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The Three-year Underlying Earnings Growth at Medifast (NYSE:MED) Is Promising, but the Shareholders Are Still in the Red Over That Time

The Three-year Underlying Earnings Growth at Medifast (NYSE:MED) Is Promising, but the Shareholders Are Still in the Red Over That Time

Medifast(紐約證券交易所代碼:MED)的三年基礎收益增長令人鼓舞,但在此期間,股東仍處於虧損狀態
Simply Wall St ·  04/06 20:23

As every investor would know, not every swing hits the sweet spot. But really big losses can really drag down an overall portfolio. So take a moment to sympathize with the long term shareholders of Medifast, Inc. (NYSE:MED), who have seen the share price tank a massive 85% over a three year period. That would be a disturbing experience. And the ride hasn't got any smoother in recent times over the last year, with the price 66% lower in that time. Furthermore, it's down 49% in about a quarter. That's not much fun for holders. We really feel for shareholders in this scenario. It's a good reminder of the importance of diversification, and it's worth keeping in mind there's more to life than money, anyway.

正如每個投資者所知道的那樣,並非每一次波動都能達到最佳水平。但是,真正的巨額虧損確實會拖累整個投資組合。因此,花點時間同情Medifast, Inc.(紐約證券交易所代碼:MED)的長期股東,他們的股價在三年內大幅下跌了85%。那將是一次令人不安的經歷。而且在過去的一年裏,行程並沒有變得更加順利,同期價格下降了66%。此外,它在大約一個季度內下降了49%。對於持有者來說,這並不好玩。在這種情況下,我們真的對股東有同感。這很好地提醒了多元化的重要性,無論如何,值得記住的是,生活中存在的不僅僅是金錢。

If the past week is anything to go by, investor sentiment for Medifast isn't positive, so let's see if there's a mismatch between fundamentals and the share price.

如果過去一週有意義的話,投資者對Medifast的情緒並不樂觀,所以讓我們看看基本面與股價之間是否存在不匹配的情況。

While markets are a powerful pricing mechanism, share prices reflect investor sentiment, not just underlying business performance. One way to examine how market sentiment has changed over time is to look at the interaction between a company's share price and its earnings per share (EPS).

雖然市場是一種強大的定價機制,但股價反映了投資者的情緒,而不僅僅是潛在的業務表現。研究市場情緒如何隨着時間的推移而變化的一種方法是研究公司股價與其每股收益(EPS)之間的相互作用。

During the unfortunate three years of share price decline, Medifast actually saw its earnings per share (EPS) improve by 1.8% per year. This is quite a puzzle, and suggests there might be something temporarily buoying the share price. Or else the company was over-hyped in the past, and so its growth has disappointed.

在不幸的三年股價下跌中,Medifast的每股收益(EPS)實際上每年增長1.8%。這真是個難題,表明股價可能會暫時上漲。否則,該公司過去曾被過度炒作,因此其增長令人失望。

It's pretty reasonable to suspect the market was previously to bullish on the stock, and has since moderated expectations. However, taking a look at other business metrics might shed a bit more light on the share price action.

可以合理地懷疑市場此前曾看漲該股,此後又放緩了預期。但是,看看其他業務指標可能會爲股價走勢提供更多啓示。

We note that, in three years, revenue has actually grown at a 3.8% annual rate, so that doesn't seem to be a reason to sell shares. This analysis is just perfunctory, but it might be worth researching Medifast more closely, as sometimes stocks fall unfairly. This could present an opportunity.

我們注意到,在三年內,收入實際上以3.8%的年增長率增長,因此這似乎不是出售股票的理由。這種分析只是敷衍了事,但可能值得對Medifast進行更仔細的研究,因爲有時股票會不公平地下跌。這可能帶來機會。

The graphic below depicts how earnings and revenue have changed over time (unveil the exact values by clicking on the image).

下圖描述了收入和收入隨時間推移而發生的變化(點擊圖片即可顯示確切的數值)。

earnings-and-revenue-growth
NYSE:MED Earnings and Revenue Growth April 6th 2024
紐約證券交易所:MED 收益和收入增長 2024 年 4 月 6 日

You can see how its balance sheet has strengthened (or weakened) over time in this free interactive graphic.

您可以在這張免費的交互式圖片中看到其資產負債表如何隨着時間的推移而增強(或減弱)。

A Different Perspective

不同的視角

While the broader market gained around 28% in the last year, Medifast shareholders lost 64%. However, keep in mind that even the best stocks will sometimes underperform the market over a twelve month period. Regrettably, last year's performance caps off a bad run, with the shareholders facing a total loss of 11% per year over five years. We realise that Baron Rothschild has said investors should "buy when there is blood on the streets", but we caution that investors should first be sure they are buying a high quality business. It's always interesting to track share price performance over the longer term. But to understand Medifast better, we need to consider many other factors. For example, we've discovered 2 warning signs for Medifast (1 makes us a bit uncomfortable!) that you should be aware of before investing here.

去年整體市場上漲了約28%,而Medifast的股東卻下跌了64%。但是,請記住,即使是最好的股票有時也會在十二個月內表現不如市場。遺憾的是,去年的業績結束了糟糕的表現,股東在五年內每年面臨11%的總虧損。我們意識到羅斯柴爾德男爵曾說過,投資者應該 “在街頭流血時買入”,但我們警告說,投資者應首先確保他們購買的是高質量的企業。長期跟蹤股價表現總是很有意思的。但是,爲了更好地了解Medifast,我們需要考慮許多其他因素。例如,我們發現了 Medifast 的 2 個警告標誌(1 個讓我們有點不舒服!)在這裏投資之前,您應該注意這一點。

If you would prefer to check out another company -- one with potentially superior financials -- then do not miss this free list of companies that have proven they can grow earnings.

如果你想看看另一家公司——一家財務狀況可能優異的公司——那麼千萬不要錯過這份已經證明自己可以增加收益的公司的免費名單。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on American exchanges.

請注意,本文引用的市場回報反映了目前在美國交易所交易的股票的市場加權平均回報。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對這篇文章有反饋嗎?對內容感到擔憂?直接聯繫我們。 或者,給編輯團隊 (at) simplywallst.com 發送電子郵件。
Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。

譯文內容由第三人軟體翻譯。


以上內容僅用作資訊或教育之目的,不構成與富途相關的任何投資建議。富途竭力但無法保證上述全部內容的真實性、準確性和原創性。
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