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Yunnan Bowin Technology IndustryLtd's (SHSE:600883) Solid Earnings May Rest On Weak Foundations

Yunnan Bowin Technology IndustryLtd's (SHSE:600883) Solid Earnings May Rest On Weak Foundations

雲南博盈科技工業有限公司(上海證券交易所代碼:600883)的穩健收益可能建立在基礎薄弱的基礎上
Simply Wall St ·  04/23 08:58

Yunnan Bowin Technology Industry Co.,Ltd's (SHSE:600883) healthy profit numbers didn't contain any surprises for investors. We think this is due to investors looking beyond the statutory profits and being concerned with what they see.

雲南博盈科技實業有限公司,Ltd(上海證券交易所代碼:600883)的健康利潤數字並沒有讓投資者感到意外。我們認爲這是由於投資者將目光投向了法定利潤之外並關注他們所看到的情況。

earnings-and-revenue-history
SHSE:600883 Earnings and Revenue History April 23rd 2024
SHSE: 600883 2024 年 4 月 23 日的收益和收入歷史記錄

Zooming In On Yunnan Bowin Technology IndustryLtd's Earnings

放大雲南博盈科技實業有限公司的收益

As finance nerds would already know, the accrual ratio from cashflow is a key measure for assessing how well a company's free cash flow (FCF) matches its profit. To get the accrual ratio we first subtract FCF from profit for a period, and then divide that number by the average operating assets for the period. The ratio shows us how much a company's profit exceeds its FCF.

正如金融迷已經知道的那樣,現金流的應計比率是評估公司自由現金流(FCF)與利潤匹配程度的關鍵指標。爲了獲得應計比率,我們首先從一段時期的利潤中減去FCF,然後將該數字除以該期間的平均運營資產。該比率向我們顯示了公司的利潤超過其FCF的程度。

That means a negative accrual ratio is a good thing, because it shows that the company is bringing in more free cash flow than its profit would suggest. While having an accrual ratio above zero is of little concern, we do think it's worth noting when a company has a relatively high accrual ratio. To quote a 2014 paper by Lewellen and Resutek, "firms with higher accruals tend to be less profitable in the future".

這意味着負應計比率是一件好事,因爲它表明該公司帶來的自由現金流比其利潤所暗示的要多。雖然應計比率高於零並不令人擔憂,但我們確實認爲,當公司的應計比率相對較高時,值得注意。引用Lewellen和Resutek在2014年發表的一篇論文,“應計額較高的公司將來的利潤往往會降低”。

Over the twelve months to December 2023, Yunnan Bowin Technology IndustryLtd recorded an accrual ratio of 0.20. Therefore, we know that it's free cashflow was significantly lower than its statutory profit, which is hardly a good thing. Over the last year it actually had negative free cash flow of CN¥38m, in contrast to the aforementioned profit of CN¥96.2m. Coming off the back of negative free cash flow last year, we imagine some shareholders might wonder if its cash burn of CN¥38m, this year, indicates high risk. However, that's not all there is to consider. The accrual ratio is reflecting the impact of unusual items on statutory profit, at least in part.

在截至2023年12月的十二個月中,雲南博盈科技實業有限公司的應計比率爲0.20。因此,我們知道它的自由現金流大大低於其法定利潤,這並不是一件好事。在過去的一年裏,它實際上有 負面的 自由現金流爲3800萬元人民幣,而上述利潤爲9.62億元人民幣。在去年自由現金流爲負的背景下,我們想象一些股東可能會懷疑其今年3800萬元人民幣的現金消耗是否表明存在高風險。但是,這還不是要考慮的全部。應計比率至少部分反映了不尋常項目對法定利潤的影響。

Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Yunnan Bowin Technology IndustryLtd.

注意:我們始終建議投資者檢查資產負債表的實力。點擊此處查看我們對雲南博盈科技工業有限公司的資產負債表分析

How Do Unusual Items Influence Profit?

不尋常的物品如何影響利潤?

The fact that the company had unusual items boosting profit by CN¥5.2m, in the last year, probably goes some way to explain why its accrual ratio was so weak. We can't deny that higher profits generally leave us optimistic, but we'd prefer it if the profit were to be sustainable. When we analysed the vast majority of listed companies worldwide, we found that significant unusual items are often not repeated. And, after all, that's exactly what the accounting terminology implies. Assuming those unusual items don't show up again in the current year, we'd thus expect profit to be weaker next year (in the absence of business growth, that is).

該公司去年有不尋常的項目將利潤提高了520萬元人民幣,這一事實可能在某種程度上可以解釋其應計比率爲何如此疲軟。我們不能否認更高的利潤通常會讓我們感到樂觀,但如果利潤是可持續的,我們更願意這樣做。當我們分析全球絕大多數上市公司時,我們發現重大不尋常的事項往往不會重演。而且,畢竟,這正是會計術語的含義。假設這些不尋常的項目在本年度不會再次出現,因此我們預計明年的利潤將疲軟(也就是說,在業務沒有增長的情況下)。

Our Take On Yunnan Bowin Technology IndustryLtd's Profit Performance

我們對雲南博盈科技實業有限公司盈利表現的看法

Yunnan Bowin Technology IndustryLtd had a weak accrual ratio, but its profit did receive a boost from unusual items. For the reasons mentioned above, we think that a perfunctory glance at Yunnan Bowin Technology IndustryLtd's statutory profits might make it look better than it really is on an underlying level. So while earnings quality is important, it's equally important to consider the risks facing Yunnan Bowin Technology IndustryLtd at this point in time. Be aware that Yunnan Bowin Technology IndustryLtd is showing 4 warning signs in our investment analysis and 1 of those shouldn't be ignored...

雲南博贏科技工業有限公司的應計比率較低,但其利潤確實受到不尋常項目的提振。出於上述原因,我們認爲,敷衍地看一眼雲南博盈科技工業有限公司的法定利潤可能會使其看起來比實際水平要好。因此,儘管收益質量很重要,但考慮雲南博盈科技工業有限公司目前面臨的風險同樣重要。請注意,雲南博盈科技實業有限公司在我們的投資分析中顯示了4個警告信號,其中一個不容忽視...

Our examination of Yunnan Bowin Technology IndustryLtd has focussed on certain factors that can make its earnings look better than they are. And, on that basis, we are somewhat skeptical. But there are plenty of other ways to inform your opinion of a company. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying.

我們對雲南博盈科技實業有限公司的審查側重於某些可能使其收益看起來好於實際的因素。而且,在此基礎上,我們有些懷疑。但是,還有很多其他方法可以讓你對公司的看法。有些人認爲高股本回報率是優質業務的好兆頭。因此,你可能希望看到這份免費收藏的擁有高股本回報率的公司,或者這份內部人士正在購買的股票清單。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。

譯文內容由第三人軟體翻譯。


以上內容僅用作資訊或教育之目的,不構成與富途相關的任何投資建議。富途竭力但無法保證上述全部內容的真實性、準確性和原創性。
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