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Here's Why Edison International (NYSE:EIX) Is Weighed Down By Its Debt Load

Here's Why Edison International (NYSE:EIX) Is Weighed Down By Its Debt Load

這就是愛迪生國際(紐約證券交易所代碼:EIX)受到債務負擔壓力的原因
Simply Wall St ·  04/18 19:53

Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. Importantly, Edison International (NYSE:EIX) does carry debt. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

傳奇基金經理李露(由查理·芒格支持)曾經說過:“最大的投資風險不是價格的波動,而是你是否會遭受永久的資本損失。”當我們考慮一家公司的風險時,我們總是喜歡考慮其債務的用途,因爲債務過載可能導致破產。重要的是,愛迪生國際(紐約證券交易所代碼:EIX)確實有債務。但是,股東是否應該擔心其債務的使用?

When Is Debt Dangerous?

債務何時危險?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

債務可以幫助企業,直到企業難以償還債務,無論是新資本還是自由現金流。如果情況變得非常糟糕,貸款人可以控制業務。儘管這種情況並不常見,但我們經常會看到負債公司永久稀釋股東,因爲貸款人迫使他們以不良价格籌集資金。但是,通過取代稀釋,對於需要資本以高回報率投資增長的企業來說,債務可以成爲一個非常好的工具。考慮公司的債務水平的第一步是同時考慮其現金和債務。

What Is Edison International's Debt?

愛迪生國際的債務是多少?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of December 2023 Edison International had US$34.1b of debt, an increase on US$31.7b, over one year. And it doesn't have much cash, so its net debt is about the same.

你可以點擊下圖查看歷史數字,但它顯示,截至2023年12月,愛迪生國際在一年內有341億美元的債務,比317億美元有所增加。而且它沒有太多現金,因此其淨負債大致相同。

debt-equity-history-analysis
NYSE:EIX Debt to Equity History April 18th 2024
紐約證券交易所:EIX 債券與股本比率的歷史記錄 2024 年 4 月 18 日

How Healthy Is Edison International's Balance Sheet?

愛迪生國際的資產負債表有多健康?

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Edison International had liabilities of US$8.60b due within 12 months and liabilities of US$55.2b due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had US$345.0m in cash and US$2.76b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities total US$60.7b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

放大最新的資產負債表數據,我們可以看出,愛迪生國際在12個月內到期的負債爲86.0億美元,此後到期的負債爲552億美元。與此相抵消的是,它有3.45億美元的現金和27.6億美元的應收賬款將在12個月內到期。因此,其負債總額比其現金和短期應收賬款的總和高出607億美元。

This deficit casts a shadow over the US$25.7b company, like a colossus towering over mere mortals. So we'd watch its balance sheet closely, without a doubt. At the end of the day, Edison International would probably need a major re-capitalization if its creditors were to demand repayment.

這筆赤字給這家價值257億美元的公司蒙上了陰影,就像一個聳立在凡人之上的巨人。因此,毫無疑問,我們將密切關注其資產負債表。歸根結底,如果其債權人要求還款,愛迪生國際可能需要進行大規模的資本重組。

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).

爲了擴大公司相對於收益的負債規模,我們計算其淨負債除以利息、稅項、折舊和攤銷前的收益(EBITDA),將其利息和稅前收益(EBIT)除以利息支出(利息保障)。這種方法的優勢在於,我們既考慮了債務的絕對數量(包括淨負債與息稅折舊攤銷前利潤),也考慮了與該債務相關的實際利息支出(及其利息覆蓋率)。

Edison International shareholders face the double whammy of a high net debt to EBITDA ratio (5.7), and fairly weak interest coverage, since EBIT is just 2.0 times the interest expense. This means we'd consider it to have a heavy debt load. On a slightly more positive note, Edison International grew its EBIT at 13% over the last year, further increasing its ability to manage debt. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Edison International's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

由於息稅前利潤僅爲利息支出的2.0倍,愛迪生國際的股東面臨着淨負債與息稅折舊攤銷前利潤比率高(5.7)和利息覆蓋率相當薄弱的雙重打擊。這意味着我們會認爲它有沉重的債務負擔。稍微樂觀的一面是,愛迪生國際的息稅前利潤比去年增長了13%,進一步提高了其管理債務的能力。毫無疑問,我們從資產負債表中學到的關於債務的知識最多。但是,未來收益將決定愛迪生國際未來維持健康資產負債表的能力。因此,如果你想看看專業人士的想法,你可能會發現這份關於分析師利潤預測的免費報告很有趣。

Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So we always check how much of that EBIT is translated into free cash flow. During the last three years, Edison International burned a lot of cash. While that may be a result of expenditure for growth, it does make the debt far more risky.

最後,公司只能用冷硬現金償還債務,不能用會計利潤償還債務。因此,我們總是檢查息稅前利潤中有多少轉化爲自由現金流。在過去的三年中,愛迪生國際燒掉了大量現金。儘管這可能是增長支出的結果,但它確實使債務風險大大增加。

Our View

我們的觀點

To be frank both Edison International's conversion of EBIT to free cash flow and its track record of staying on top of its total liabilities make us rather uncomfortable with its debt levels. But at least it's pretty decent at growing its EBIT; that's encouraging. We should also note that Electric Utilities industry companies like Edison International commonly do use debt without problems. After considering the datapoints discussed, we think Edison International has too much debt. While some investors love that sort of risky play, it's certainly not our cup of tea. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For example Edison International has 3 warning signs (and 2 which are concerning) we think you should know about.

坦率地說,愛迪生國際將息稅前利潤轉換爲自由現金流,以及其保持總負債水平的往績都使我們對其債務水平感到相當不舒服。但至少它在增長息稅前利潤方面相當不錯;這令人鼓舞。我們還應該注意,像愛迪生國際這樣的電力公用事業行業公司通常會毫無問題地使用債務。在考慮了所討論的數據點之後,我們認爲愛迪生國際的債務過多。儘管有些投資者喜歡這種冒險的遊戲,但這肯定不是我們的好選擇。毫無疑問,我們從資產負債表中學到的關於債務的知識最多。但是,並非所有的投資風險都存在於資產負債表中,遠非如此。例如,愛迪生國際有3個警告標誌(其中2個令人擔憂),我們認爲你應該知道。

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

如果你有興趣投資能夠在沒有債務負擔的情況下增加利潤的企業,請查看這份資產負債表上有淨現金的成長型企業的免費清單。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。

譯文內容由第三人軟體翻譯。


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