Knightscope, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:KSCP) 30% Jump Shows Its Popularity With Investors
Knightscope, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:KSCP) 30% Jump Shows Its Popularity With Investors
Knightscope, Inc. (NASDAQ:KSCP) shareholders are no doubt pleased to see that the share price has bounced 30% in the last month, although it is still struggling to make up recently lost ground. The bad news is that even after the stocks recovery in the last 30 days, shareholders are still underwater by about 2.1% over the last year.
Since its price has surged higher, given around half the companies in the United States' Commercial Services industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 1.2x, you may consider Knightscope as a stock to avoid entirely with its 4.9x P/S ratio. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly elevated P/S.
What Does Knightscope's Recent Performance Look Like?
Recent times have been advantageous for Knightscope as its revenues have been rising faster than most other companies. It seems the market expects this form will continue into the future, hence the elevated P/S ratio. However, if this isn't the case, investors might get caught out paying too much for the stock.
If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Knightscope.What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The High P/S?
There's an inherent assumption that a company should far outperform the industry for P/S ratios like Knightscope's to be considered reasonable.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 127% gain to the company's top line. Pleasingly, revenue has also lifted 284% in aggregate from three years ago, thanks to the last 12 months of growth. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been superb for the company.
Turning to the outlook, the next year should generate growth of 41% as estimated by the one analyst watching the company. With the industry only predicted to deliver 8.5%, the company is positioned for a stronger revenue result.
With this information, we can see why Knightscope is trading at such a high P/S compared to the industry. It seems most investors are expecting this strong future growth and are willing to pay more for the stock.
What We Can Learn From Knightscope's P/S?
Knightscope's P/S has grown nicely over the last month thanks to a handy boost in the share price. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.
We've established that Knightscope maintains its high P/S on the strength of its forecasted revenue growth being higher than the the rest of the Commercial Services industry, as expected. At this stage investors feel the potential for a deterioration in revenues is quite remote, justifying the elevated P/S ratio. It's hard to see the share price falling strongly in the near future under these circumstances.
You need to take note of risks, for example - Knightscope has 6 warning signs (and 3 which are a bit concerning) we think you should know about.
If you're unsure about the strength of Knightscope's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
Knightscope, Inc.(納斯達克股票代碼:KSCP)的股東們無疑很高興地看到股價在上個月反彈了30%,儘管它仍在努力彌補最近的跌勢。壞消息是,即使在過去30天股市回升之後,股東在過去一年中仍下跌了約2.1%。
由於其價格飆升,鑑於美國商業服務行業中約有一半的公司的市銷率(或 “市銷率”)低於1.2倍,您可以將Knightscope視爲完全避開的股票,其市銷率爲4.9倍。但是,我們需要更深入地挖掘,以確定市銷售率大幅上升是否有合理的依據。
Knightscope 最近的表現是什麼樣子?
最近對Knightscope來說是有利的,因爲其收入的增長速度快於大多數其他公司。市場似乎預計這種形式將持續到未來,因此市銷售率將上升。但是,如果不是這樣,投資者可能會陷入爲股票支付過多費用的困境。
如果你想了解分析師對未來的預測,你應該查看我們關於Knightscope的免費報告。收入增長指標告訴我們高市銷率有哪些?
人們固有的假設是,如果像Knightscope這樣的市銷率被認爲是合理的,公司的表現應該遠遠超過該行業。
回顧過去,去年的公司收入實現了127%的驚人增長。令人高興的是,得益於過去12個月的增長,總收入也比三年前增長了284%。因此,可以公平地說,該公司最近的收入增長非常好。
談到前景,一位關注該公司的分析師估計,明年將實現41%的增長。由於預計該行業的收入僅爲8.5%,該公司有望實現更強勁的收入業績。
有了這些信息,我們可以明白Knightscope爲何與行業相比市銷率如此之高。看來大多數投資者都在期待這種強勁的未來增長,並願意爲該股支付更多費用。
我們可以從 Knightscope 的市銷率中學到什麼?
得益於股價的顯著提振,Knightscope的市銷率在上個月增長良好。通常,我們傾向於限制使用市銷率來確定市場對公司整體健康狀況的看法。
我們已經確定,Knightscope之所以保持較高的市銷率,是因爲其預測的收入增長如預期的那樣高於商業服務行業的其他部門。在現階段,投資者認爲收入惡化的可能性微乎其微,這證明市銷售率上升是合理的。在這種情況下,很難看到股價在不久的將來會強勁下跌。
例如,你需要注意風險——Knightscope有6個警告標誌(還有3個有點令人擔憂),我們認爲你應該知道。
如果您不確定Knightscope的業務實力,爲什麼不瀏覽我們的互動式股票清單,其中列出了一些您可能錯過的其他公司,這些股票具有穩健的業務基本面。
對這篇文章有反饋嗎?對內容感到擔憂?直接聯繫我們。 或者,給編輯團隊 (at) simplywallst.com 發送電子郵件。
Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。
譯文內容由第三人軟體翻譯。
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