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Bitcoin ETFs Could Propel King Crypto Above Gold's Market Cap, Says Analyst: 'These Are Very Conservative Numbers'

Bitcoin ETFs Could Propel King Crypto Above Gold's Market Cap, Says Analyst: 'These Are Very Conservative Numbers'

分析師表示,比特幣ETF可能會推動King Crypto突破黃金市值:“這些數字非常保守”
Benzinga ·  04/16 10:38

Renowned cryptocurrency analyst Willy Woo has projected that the introduction of Bitcoin ETFs could potentially drive Bitcoin's (CRYPTO: BTC) price to surpass that of gold.

著名的加密貨幣分析師Willy Woo預計,比特幣ETF的推出可能會推動比特幣(加密貨幣:BTC)的價格超過黃金。

What Happened: In a tweet on Monday, Woo outlined his predictions for Bitcoin's future performance in light of the recent introduction of Bitcoin ETFs. He suggested that once ETF investors have fully deployed, Bitcoin could reach price targets of $91k at the bear market bottom and $650k at the bull market top. He emphasized that these are conservative estimates and that Bitcoin is likely to exceed gold's market cap once ETFs have completed their role.

發生了什麼:在週一的一條推文中,胡概述了鑑於最近推出的比特幣ETF,他對比特幣未來表現的預測。他建議,一旦ETF投資者全面部署,比特幣可以在熊市底部達到91萬美元的目標股價,在牛市頂部達到65萬美元的目標股價。他強調說,這些都是保守的估計,一旦ETF完成其職責,比特幣的市值可能會超過黃金的市值。

The new #Bitcoin ETFs brings price targets of $91k at the bear market bottom and $650k at the bull market top once ETF investors have fully deployed according to asset manager recommendations***.
These are very conservative numbers. #Bitcoin will beat gold cap when ETFs have...

— Willy Woo (@woonomic) April 15, 2024

根據資產管理公司的建議,新的 #Bitcoin ETF將熊市底部的目標股價定爲9.1萬美元,在牛市頂部爲65萬美元***。
這些都是非常保守的數字。當 ETF 有... 時 #Bitcoin 將突破金額上限

— Willy Woo (@woonomic) 2024 年 4 月 15 日

Woo's calculations are based on the assumption that asset managers, who manage $100T, will allocate 2% of their funds to Bitcoin, resulting in a $2T allocation. He also factored in Bitcoin's current investment holdings of $561,159,959 and used the MVRV ratio to calculate market cap versus money invested.

Woo的計算基於這樣的假設,即管理100萬億美元的資產管理公司將把2%的資金分配給比特幣,從而獲得2萬億美元的分配。他還考慮了比特幣目前持有的561,159,959美元,並使用MVRV比率來計算市值與投資資金的對比。

Why It Matters: The SEC approved applications for various entities, including the Grayscale Bitcoin Trust (NYSE:GBTC), the Bitwise Bitcoin ETF (NYSE:BITB), the Hashdex Bitcoin ETF (NYSE:DEFI), the Valkyrie Bitcoin Fund (NASDAQ:BRRR), the ARK 21Shares Bitcoin ETF (BATS:ARKB) and others on Jan. 10, 2024.

爲何重要:美國證券交易委員會於2024年1月10日批准了各種實體的申請,包括灰度比特幣信託基金(紐約證券交易所代碼:GBTC)、Bitwise比特幣ETF(紐約證券交易所代碼:BITB)、Hashdex比特幣ETF(紐約證券交易所代碼:DEFI)、瓦爾基里比特幣基金(納斯達克股票代碼:BRRR)、ARK 21Shares比特幣ETF(BATS: ARKB)等。

It should be noted that the estimated market cap of gold is nearly $16.1 trillion, calculated on the basis of the precious metal at $2,400 per ounce.

應該指出的是,根據每盎司2400美元的貴金屬計算,黃金的估計市值接近16.1萬億美元。

Woo said in his post, "Bitcoin will certainly exceed Gold capitalisation by the time asset manager capital has deployed. Gold went on a 12 year bull run when it's ETF was approved, now it's Bitcoin's turn."

胡在他的帖子中說:“到資產管理公司資金部署時,比特幣肯定會超過黃金的市值。黃金在ETF獲得批准時經歷了12年的牛市,現在輪到比特幣了。”

Bitcoin's current market capitalization is $1.2 trillion. According to Woo at $650,000 per coin, the market cap for the apex cryptocurrency is set to rise to $12.8 trillion.

比特幣目前的市值爲1.2萬億美元。根據Woo的說法,每枚硬幣65萬美元,這種頂級加密貨幣的市值將升至12.8萬億美元。

Recently, Woo forecasted Bitcoin's price to potentially reach $71,000 to $75,000 due to short liquidations, despite a critical support level at $58,900. He remained optimistic as the Cumulative Volume Delta (CVD) metric suggested upward pressure. Woo anticipated increased volatility around the Bitcoin halving event, preparing for choppy market conditions in April, but still expected a bullish scenario with short liquidations driving the price upward.

最近,Woo預測,儘管關鍵支撐位爲58,900美元,但由於空頭清算,比特幣的價格仍可能達到71,000美元至75,000美元。他仍然樂觀,因爲累積交易量增量(CVD)指標顯示出上行壓力。Woo預計,比特幣減半事件前後的波動性將增加,爲4月份的波動性做準備,但仍預計會出現看漲情景,空頭清算將推動價格上漲。

Bitcoin ETFs have experienced significant trading volumes, with a whopping $111 billion traded in March alone, according to another Benzinga report. However, the past week saw an 8% drop in Bitcoin prices, leading to $83M net outflows in spot Bitcoin ETFs, as highlighted in this Benzinga article.

根據Benzinga的另一份報告,比特幣ETF的交易量可觀,僅在3月份,交易量就高達1110億美元。但是,正如本辛加的這篇文章所強調的那樣,過去一週比特幣價格下跌了8%,導致現貨比特幣ETF淨流出8300萬美元。

Price Action: At the time of writing, Bitcoin traded 3.7% higher at $62,884.16, according to data from Benzinga Pro.

價格走勢:根據Benzinga Pro的數據,在撰寫本文時,比特幣交易價格上漲3.7%,至62,884.16美元。

Photo Courtesy: Shutterstock.com

照片提供:Shutterstock.com

譯文內容由第三人軟體翻譯。


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