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There May Be Underlying Issues With The Quality Of Zhejiang Taihua New MaterialLtd's (SHSE:603055) Earnings

There May Be Underlying Issues With The Quality Of Zhejiang Taihua New MaterialLtd's (SHSE:603055) Earnings

浙江泰華新材料有限公司(SHSE: 603055)收益的質量可能存在潛在問題
Simply Wall St ·  04/15 14:32

Unsurprisingly, Zhejiang Taihua New Material Co.,Ltd's (SHSE:603055) stock price was strong on the back of its healthy earnings report. However, we think that shareholders may be missing some concerning details in the numbers.

不出所料,浙江泰華新材料有限公司,Ltd(上海證券交易所股票代碼:603055)的股價因其健康的收益報告而表現強勁。但是,我們認爲股東們可能遺漏了一些與數字相關的細節。

earnings-and-revenue-history
SHSE:603055 Earnings and Revenue History April 15th 2024
SHSE: 603055 2024 年 4 月 15 日的收益和收入歷史記錄

Examining Cashflow Against Zhejiang Taihua New MaterialLtd's Earnings

根據浙江臺華新材有限公司的收益檢查現金流

In high finance, the key ratio used to measure how well a company converts reported profits into free cash flow (FCF) is the accrual ratio (from cashflow). In plain english, this ratio subtracts FCF from net profit, and divides that number by the company's average operating assets over that period. You could think of the accrual ratio from cashflow as the 'non-FCF profit ratio'.

在高金融領域,用於衡量公司將申報的利潤轉化爲自由現金流(FCF)的效果的關鍵比率是應計比率(來自現金流)。簡而言之,該比率從淨利潤中減去FCF,然後將該數字除以公司在此期間的平均運營資產。你可以將現金流的應計比率視爲 “非FCF利潤率”。

That means a negative accrual ratio is a good thing, because it shows that the company is bringing in more free cash flow than its profit would suggest. While having an accrual ratio above zero is of little concern, we do think it's worth noting when a company has a relatively high accrual ratio. That's because some academic studies have suggested that high accruals ratios tend to lead to lower profit or less profit growth.

這意味着負應計比率是一件好事,因爲它表明該公司帶來的自由現金流超出了其利潤所暗示的範圍。儘管應計比率高於零並不令人擔憂,但我們確實認爲,當公司的應計比率相對較高時,值得注意。那是因爲一些學術研究表明,高應計比率往往會導致利潤下降或利潤增長放緩。

Zhejiang Taihua New MaterialLtd has an accrual ratio of 0.30 for the year to December 2023. We can therefore deduce that its free cash flow fell well short of covering its statutory profit, suggesting we might want to think twice before putting a lot of weight on the latter. In the last twelve months it actually had negative free cash flow, with an outflow of CN¥1.5b despite its profit of CN¥449.1m, mentioned above. We also note that Zhejiang Taihua New MaterialLtd's free cash flow was actually negative last year as well, so we could understand if shareholders were bothered by its outflow of CN¥1.5b. Having said that, there is more to the story. We can see that unusual items have impacted its statutory profit, and therefore the accrual ratio.

截至2023年12月的一年中,浙江泰華新材料有限公司的應計比率爲0.30。因此,我們可以推斷出其自由現金流遠不足以支付其法定利潤,這表明在對後者進行大量考慮之前,我們可能需要三思而後行。在過去的十二個月裏,它實際上有 負面的 自由現金流,儘管利潤爲4.491億元人民幣,但流出量仍爲15億元人民幣,如上所述。我們還注意到,浙江泰華新材股份有限公司去年的自由現金流實際上也是負的,因此我們可以理解股東是否被其15億元人民幣的流出所困擾。話雖如此,故事還有更多。我們可以看到,不尋常的項目影響了其法定利潤,從而影響了應計比率。

That might leave you wondering what analysts are forecasting in terms of future profitability. Luckily, you can click here to see an interactive graph depicting future profitability, based on their estimates.

這可能會讓你想知道分析師對未來盈利能力的預測。幸運的是,您可以單擊此處查看根據他們的估計描繪未來盈利能力的交互式圖表。

How Do Unusual Items Influence Profit?

不尋常的物品如何影響利潤?

Given the accrual ratio, it's not overly surprising that Zhejiang Taihua New MaterialLtd's profit was boosted by unusual items worth CN¥104m in the last twelve months. While it's always nice to have higher profit, a large contribution from unusual items sometimes dampens our enthusiasm. When we analysed the vast majority of listed companies worldwide, we found that significant unusual items are often not repeated. Which is hardly surprising, given the name. Assuming those unusual items don't show up again in the current year, we'd thus expect profit to be weaker next year (in the absence of business growth, that is).

考慮到應計比率,在過去十二個月中,浙江泰華新材料有限公司的利潤因價值1.04億元人民幣的不尋常項目而提振也就不足爲奇了。雖然獲得更高的利潤總是件好事,但來自不尋常物品的巨額捐款有時會抑制我們的熱情。當我們分析全球絕大多數上市公司時,我們發現重大不尋常的事項往往不會重演。考慮到這個名字,這並不奇怪。假設這些不尋常的項目在本年度不會再次出現,因此我們預計明年的利潤將疲軟(也就是說,在業務沒有增長的情況下)。

Our Take On Zhejiang Taihua New MaterialLtd's Profit Performance

我們對浙江泰華新材料有限公司盈利表現的看法

Summing up, Zhejiang Taihua New MaterialLtd received a nice boost to profit from unusual items, but could not match its paper profit with free cash flow. Considering all this we'd argue Zhejiang Taihua New MaterialLtd's profits probably give an overly generous impression of its sustainable level of profitability. With this in mind, we wouldn't consider investing in a stock unless we had a thorough understanding of the risks. Be aware that Zhejiang Taihua New MaterialLtd is showing 3 warning signs in our investment analysis and 2 of those can't be ignored...

總而言之,浙江泰華新材料有限公司從不尋常的物品中獲得了不錯的利潤提振,但其紙面利潤無法與自由現金流相提並論。考慮到所有這些,我們認爲浙江泰華新材料有限公司的利潤可能給人一種對其可持續盈利水平的過於寬鬆的印象。考慮到這一點,除非我們對風險有透徹的了解,否則我們不會考慮投資股票。請注意,浙江泰華新材有限公司在我們的投資分析中顯示了3個警告信號,其中2個不容忽視...

Our examination of Zhejiang Taihua New MaterialLtd has focussed on certain factors that can make its earnings look better than they are. And, on that basis, we are somewhat skeptical. But there are plenty of other ways to inform your opinion of a company. For example, many people consider a high return on equity as an indication of favorable business economics, while others like to 'follow the money' and search out stocks that insiders are buying. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying.

我們對浙江泰華新材料有限公司的審查側重於某些可能使其收益看起來好於實際的因素。而且,在此基礎上,我們有些懷疑。但是,還有很多其他方法可以讓你對公司的看法。例如,許多人認爲高股本回報率是有利的商業經濟的標誌,而另一些人則喜歡 “關注資金”,尋找內部人士正在買入的股票。因此,你可能希望看到這份免費收藏的擁有高股本回報率的公司,或者這份內部人士正在購買的股票清單。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。

譯文內容由第三人軟體翻譯。


以上內容僅用作資訊或教育之目的,不構成與富途相關的任何投資建議。富途竭力但無法保證上述全部內容的真實性、準確性和原創性。
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