16

Most readers would already be aware that Hebei Yangyuan ZhiHui Beverage's (SHSE:603156) stock increased significantly by 24% over the past three months. But the company's key financial indicators appear to be differing across the board and that makes us question whether or not the company's current share price momentum can be maintained. Particularly, we will be paying attention to Hebei Yangyuan ZhiHui Beverage's ROE today.

大多數讀者已經意識到,河北陽源智匯飲料(SHSE: 603156)的股票在過去三個月中大幅上漲了24%。但是該公司的關鍵財務指標似乎各不相同,這使我們質疑該公司目前的股價勢頭是否可以維持。特別是,我們今天將關注河北陽源智匯飲料的投資回報率。

Return on Equity or ROE is a test of how effectively a company is growing its value and managing investors' money. Put another way, it reveals the company's success at turning shareholder investments into profits.

股本回報率或投資回報率是對公司增值和管理投資者資金的有效性的考驗。換句話說,它揭示了公司成功地將股東投資轉化爲利潤。

How Is ROE Calculated?

ROE 是如何計算的?

The formula for ROE is:

ROE 的公式是:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

股本回報率 = 淨利潤(來自持續經營業務)÷ 股東權益

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Hebei Yangyuan ZhiHui Beverage is:

因此,根據上述公式,河北陽源智匯飲料的投資回報率爲:

17% = CN¥1.8b ÷ CN¥11b (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2023).

17% = 人民幣18億元/11億元人民幣(基於截至2023年9月的過去十二個月)。

The 'return' refers to a company's earnings over the last year. Another way to think of that is that for every CN¥1 worth of equity, the company was able to earn CN¥0.17 in profit.

“回報” 是指公司去年的收益。另一種思考方式是,每持有價值1元人民幣的股權,該公司就能獲得0.17元人民幣的利潤。

What Is The Relationship Between ROE And Earnings Growth?

投資回報率與收益增長之間有什麼關係?

We have already established that ROE serves as an efficient profit-generating gauge for a company's future earnings. We now need to evaluate how much profit the company reinvests or "retains" for future growth which then gives us an idea about the growth potential of the company. Assuming everything else remains unchanged, the higher the ROE and profit retention, the higher the growth rate of a company compared to companies that don't necessarily bear these characteristics.

我們已經確定,投資回報率是衡量公司未來收益的有效利潤創造指標。我們現在需要評估公司爲未來增長再投資或 “保留” 了多少利潤,這樣我們就可以了解公司的增長潛力。假設其他一切都保持不變,那麼與不一定具有這些特徵的公司相比,投資回報率和利潤保留率越高,公司的增長率就越高。

A Side By Side comparison of Hebei Yangyuan ZhiHui Beverage's Earnings Growth And 17% ROE

河北陽源智匯飲料的收益增長和17%的投資回報率的並排比較

To start with, Hebei Yangyuan ZhiHui Beverage's ROE looks acceptable. Especially when compared to the industry average of 8.2% the company's ROE looks pretty impressive. Needless to say, we are quite surprised to see that Hebei Yangyuan ZhiHui Beverage's net income shrunk at a rate of 12% over the past five years. Therefore, there might be some other aspects that could explain this. For example, it could be that the company has a high payout ratio or the business has allocated capital poorly, for instance.

首先,河北陽源智匯飲料的投資回報率似乎可以接受。特別是與行業平均水平的8.2%相比,該公司的投資回報率看起來相當可觀。毋庸置疑,我們驚訝地看到,河北養元智匯飲料的淨收入在過去五年中以12%的速度萎縮。因此,可能還有其他一些方面可以解釋這一點。例如,可能是該公司的派息率很高,或者企業的資本配置不當。

However, when we compared Hebei Yangyuan ZhiHui Beverage's growth with the industry we found that while the company's earnings have been shrinking, the industry has seen an earnings growth of 6.8% in the same period. This is quite worrisome.

但是,當我們將河北陽源智匯飲料的增長與行業的增長進行比較時,我們發現,儘管該公司的收益一直在萎縮,但該行業同期的收益增長了6.8%。這非常令人擔憂。

past-earnings-growth
SHSE:603156 Past Earnings Growth April 23rd 2024
SHSE: 603156 過去的收益增長 2024 年 4 月 23 日

The basis for attaching value to a company is, to a great extent, tied to its earnings growth. What investors need to determine next is if the expected earnings growth, or the lack of it, is already built into the share price. This then helps them determine if the stock is placed for a bright or bleak future. Is Hebei Yangyuan ZhiHui Beverage fairly valued compared to other companies? These 3 valuation measures might help you decide.

爲公司附加價值的基礎在很大程度上與其收益增長息息相關。投資者接下來需要確定的是,預期的收益增長或缺乏收益是否已經包含在股價中。然後,這可以幫助他們確定股票是面向光明還是暗淡的未來。與其他公司相比,河北陽源智匯飲料的估值是否合理?這3種估值指標可能會幫助您做出決定。

Is Hebei Yangyuan ZhiHui Beverage Using Its Retained Earnings Effectively?

河北陽源智匯飲料是否有效地使用了其留存收益?

Hebei Yangyuan ZhiHui Beverage's very high three-year median payout ratio of 130% over the last three years suggests that the company is paying its shareholders more than what it is earning and this explains the company's shrinking earnings. Paying a dividend beyond their means is usually not viable over the long term. You can see the 2 risks we have identified for Hebei Yangyuan ZhiHui Beverage by visiting our risks dashboard for free on our platform here.

河北陽源智匯飲料在過去三年中非常高的三年派息率中位數爲130%,這表明該公司向股東支付的薪水超過了收入,這解釋了該公司收益萎縮的原因。從長遠來看,超出其承受能力的股息通常是不可行的。您可以訪問我們的 2 種風險來查看我們爲河北養元智匯飲料確定的兩種風險 風險儀表板 在我們的平台上免費使用。

In addition, Hebei Yangyuan ZhiHui Beverage has been paying dividends over a period of six years suggesting that keeping up dividend payments is preferred by the management even though earnings have been in decline.

此外,河北陽源智匯飲料在六年內一直在派發股息,這表明儘管收益有所下降,但管理層仍傾向於繼續支付股息。

Conclusion

結論

On the whole, we feel that the performance shown by Hebei Yangyuan ZhiHui Beverage can be open to many interpretations. Despite the high ROE, the company has a disappointing earnings growth number, due to its poor rate of reinvestment into its business. So far, we've only made a quick discussion around the company's earnings growth. So it may be worth checking this free detailed graph of Hebei Yangyuan ZhiHui Beverage's past earnings, as well as revenue and cash flows to get a deeper insight into the company's performance.

總的來說,我們覺得河北養元智匯飲料的表現可以有多種解讀。儘管投資回報率很高,但由於對業務的再投資率不佳,該公司的收益增長數字令人失望。到目前爲止,我們僅就公司的收益增長進行了簡短的討論。因此,可能值得查看河北養元智匯飲料過去收益以及收入和現金流的免費詳細圖表,以更深入地了解該公司的業績。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。

譯文內容由第三人軟體翻譯。


以上內容僅用作資訊或教育之目的,不構成與富途相關的任何投資建議。富途竭力但無法保證上述全部內容的真實性、準確性和原創性。
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