Not Many Are Piling Into Lion Asiapac Limited (SGX:BAZ) Stock Yet As It Plummets 26%

Simply Wall St ·  Mar 29 09:01

Lion Asiapac Limited (SGX:BAZ) shareholders that were waiting for something to happen have been dealt a blow with a 26% share price drop in the last month. The drop over the last 30 days has capped off a tough year for shareholders, with the share price down 30% in that time.

Although its price has dipped substantially, it's still not a stretch to say that Lion Asiapac's price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.5x right now seems quite "middle-of-the-road" compared to the Basic Materials industry in Singapore, where the median P/S ratio is around 0.8x. However, investors might be overlooking a clear opportunity or potential setback if there is no rational basis for the P/S.

SGX:BAZ Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry March 29th 2024

How Lion Asiapac Has Been Performing

Recent times have been quite advantageous for Lion Asiapac as its revenue has been rising very briskly. The P/S is probably moderate because investors think this strong revenue growth might not be enough to outperform the broader industry in the near future. If that doesn't eventuate, then existing shareholders have reason to be feeling optimistic about the future direction of the share price.

We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Lion Asiapac's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The P/S?

Lion Asiapac's P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's only expected to deliver moderate growth, and importantly, perform in line with the industry.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 51% gain to the company's top line. Pleasingly, revenue has also lifted 117% in aggregate from three years ago, thanks to the last 12 months of growth. So we can start by confirming that the company has done a great job of growing revenue over that time.

Comparing that to the industry, which is predicted to shrink 1.3% in the next 12 months, the company's positive momentum based on recent medium-term revenue results is a bright spot for the moment.

In light of this, it's peculiar that Lion Asiapac's P/S sits in line with the majority of other companies. It looks like most investors are not convinced the company can maintain its recent positive growth rate in the face of a shrinking broader industry.

The Final Word

With its share price dropping off a cliff, the P/S for Lion Asiapac looks to be in line with the rest of the Basic Materials industry. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

Our examination of Lion Asiapac revealed its growing revenue over the medium-term hasn't helped elevate its P/S above that of the industry, which is surprising given the industry is set to shrink. There could be some unobserved threats to revenue preventing the P/S ratio from outpacing the industry much like its revenue performance. One major risk is whether its revenue trajectory can keep outperforming under these tough industry conditions. At least the risk of a price drop looks to be subdued, but investors seem to think future revenue could see some volatility.

And what about other risks? Every company has them, and we've spotted 3 warning signs for Lion Asiapac (of which 2 are concerning!) you should know about.

It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So if growing profitability aligns with your idea of a great company, take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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