Denali Therapeutics Inc.'s (NASDAQ:DNLI) Low P/S No Reason For Excitement
Denali Therapeutics Inc.'s (NASDAQ:DNLI) Low P/S No Reason For Excitement
Denali Therapeutics Inc.'s (NASDAQ:DNLI) price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 7.9x might make it look like a buy right now compared to the Biotechs industry in the United States, where around half of the companies have P/S ratios above 13.2x and even P/S above 66x are quite common. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the reduced P/S.
How Denali Therapeutics Has Been Performing
Recent revenue growth for Denali Therapeutics has been in line with the industry. Perhaps the market is expecting future revenue performance to dive, which has kept the P/S suppressed. If not, then existing shareholders have reason to be optimistic about the future direction of the share price.
Keen to find out how analysts think Denali Therapeutics' future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The Low P/S?
There's an inherent assumption that a company should underperform the industry for P/S ratios like Denali Therapeutics' to be considered reasonable.
Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew revenue by an impressive 205% last year. Still, revenue has fallen 1.5% in total from three years ago, which is quite disappointing. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been undesirable for the company.
Turning to the outlook, the next three years should bring diminished returns, with revenue decreasing 8.8% per year as estimated by the analysts watching the company. Meanwhile, the broader industry is forecast to expand by 166% per year, which paints a poor picture.
With this in consideration, we find it intriguing that Denali Therapeutics' P/S is closely matching its industry peers. However, shrinking revenues are unlikely to lead to a stable P/S over the longer term. Even just maintaining these prices could be difficult to achieve as the weak outlook is weighing down the shares.
What Does Denali Therapeutics' P/S Mean For Investors?
We'd say the price-to-sales ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.
With revenue forecasts that are inferior to the rest of the industry, it's no surprise that Denali Therapeutics' P/S is on the lower end of the spectrum. As other companies in the industry are forecasting revenue growth, Denali Therapeutics' poor outlook justifies its low P/S ratio. It's hard to see the share price rising strongly in the near future under these circumstances.
You should always think about risks. Case in point, we've spotted 4 warning signs for Denali Therapeutics you should be aware of.
If strong companies turning a profit tickle your fancy, then you'll want to check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
Denali Therapeutics Inc. 's(納斯達克股票代碼:DNLI)的市銷率(或 “市盈率”)爲7.9倍,與美國的生物技術行業相比,目前可能看起來像買入。在美國,約有一半公司的市盈率高於13.2倍,甚至市盈率高於66倍也很常見。但是,我們需要更深入地挖掘以確定降低市銷率是否有合理的依據。
Denali Therapeutics 的表現如何
Denali Therapeutics最近的收入增長與行業持平。也許市場預計未來的收入表現將下降,這使市銷率一直受到抑制。如果不是,那麼現有股東就有理由對股價的未來走向持樂觀態度。
想了解分析師如何看待Denali Therapeutics的未來與該行業的對立嗎?在這種情況下,我們的免費報告是一個很好的起點。收入增長指標告訴我們低市銷率有哪些?
人們固有的假設是,如果像德納利療法這樣的市銷率被認爲是合理的,公司的表現應該低於該行業。
首先回顧一下,我們發現該公司去年的收入增長了令人印象深刻的205%。儘管如此,總收入仍比三年前下降了1.5%,這非常令人失望。因此,可以公平地說,最近的收入增長對公司來說是不可取的。
展望來看,未來三年的回報應該會減少,根據關注該公司的分析師的估計,收入每年下降8.8%。同時,預計整個行業每年將增長166%,這描繪了一幅糟糕的景象。
考慮到這一點,我們發現有趣的是,Denali Therapeutics的市銷率與業內同行非常接近。但是,從長遠來看,收入萎縮不太可能導致市銷率穩定。由於疲軟的前景壓低了股價,即使僅僅維持這些價格也可能難以實現。
德納利療法的市銷率對投資者意味着什麼?
我們可以說,市銷比率的力量主要不是作爲一種估值工具,而是用來衡量當前的投資者情緒和未來預期。
由於收入預測低於該行業的其他部門,因此德納利療法的市銷率處於較低水平也就不足爲奇了。由於業內其他公司都在預測收入增長,德納利治療公司的糟糕前景證明了其低市銷率是合理的。在這種情況下,很難看到股價在不久的將來強勁上漲。
你應該時刻考慮風險。舉個例子,我們發現了你應該注意的德納利療法的4個警告信號。
如果你喜歡實力雄厚的公司盈利,那麼你會想看看這份以低市盈率(但已證明可以增加收益)的有趣公司的免費名單。
對這篇文章有反饋嗎?對內容感到擔憂?直接聯繫我們。 或者,給編輯團隊 (at) simplywallst.com 發送電子郵件。
Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。
譯文內容由第三人軟體翻譯。
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