share_log

There May Be Underlying Issues With The Quality Of Hundsun Technologies' (SHSE:600570) Earnings

There May Be Underlying Issues With The Quality Of Hundsun Technologies' (SHSE:600570) Earnings

恒生科技(SHSE: 600570)的收益質量可能存在潛在問題
Simply Wall St ·  04/01 08:19

Investors were disappointed with Hundsun Technologies Inc.'s (SHSE:600570) earnings, despite the strong profit numbers. Our analysis uncovered some concerning factors that we believe the market might be paying attention to.

投資者對恒生科技公司感到失望。”s(上海證券交易所代碼:600570)的收益,儘管利潤數字強勁。我們的分析發現了一些我們認爲市場可能會關注的令人擔憂的因素。

earnings-and-revenue-history
SHSE:600570 Earnings and Revenue History April 1st 2024
SHSE: 600570 2024 年 4 月 1 日的收益和收入歷史記錄

A Closer Look At Hundsun Technologies' Earnings

仔細看看恒生科技的收益

One key financial ratio used to measure how well a company converts its profit to free cash flow (FCF) is the accrual ratio. The accrual ratio subtracts the FCF from the profit for a given period, and divides the result by the average operating assets of the company over that time. You could think of the accrual ratio from cashflow as the 'non-FCF profit ratio'.

用於衡量公司將其利潤轉換爲自由現金流(FCF)的情況的一個關鍵財務比率是應計比率。應計比率從給定時期的利潤中減去FCF,然後將結果除以該時間內公司的平均運營資產。你可以將現金流的應計比率視爲 “非FCF利潤率”。

Therefore, it's actually considered a good thing when a company has a negative accrual ratio, but a bad thing if its accrual ratio is positive. That is not intended to imply we should worry about a positive accrual ratio, but it's worth noting where the accrual ratio is rather high. That's because some academic studies have suggested that high accruals ratios tend to lead to lower profit or less profit growth.

因此,當公司的應計比率爲負時,這實際上被認爲是一件好事,但是如果應計比率爲正,則被認爲是一件壞事。這並不意味着我們應該擔心應計比率爲正,但值得注意的是,應計比率相當高的地方。那是因爲一些學術研究表明,高應計比率往往會導致利潤下降或利潤增長放緩。

Hundsun Technologies has an accrual ratio of 0.24 for the year to December 2023. Unfortunately, that means its free cash flow fell significantly short of its reported profits. In fact, it had free cash flow of CN¥357m in the last year, which was a lot less than its statutory profit of CN¥1.42b. Hundsun Technologies shareholders will no doubt be hoping that its free cash flow bounces back next year, since it was down over the last twelve months. Having said that, there is more to the story. We can see that unusual items have impacted its statutory profit, and therefore the accrual ratio.

截至2023年12月的一年中,恒生科技的應計比率爲0.24。不幸的是,這意味着其自由現金流遠低於其報告的利潤。實際上,它去年的自由現金流爲3.57億元人民幣,遠低於其14.2億元人民幣的法定利潤。自過去十二個月以來,恒生科技的股東們無疑希望明年其自由現金流能夠反彈。話雖如此,故事還有更多。我們可以看到,不尋常的項目影響了其法定利潤,從而影響了應計比率。

That might leave you wondering what analysts are forecasting in terms of future profitability. Luckily, you can click here to see an interactive graph depicting future profitability, based on their estimates.

這可能會讓你想知道分析師對未來盈利能力的預測。幸運的是,您可以單擊此處查看根據他們的估計描繪未來盈利能力的交互式圖表。

The Impact Of Unusual Items On Profit

不尋常物品對利潤的影響

Hundsun Technologies' profit suffered from unusual items, which reduced profit by CN¥191m in the last twelve months. In the case where this was a non-cash charge it would have made it easier to have high cash conversion, so it's surprising that the accrual ratio tells a different story. While deductions due to unusual items are disappointing in the first instance, there is a silver lining. We looked at thousands of listed companies and found that unusual items are very often one-off in nature. And that's hardly a surprise given these line items are considered unusual. Assuming those unusual expenses don't come up again, we'd therefore expect Hundsun Technologies to produce a higher profit next year, all else being equal.

恒生科技的利潤受到不尋常項目的影響,在過去的十二個月中,利潤減少了1.91億元人民幣。如果這是一筆非現金費用,則可以更輕鬆地實現高現金轉換,因此令人驚訝的是,應計比率講述了一個不同的故事。儘管由於不尋常項目而產生的扣除首先令人失望,但有一線希望。我們調查了數千家上市公司,發現不尋常的物品本質上往往是一次性的。鑑於這些單列項目被認爲不尋常,這並不奇怪。假設這些不尋常的支出不會再次出現,因此,在其他條件相同的情況下,我們預計恒生科技明年將實現更高的利潤。

Our Take On Hundsun Technologies' Profit Performance

我們對恒生科技盈利表現的看法

Hundsun Technologies saw unusual items weigh on its profit, which should have made it easier to show high cash conversion, which it did not do, according to its accrual ratio. Given the contrasting considerations, we don't have a strong view as to whether Hundsun Technologies's profits are an apt reflection of its underlying potential for profit. With this in mind, we wouldn't consider investing in a stock unless we had a thorough understanding of the risks. For example - Hundsun Technologies has 1 warning sign we think you should be aware of.

恒生科技看到不尋常的項目壓制了其利潤,這本來可以更容易地顯示出高現金轉化率,但根據其應計比率,恒生科技卻沒有這樣做。鑑於截然不同的考慮,我們對恒生科技的利潤是否恰當反映了其潛在的盈利潛力沒有強烈的看法。考慮到這一點,除非我們對風險有透徹的了解,否則我們不會考慮投資股票。例如,恒生科技有1個警告標誌,我們認爲你應該注意。

In this article we've looked at a number of factors that can impair the utility of profit numbers, as a guide to a business. But there are plenty of other ways to inform your opinion of a company. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying to be useful.

在這篇文章中,我們研究了許多可能損害利潤數字效用的因素,以此作爲企業的指南。但是,還有很多其他方法可以讓你對公司的看法。有些人認爲高股本回報率是優質業務的好兆頭。雖然可能需要你進行一些研究,但你可能會發現這份免費收集的擁有高股本回報率的公司,或者這份內部人士正在購買的股票清單很有用。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對這篇文章有反饋嗎?對內容感到擔憂?直接聯繫我們。 或者,給編輯團隊 (at) simplywallst.com 發送電子郵件。
Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。

譯文內容由第三人軟體翻譯。


以上內容僅用作資訊或教育之目的,不構成與富途相關的任何投資建議。富途竭力但無法保證上述全部內容的真實性、準確性和原創性。
    搶先評論