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Motorola Solutions (NYSE:MSI) Could Easily Take On More Debt

Motorola Solutions (NYSE:MSI) Could Easily Take On More Debt

摩托罗拉解决方案(纽约证券交易所代码:MSI)可以轻松承担更多债务
Simply Wall St ·  04/02 19:13

The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. Importantly, Motorola Solutions, Inc. (NYSE:MSI) does carry debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

由伯克希尔·哈撒韦公司的查理·芒格支持的外部基金经理李露对此毫不掩饰,他说:“最大的投资风险不是价格的波动,而是你是否会遭受永久的资本损失。”因此,当你评估公司的风险时,看来聪明的货币知道债务(通常涉及破产)是一个非常重要的因素。重要的是,摩托罗拉解决方案公司(纽约证券交易所代码:MSI)确实有债务。但更重要的问题是:这笔债务会带来多大的风险?

When Is Debt Dangerous?

债务何时危险?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

当企业无法轻易履行这些义务时,无论是通过自由现金流还是以诱人的价格筹集资金,债务和其他负债就会面临风险。在最坏的情况下,如果公司无法向债权人付款,它可能会破产。但是,更频繁(但仍然代价高昂)的情况是,公司必须以低廉的价格发行股票,永久稀释股东,以支撑其资产负债表。当然,债务的好处是它通常代表廉价资本,尤其是当它用高回报率进行再投资的能力取代了公司的稀释时。考虑公司债务水平的第一步是将其现金和债务放在一起考虑。

How Much Debt Does Motorola Solutions Carry?

摩托罗拉解决方案背负了多少债务?

The chart below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Motorola Solutions had US$6.02b in debt in December 2023; about the same as the year before. However, it does have US$1.71b in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about US$4.31b.

您可以点击下图以获取更多详细信息,该图表显示,摩托罗拉解决方案在2023年12月的债务为60.2亿美元;与前一年大致相同。但是,它确实有17.1亿美元的现金抵消了这一点,净负债约为43.1亿美元。

debt-equity-history-analysis
NYSE:MSI Debt to Equity History April 2nd 2024
纽约证券交易所:MSI 债权比率历史记录 2024 年 4 月 2 日

How Healthy Is Motorola Solutions' Balance Sheet?

摩托罗拉解决方案的资产负债表有多健康?

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Motorola Solutions had liabilities of US$5.74b due within 12 months and liabilities of US$6.86b due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of US$1.71b as well as receivables valued at US$2.85b due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by US$8.04b.

放大最新的资产负债表数据,我们可以看出,摩托罗拉解决方案在12个月内到期的负债为57.4亿美元,之后到期的负债为68.6亿美元。除这些债务外,它有17.1亿美元的现金以及价值28.5亿美元的应收账款将在12个月内到期。因此,其负债超过其现金和(短期)应收账款总额80.4亿美元。

Of course, Motorola Solutions has a titanic market capitalization of US$59.1b, so these liabilities are probably manageable. But there are sufficient liabilities that we would certainly recommend shareholders continue to monitor the balance sheet, going forward.

当然,摩托罗拉解决方案的市值高达591亿美元,因此这些负债可能是可以控制的。但是,有足够的负债,我们肯定会建议股东今后继续监督资产负债表。

We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.

我们通过以下方法来衡量公司的债务负担与其盈利能力:将其净负债除以利息、税项、折旧和摊销前的收益(EBITDA),并计算其利息和税前收益(EBIT)支付利息支出(利息保障)的难易程度。这样,我们既考虑债务的绝对数量,也考虑为债务支付的利率。

Motorola Solutions's net debt to EBITDA ratio of about 1.5 suggests only moderate use of debt. And its strong interest cover of 11.4 times, makes us even more comfortable. Also positive, Motorola Solutions grew its EBIT by 21% in the last year, and that should make it easier to pay down debt, going forward. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Motorola Solutions's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

摩托罗拉解决方案的净负债与息税折旧摊销前利润的比率约为1.5,这表明债务的使用量不大。而且其11.4倍的强劲利息覆盖率使我们更加自在。同样乐观的是,摩托罗拉解决方案的息税前利润在去年增长了21%,这将使未来更容易偿还债务。资产负债表显然是分析债务时需要关注的领域。但是,未来的收益比什么都更能决定摩托罗拉解决方案未来维持健康资产负债表的能力。因此,如果你想看看专业人士的想法,你可能会发现这份关于分析师利润预测的免费报告很有趣。

Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So the logical step is to look at the proportion of that EBIT that is matched by actual free cash flow. Over the most recent three years, Motorola Solutions recorded free cash flow worth 78% of its EBIT, which is around normal, given free cash flow excludes interest and tax. This free cash flow puts the company in a good position to pay down debt, when appropriate.

最后,公司只能用冷硬现金偿还债务,不能用会计利润偿还债务。因此,合乎逻辑的步骤是研究息税前利润与实际自由现金流相匹配的比例。在最近三年中,摩托罗拉解决方案记录的自由现金流占其息税前利润的78%,鉴于自由现金流不包括利息和税收,这几乎是正常的。这种自由现金流使公司处于有利地位,可以在适当的时候偿还债务。

Our View

我们的观点

Happily, Motorola Solutions's impressive conversion of EBIT to free cash flow implies it has the upper hand on its debt. And the good news does not stop there, as its interest cover also supports that impression! Zooming out, Motorola Solutions seems to use debt quite reasonably; and that gets the nod from us. After all, sensible leverage can boost returns on equity. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. We've identified 1 warning sign with Motorola Solutions , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

令人高兴的是,摩托罗拉解决方案令人印象深刻地将息税前利润转换为自由现金流,这意味着其债务占上风。好消息不止于此,因为它的兴趣封面也支持了这种印象!缩小规模,摩托罗拉解决方案似乎相当合理地使用债务;这得到了我们的点头。毕竟,合理的杠杆可以提高股本回报率。毫无疑问,我们从资产负债表中学到的关于债务的知识最多。但归根结底,每家公司都可以控制资产负债表之外存在的风险。我们已经确定了摩托罗拉系统的一个警告信号,了解它们应该是您投资过程的一部分。

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

如果你有兴趣投资能够在没有债务负担的情况下增加利润的企业,请查看这份资产负债表上有净现金的成长型企业的免费清单。

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