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We Think SolarWinds (NYSE:SWI) Can Stay On Top Of Its Debt

We Think SolarWinds (NYSE:SWI) Can Stay On Top Of Its Debt

我們認爲SolarWinds(紐約證券交易所代碼:SWI)可以繼續償還債務
Simply Wall St ·  04/15 21:30

Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. We can see that SolarWinds Corporation (NYSE:SWI) does use debt in its business. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

霍華德·馬克斯說得好,他說的不是擔心股價的波動,而是 “永久損失的可能性是我擔心的風險... 也是我認識的每位實際投資者所擔心的風險。”因此,很明顯,當你考慮任何給定股票的風險時,你需要考慮債務,因爲過多的債務會使公司陷入困境。我們可以看到,SolarWinds公司(紐約證券交易所代碼:SWI)確實在其業務中使用了債務。但是,股東是否應該擔心其債務的使用?

When Is Debt Dangerous?

債務何時危險?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

債務可以幫助企業,直到企業難以償還債務,無論是新資本還是自由現金流。資本主義的重要組成部分是 “創造性破壞” 的過程,在這個過程中,倒閉的企業將被銀行家無情地清算。儘管這種情況並不常見,但我們經常會看到負債公司永久稀釋股東,因爲貸款人強迫他們以不利的價格籌集資金。當然,債務的好處在於它通常代表廉價資本,尤其是當它取代了對一家能夠以高回報率進行再投資的公司的攤薄時。在考慮企業使用多少債務時,要做的第一件事是將現金和債務放在一起看。

What Is SolarWinds's Net Debt?

什麼是SolarWinds的淨負債?

As you can see below, SolarWinds had US$1.20b of debt, at December 2023, which is about the same as the year before. You can click the chart for greater detail. However, because it has a cash reserve of US$289.2m, its net debt is less, at about US$914.2m.

如下所示,截至2023年12月,SolarWinds的債務爲12.0億美元,與前一年大致相同。您可以單擊圖表以獲取更多詳細信息。但是,由於其現金儲備爲2.892億美元,其淨負債較少,約爲9.142億美元。

debt-equity-history-analysis
NYSE:SWI Debt to Equity History April 15th 2024
紐約證券交易所:SWI 債務與股本比率歷史記錄 2024 年 4 月 15 日

A Look At SolarWinds' Liabilities

看看 SolarWinds 的負債

According to the last reported balance sheet, SolarWinds had liabilities of US$468.8m due within 12 months, and liabilities of US$1.34b due beyond 12 months. Offsetting this, it had US$289.2m in cash and US$103.9m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling US$1.42b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

根據上次報告的資產負債表,SolarWinds的負債爲4.688億美元,12個月後到期的負債爲13.4億美元。與此相抵消的是,它有2.892億美元的現金和1.039億美元的應收賬款將在12個月內到期。因此,它的負債總額比其現金和短期應收賬款的總和多出14.2億美元。

This deficit is considerable relative to its market capitalization of US$1.83b, so it does suggest shareholders should keep an eye on SolarWinds' use of debt. This suggests shareholders would be heavily diluted if the company needed to shore up its balance sheet in a hurry.

相對於其18.3億美元的市值,這一赤字相當可觀,因此這確實表明股東應密切關注SolarWinds對債務的使用。這表明,如果公司需要迅速支撐資產負債表,股東將被嚴重稀釋。

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.

爲了擴大公司相對於收益的負債規模,我們計算其淨負債除以利息、稅項、折舊和攤銷前的收益(EBITDA),將其利息和稅前收益(EBIT)除以利息支出(利息保障)。因此,我們將債務與收益的關係考慮在內,包括和不包括折舊和攤銷費用。

While SolarWinds's debt to EBITDA ratio (4.0) suggests that it uses some debt, its interest cover is very weak, at 1.4, suggesting high leverage. It seems clear that the cost of borrowing money is negatively impacting returns for shareholders, of late. The good news is that SolarWinds grew its EBIT a smooth 48% over the last twelve months. Like the milk of human kindness that sort of growth increases resilience, making the company more capable of managing debt. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if SolarWinds can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

儘管SolarWinds的債務與息稅折舊攤銷前利潤的比率(4.0)表明它使用了部分債務,但其利息保障非常薄弱,爲1.4,這表明槓桿率很高。看來很明顯,借錢成本最近對股東的回報產生了負面影響。好消息是,在過去的十二個月中,SolarWinds的息稅前利潤平穩增長了48%。就像人類善良的牛奶一樣,這種增長可以增強韌性,使公司更有能力管理債務。在分析債務水平時,資產負債表是顯而易見的起點。但最終,該業務的未來盈利能力將決定SolarWinds能否隨着時間的推移加強其資產負債表。因此,如果你想看看專業人士的想法,你可能會發現這份關於分析師利潤預測的免費報告很有趣。

Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. So we always check how much of that EBIT is translated into free cash flow. Over the last three years, SolarWinds actually produced more free cash flow than EBIT. That sort of strong cash conversion gets us as excited as the crowd when the beat drops at a Daft Punk concert.

最後,企業需要自由現金流來償還債務;會計利潤根本無法減少債務。因此,我們總是檢查息稅前利潤中有多少轉化爲自由現金流。在過去的三年中,SolarWinds產生的自由現金流實際上超過了息稅前利潤。當Daft Punk音樂會的節拍下降時,這種強勁的現金轉換讓我們和觀衆一樣興奮。

Our View

我們的觀點

Both SolarWinds's ability to to convert EBIT to free cash flow and its EBIT growth rate gave us comfort that it can handle its debt. But truth be told its interest cover had us nibbling our nails. Considering this range of data points, we think SolarWinds is in a good position to manage its debt levels. But a word of caution: we think debt levels are high enough to justify ongoing monitoring. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For instance, we've identified 1 warning sign for SolarWinds that you should be aware of.

SolarWinds將息稅前利潤轉換爲自由現金流的能力及其息稅前利潤增長率都使我們對它能夠處理債務感到滿意。但說實話,它的利息封面讓我們大吃一驚。考慮到這一範圍內的數據點,我們認爲SolarWinds處於管理其債務水平的有利地位。但要謹慎一點:我們認爲債務水平足夠高,足以證明持續監測是合理的。毫無疑問,我們從資產負債表中學到的關於債務的知識最多。但歸根結底,每家公司都可以控制資產負債表之外存在的風險。例如,我們已經確定了SolarWinds的1個警告信號,你應該注意這一點。

When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.

當一切都說完之後,有時更容易將注意力集中在甚至不需要債務的公司上。讀者現在可以100%免費訪問淨負債爲零的成長型股票清單。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對這篇文章有反饋嗎?對內容感到擔憂?直接聯繫我們。 或者,給編輯團隊 (at) simplywallst.com 發送電子郵件。
Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。

譯文內容由第三人軟體翻譯。


以上內容僅用作資訊或教育之目的,不構成與富途相關的任何投資建議。富途竭力但無法保證上述全部內容的真實性、準確性和原創性。
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