Market Might Still Lack Some Conviction On Cenntro Inc. (NASDAQ:CENN) Even After 35% Share Price Boost
Market Might Still Lack Some Conviction On Cenntro Inc. (NASDAQ:CENN) Even After 35% Share Price Boost
Cenntro Inc. (NASDAQ:CENN) shareholders have had their patience rewarded with a 35% share price jump in the last month. But the last month did very little to improve the 57% share price decline over the last year.
Even after such a large jump in price, it's still not a stretch to say that Cenntro's price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 2.6x right now seems quite "middle-of-the-road" compared to the Auto industry in the United States, where the median P/S ratio is around 2.3x. While this might not raise any eyebrows, if the P/S ratio is not justified investors could be missing out on a potential opportunity or ignoring looming disappointment.
What Does Cenntro's P/S Mean For Shareholders?
With revenue growth that's exceedingly strong of late, Cenntro has been doing very well. Perhaps the market is expecting future revenue performance to taper off, which has kept the P/S from rising. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's not quite in favour.
Although there are no analyst estimates available for Cenntro, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.Is There Some Revenue Growth Forecasted For Cenntro?
The only time you'd be comfortable seeing a P/S like Cenntro's is when the company's growth is tracking the industry closely.
If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 147%. The latest three year period has also seen an incredible overall rise in revenue, aided by its incredible short-term performance. So we can start by confirming that the company has done a tremendous job of growing revenue over that time.
This is in contrast to the rest of the industry, which is expected to grow by 13% over the next year, materially lower than the company's recent medium-term annualised growth rates.
In light of this, it's curious that Cenntro's P/S sits in line with the majority of other companies. It may be that most investors are not convinced the company can maintain its recent growth rates.
The Key Takeaway
Its shares have lifted substantially and now Cenntro's P/S is back within range of the industry median. Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.
We've established that Cenntro currently trades on a lower than expected P/S since its recent three-year growth is higher than the wider industry forecast. There could be some unobserved threats to revenue preventing the P/S ratio from matching this positive performance. It appears some are indeed anticipating revenue instability, because the persistence of these recent medium-term conditions would normally provide a boost to the share price.
You need to take note of risks, for example - Cenntro has 4 warning signs (and 2 which shouldn't be ignored) we think you should know about.
Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
上個月,Centro Inc.(納斯達克股票代碼:CENN)股東的耐心得到了回報,股價上漲了35%。但是上個月幾乎沒有改善去年股價下跌57%的局面。
即使在價格大幅上漲之後,可以毫不誇張地說,與美國汽車行業相比,Cenntro的2.6倍市銷率(或 “市銷率”)的中位數約爲2.3倍。儘管這可能不會引起任何關注,但如果市銷率不合理,投資者可能會錯過潛在的機會或無視迫在眉睫的失望情緒。
Centro的市銷率對股東意味着什麼?
由於最近收入增長異常強勁,Centro一直表現良好。也許市場預計未來的收入表現將逐漸減弱,這阻礙了市銷率的上升。如果你喜歡這家公司,你希望情況並非如此,這樣你就有可能在它不太受青睞的情況下買入一些股票。
儘管沒有分析師對Cenntro的估計,但請看一下這個免費的數據豐富的可視化圖表,看看該公司在收益、收入和現金流方面的積累情況。預計Centro的收入會增長嗎?
只有當公司的增長密切關注該行業時,你才能放心地看到像Centro這樣的市銷率。
如果我們回顧一下去年的收入增長,該公司公佈了147%的驚人增長。得益於其令人難以置信的短期表現,最近三年的總體收入也實現了驚人的增長。因此,我們可以首先確認該公司在這段時間內在增加收入方面做得非常出色。
這與該行業的其他部門形成鮮明對比,預計明年該行業將增長13%,大大低於該公司最近的中期年化增長率。
有鑑於此,奇怪的是,Centro的市銷率與其他大部分公司持平。可能是大多數投資者不相信該公司能夠維持其最近的增長率。
關鍵要點
其股價已大幅上漲,現在Cenntro的市銷率已恢復在行業中位數範圍內。僅使用市銷率來確定是否應該出售股票是不明智的,但它可以作爲公司未來前景的實用指南。
我們已經確定,Centro目前的市銷率低於預期,因爲其最近三年的增長高於整個行業的預測。可能存在一些未觀察到的收入威脅,使市銷售率無法與這種積極表現相提並論。看來有些人確實在預測收入不穩定,因爲近期這些中期狀況的持續下去通常會提振股價。
例如,你需要注意風險——Cenntro有4個警告信號(其中2個不容忽視),我們認爲你應該知道。
當然,具有良好收益增長曆史的盈利公司通常是更安全的選擇。因此,您可能希望看到這些免費收集的市盈率合理且收益增長強勁的其他公司。
對這篇文章有反饋嗎?對內容感到擔憂?直接聯繫我們。 或者,給編輯團隊 (at) simplywallst.com 發送電子郵件。
Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。
譯文內容由第三人軟體翻譯。
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