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Is Zhejiang Shengyang Science and TechnologyLtd (SHSE:603703) A Risky Investment?

Is Zhejiang Shengyang Science and TechnologyLtd (SHSE:603703) A Risky Investment?

浙江盛陽科技股份有限公司(上海證券交易所代碼:603703)是風險投資嗎?
Simply Wall St ·  04/19 11:07

David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. We note that Zhejiang Shengyang Science and Technology Co.,Ltd. (SHSE:603703) does have debt on its balance sheet. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

大衛·伊本說得好,他說:“波動性不是我們關心的風險。我們關心的是避免資本的永久損失。”因此,很明顯,當你考慮任何給定股票的風險時,你需要考慮債務,因爲過多的債務會使公司陷入困境。我們注意到,浙江聖陽科技股份有限公司, Ltd.(上海證券交易所代碼:603703)的資產負債表上確實有債務。但是,股東是否應該擔心其債務的使用?

When Is Debt Dangerous?

債務何時危險?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

債務是幫助企業發展的工具,但是如果企業無法還清貸款人,那麼債務就任由他們擺佈。資本主義的重要組成部分是 “創造性破壞” 的過程,在這個過程中,銀行家無情地清算倒閉的企業。但是,更常見(但仍然昂貴)的情況是,公司爲了控制債務,必須以低廉的股價稀釋股東。話雖如此,最常見的情況是公司合理地管理債務,這也是爲了自己的利益。當我們考慮公司使用債務時,我們首先將現金和債務放在一起看。

What Is Zhejiang Shengyang Science and TechnologyLtd's Debt?

浙江聖陽科技有限公司的債務是多少?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Zhejiang Shengyang Science and TechnologyLtd had debt of CN¥664.1m at the end of December 2023, a reduction from CN¥740.9m over a year. However, it also had CN¥348.5m in cash, and so its net debt is CN¥315.6m.

您可以點擊下圖查看更多詳情,該圖片顯示,截至2023年12月底,浙江聖陽科技有限公司的債務爲6.641億元人民幣,較一年7.409億元人民幣有所減少。但是,它也有3.485億加元的現金,因此其淨負債爲3.156億元人民幣。

debt-equity-history-analysis
SHSE:603703 Debt to Equity History April 19th 2024
SHSE: 603703 2024 年 4 月 19 日債務與股權比率的歷史記錄

How Healthy Is Zhejiang Shengyang Science and TechnologyLtd's Balance Sheet?

浙江聖陽科技股份有限公司的資產負債表有多健康?

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Zhejiang Shengyang Science and TechnologyLtd had liabilities of CN¥689.9m due within 12 months and liabilities of CN¥236.5m due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of CN¥348.5m and CN¥212.5m worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by CN¥365.5m.

放大最新的資產負債表數據,我們可以看到,浙江聖陽科技有限公司在12個月內到期的負債爲6.899億元人民幣,之後到期的負債爲2.365億元人民幣。另一方面,它有一年內到期的現金爲3.485億元人民幣,還有價值2.125億元人民幣的應收賬款。因此,其負債超過其現金和(短期)應收賬款總額3.655億元人民幣。

Since publicly traded Zhejiang Shengyang Science and TechnologyLtd shares are worth a total of CN¥3.86b, it seems unlikely that this level of liabilities would be a major threat. But there are sufficient liabilities that we would certainly recommend shareholders continue to monitor the balance sheet, going forward.

由於上市的浙江聖陽科技股份有限公司股票總價值爲386億元人民幣,因此這種負債水平似乎不太可能構成重大威脅。但是,有足夠的負債,我們肯定會建議股東今後繼續監督資產負債表。

We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.

我們通過以下方法來衡量公司的債務負擔與其盈利能力:將其淨負債除以利息、稅項、折舊和攤銷前的收益(EBITDA),並計算其利息和稅前收益(EBIT)支付利息支出(利息保障)的難易程度。這樣,我們既考慮債務的絕對數量,也考慮爲債務支付的利率。

While we wouldn't worry about Zhejiang Shengyang Science and TechnologyLtd's net debt to EBITDA ratio of 4.9, we think its super-low interest cover of 0.52 times is a sign of high leverage. In large part that's due to the company's significant depreciation and amortisation charges, which arguably mean its EBITDA is a very generous measure of earnings, and its debt may be more of a burden than it first appears. So shareholders should probably be aware that interest expenses appear to have really impacted the business lately. One redeeming factor for Zhejiang Shengyang Science and TechnologyLtd is that it turned last year's EBIT loss into a gain of CN¥6.6m, over the last twelve months. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Zhejiang Shengyang Science and TechnologyLtd will need earnings to service that debt. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.

雖然我們不擔心浙江聖陽科技股份有限公司的淨負債與息稅折舊攤銷前利潤的比率爲4.9,但我們認爲其0.52倍的超低利息覆蓋率是高槓杆率的標誌。這在很大程度上是由於該公司收取了巨額折舊和攤銷費用,這可以說意味着其息稅折舊攤銷前利潤是衡量收益的非常慷慨的指標,其債務可能比最初看起來更具負擔。因此,股東可能應該意識到,最近利息支出似乎確實影響了業務。浙江聖陽科技股份有限公司的一個贖回因素是,在過去十二個月中,它將去年的息稅前利潤虧損轉化爲660萬元人民幣的收益。在分析債務水平時,資產負債表是顯而易見的起點。但是你不能完全孤立地看待債務;因爲浙江聖陽科技有限公司需要收益來償還債務。因此,如果你想進一步了解其收益,可能值得看看這張長期收益趨勢圖。

Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. So it is important to check how much of its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) converts to actual free cash flow. During the last year, Zhejiang Shengyang Science and TechnologyLtd burned a lot of cash. While investors are no doubt expecting a reversal of that situation in due course, it clearly does mean its use of debt is more risky.

最後,企業需要自由現金流來償還債務;會計利潤根本無法減少債務。因此,重要的是要檢查其利息和稅前收益(EBIT)中有多少可以轉換爲實際的自由現金流。去年,浙江聖陽科技有限公司燒掉了大量現金。儘管投資者無疑預計這種情況將在適當的時候逆轉,但這顯然意味着其使用債務的風險更大。

Our View

我們的觀點

To be frank both Zhejiang Shengyang Science and TechnologyLtd's interest cover and its track record of converting EBIT to free cash flow make us rather uncomfortable with its debt levels. But on the bright side, its level of total liabilities is a good sign, and makes us more optimistic. Once we consider all the factors above, together, it seems to us that Zhejiang Shengyang Science and TechnologyLtd's debt is making it a bit risky. That's not necessarily a bad thing, but we'd generally feel more comfortable with less leverage. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. These risks can be hard to spot. Every company has them, and we've spotted 2 warning signs for Zhejiang Shengyang Science and TechnologyLtd you should know about.

坦率地說,浙江聖陽科技有限公司的利息保障及其將息稅前利潤轉換爲自由現金流的往績都使我們對其債務水平感到相當不舒服。但好的一面是,其總負債水平是一個好兆頭,也使我們更加樂觀。綜合考慮上述所有因素,在我們看來,浙江聖陽科技有限公司的債務使其有點風險。這不一定是一件壞事,但我們通常會因爲降低槓桿率而感到更自在。毫無疑問,我們從資產負債表中學到的關於債務的知識最多。但是,並非所有的投資風險都存在於資產負債表中,遠非如此。這些風險可能很難發現。每家公司都有它們,我們發現了兩個你應該知道的浙江聖陽科技有限公司的警告標誌。

When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.

當一切都說完之後,有時更容易將注意力集中在甚至不需要債務的公司上。讀者現在可以100%免費訪問淨負債爲零的成長型股票清單。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對這篇文章有反饋嗎?對內容感到擔憂?直接聯繫我們。 或者,給編輯團隊 (at) simplywallst.com 發送電子郵件。
Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。

譯文內容由第三人軟體翻譯。


以上內容僅用作資訊或教育之目的,不構成與富途相關的任何投資建議。富途竭力但無法保證上述全部內容的真實性、準確性和原創性。
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