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Investing in Fidelity National Financial (NYSE:FNF) a Year Ago Would Have Delivered You a 59% Gain

Investing in Fidelity National Financial (NYSE:FNF) a Year Ago Would Have Delivered You a 59% Gain

一年前投資富達國家金融(紐約證券交易所代碼:FNF)將爲您帶來59%的收益
Simply Wall St ·  03/28 18:39

These days it's easy to simply buy an index fund, and your returns should (roughly) match the market. But if you pick the right individual stocks, you could make more than that. To wit, the Fidelity National Financial, Inc. (NYSE:FNF) share price is 53% higher than it was a year ago, much better than the market return of around 29% (not including dividends) in the same period. If it can keep that out-performance up over the long term, investors will do very well! The longer term returns have not been as good, with the stock price only 28% higher than it was three years ago.

如今,簡單地購買指數基金很容易,而且您的回報應該(大致)與市場相匹配。但是,如果你選擇正確的個股,你的收入可能不止於此。換句話說,富達國家金融公司(紐約證券交易所代碼:FNF)的股價比去年同期上漲了53%,遠高於同期約29%(不包括股息)的市場回報率。如果它能長期保持跑贏大盤的表現,那麼投資者就會做得很好!長期回報率並不那麼好,股價僅比三年前高出28%。

So let's assess the underlying fundamentals over the last 1 year and see if they've moved in lock-step with shareholder returns.

因此,讓我們評估過去一年的基本面,看看它們是否與股東回報步調一致。

There is no denying that markets are sometimes efficient, but prices do not always reflect underlying business performance. One flawed but reasonable way to assess how sentiment around a company has changed is to compare the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price.

不可否認,市場有時是有效的,但價格並不總是能反映潛在的業務表現。評估公司情緒變化的一種有缺陷但合理的方法是將每股收益(EPS)與股價進行比較。

Over the last twelve months, Fidelity National Financial actually shrank its EPS by 59%.

在過去的十二個月中,富達國民金融實際上將其每股收益縮減了59%。

So we don't think that investors are paying too much attention to EPS. Therefore, it seems likely that investors are putting more weight on metrics other than EPS, at the moment.

因此,我們認爲投資者對每股收益的關注不多。因此,目前投資者似乎更重視每股收益以外的指標。

Revenue was pretty flat year on year, but maybe a closer look at the data can explain the market optimism.

收入同比持平,但仔細研究數據也許可以解釋市場的樂觀情緒。

The company's revenue and earnings (over time) are depicted in the image below (click to see the exact numbers).

公司的收入和收益(隨着時間的推移)如下圖所示(點擊查看確切數字)。

earnings-and-revenue-growth
NYSE:FNF Earnings and Revenue Growth March 28th 2024
紐約證券交易所:FNF收益和收入增長 2024年3月28日

Balance sheet strength is crucial. It might be well worthwhile taking a look at our free report on how its financial position has changed over time.

資產負債表的強度至關重要。可能值得一看我們關於其財務狀況如何隨着時間的推移而變化的免費報告。

What About Dividends?

分紅呢?

When looking at investment returns, it is important to consider the difference between total shareholder return (TSR) and share price return. The TSR incorporates the value of any spin-offs or discounted capital raisings, along with any dividends, based on the assumption that the dividends are reinvested. It's fair to say that the TSR gives a more complete picture for stocks that pay a dividend. In the case of Fidelity National Financial, it has a TSR of 59% for the last 1 year. That exceeds its share price return that we previously mentioned. And there's no prize for guessing that the dividend payments largely explain the divergence!

在考慮投資回報時,重要的是要考慮兩者之間的區別 股東總回報 (TSR) 和 股價回報。基於股息再投資的假設,股東總回報率納入了任何分拆或貼現資本籌集的價值以及任何股息。可以公平地說,股東總回報率爲支付股息的股票提供了更完整的畫面。就富達國民金融而言,其過去1年的股東總回報率爲59%。這超過了我們之前提到的其股價回報率。而且,猜測股息支付在很大程度上解釋了這種分歧是沒有好處的!

A Different Perspective

不同的視角

We're pleased to report that Fidelity National Financial shareholders have received a total shareholder return of 59% over one year. Of course, that includes the dividend. That's better than the annualised return of 12% over half a decade, implying that the company is doing better recently. Someone with an optimistic perspective could view the recent improvement in TSR as indicating that the business itself is getting better with time. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. Even so, be aware that Fidelity National Financial is showing 3 warning signs in our investment analysis , you should know about...

我們很高興地向大家報告,富達全國金融的股東在一年內獲得了59%的總股東回報率。當然,這包括股息。這比五年來12%的年化回報率要好,這意味着該公司最近的表現更好。持樂觀態度的人可能會將最近股東總回報率的改善視爲業務本身隨着時間的推移而變得更好。儘管市場狀況可能對股價產生的不同影響值得考慮,但還有其他因素更爲重要。即便如此,請注意,富達國民金融在我們的投資分析中顯示出3個警告信號,您應該知道...

Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking elsewhere. So take a peek at this free list of companies we expect will grow earnings.

當然,通過尋找其他地方,你可能會找到一筆不錯的投資。因此,請看一下我們預計收益將增加的這份免費公司名單。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on American exchanges.

請注意,本文引用的市場回報反映了目前在美國交易所交易的股票的市場加權平均回報。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對這篇文章有反饋嗎?對內容感到擔憂?直接聯繫我們。 或者,給編輯團隊 (at) simplywallst.com 發送電子郵件。
Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。

譯文內容由第三人軟體翻譯。


以上內容僅用作資訊或教育之目的,不構成與富途相關的任何投資建議。富途竭力但無法保證上述全部內容的真實性、準確性和原創性。
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