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We Think Suzhou SONAVOX ElectronicsLtd (SHSE:688533) Can Stay On Top Of Its Debt

We Think Suzhou SONAVOX ElectronicsLtd (SHSE:688533) Can Stay On Top Of Its Debt

我們認爲蘇州索納沃克斯電子有限公司(上海證券交易所代碼:688533)可以繼續償還債務
Simply Wall St ·  03/28 13:02

Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. As with many other companies Suzhou SONAVOX Electronics Co.,Ltd. (SHSE:688533) makes use of debt. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

傳奇基金經理李露(由查理·芒格支持)曾經說過:“最大的投資風險不是價格的波動,而是你是否會遭受永久的資本損失。”當我們思考一家公司的風險有多大時,我們總是喜歡考慮其債務的用途,因爲債務過載可能導致破產。與許多其他公司一樣,蘇州索納沃克斯電子有限公司, Ltd.(上海證券交易所股票代碼:688533)使用債務。但是這筆債務是股東關心的問題嗎?

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

債務會帶來什麼風險?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

當企業無法通過自由現金流或以誘人的價格籌集資金來輕鬆履行這些義務時,債務和其他負債就會成爲風險。在最壞的情況下,如果公司無法向債權人付款,它可能會破產。但是,更常見(但仍然令人痛苦)的情況是,它必須以低廉的價格籌集新的股本,從而永久稀釋股東。當然,債務的好處在於它通常代表廉價資本,尤其是當它以高回報率進行再投資的能力取代公司的稀釋時。考慮公司的債務水平的第一步是同時考慮其現金和債務。

How Much Debt Does Suzhou SONAVOX ElectronicsLtd Carry?

蘇州索納沃克斯電子有限公司揹負了多少債務?

As you can see below, at the end of September 2023, Suzhou SONAVOX ElectronicsLtd had CN¥877.7m of debt, up from CN¥581.7m a year ago. Click the image for more detail. However, because it has a cash reserve of CN¥703.8m, its net debt is less, at about CN¥173.9m.

如下所示,截至2023年9月底,蘇州索納沃克斯電子有限公司的債務爲8.777億元人民幣,高於去年同期的5.817億元人民幣。點擊圖片查看更多細節。但是,由於其現金儲備爲7.038億元人民幣,其淨負債較少,約爲1.739億元人民幣。

debt-equity-history-analysis
SHSE:688533 Debt to Equity History March 28th 2024
SHSE: 688533 2024 年 3 月 28 日債務與股權比率的歷史記錄

How Healthy Is Suzhou SONAVOX ElectronicsLtd's Balance Sheet?

蘇州索納沃克斯電子有限公司的資產負債表有多健康?

The latest balance sheet data shows that Suzhou SONAVOX ElectronicsLtd had liabilities of CN¥925.0m due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥570.7m falling due after that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of CN¥703.8m as well as receivables valued at CN¥787.8m due within 12 months. So these liquid assets roughly match the total liabilities.

最新的資產負債表數據顯示,蘇州SONAVOX電子有限公司的負債爲9.25億元人民幣,此後到期的負債爲5.707億元人民幣。除這些債務外,它有7.038億元的現金以及價值7.878億元人民幣的應收賬款將在12個月內到期。因此,這些流動資產與總負債大致相當。

Having regard to Suzhou SONAVOX ElectronicsLtd's size, it seems that its liquid assets are well balanced with its total liabilities. So while it's hard to imagine that the CN¥4.20b company is struggling for cash, we still think it's worth monitoring its balance sheet.

考慮到蘇州SONAVOX電子有限公司的規模,其流動資產與總負債的平衡似乎良好。因此,儘管很難想象這家420億元人民幣的公司正在爲現金而苦苦掙扎,但我們仍然認爲值得監控其資產負債表。

We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).

我們使用兩個主要比率來告知我們相對於收益的債務水平。第一個是淨負債除以利息、稅項、折舊和攤銷前的收益(EBITDA),第二個是其利息和稅前收益(EBIT)覆蓋其利息支出(或簡稱利息保障)的多少倍。這種方法的優勢在於,我們既考慮了債務的絕對數量(包括淨負債與息稅折舊攤銷前利潤),也考慮了與該債務相關的實際利息支出(及其利息覆蓋率)。

Suzhou SONAVOX ElectronicsLtd has a low net debt to EBITDA ratio of only 0.77. And its EBIT covers its interest expense a whopping 23.2 times over. So we're pretty relaxed about its super-conservative use of debt. Better yet, Suzhou SONAVOX ElectronicsLtd grew its EBIT by 235% last year, which is an impressive improvement. That boost will make it even easier to pay down debt going forward. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Suzhou SONAVOX ElectronicsLtd's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

蘇州索納沃克斯電子有限公司的淨負債與息稅折舊攤銷前利潤的比率很低,僅爲0.77。其息稅前利潤高達23.2倍的利息支出。因此,我們對它超保守的債務使用相當放鬆。更好的是,蘇州索納沃克斯電子有限公司去年的息稅前利潤增長了235%,這是一個令人印象深刻的改善。這種提振將使未來償還債務變得更加容易。毫無疑問,我們從資產負債表中學到的關於債務的知識最多。但是,未來的收益比什麼都重要,將決定蘇州SONAVOX ElectronicsLtd未來維持健康資產負債表的能力。因此,如果您專注於未來,可以查看這份顯示分析師利潤預測的免費報告。

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So we clearly need to look at whether that EBIT is leading to corresponding free cash flow. Over the last three years, Suzhou SONAVOX ElectronicsLtd saw substantial negative free cash flow, in total. While investors are no doubt expecting a reversal of that situation in due course, it clearly does mean its use of debt is more risky.

但是我們最終的考慮因素也很重要,因爲公司無法用紙面利潤來償還債務;它需要冷硬現金。因此,我們顯然需要研究息稅前利潤是否會帶來相應的自由現金流。在過去的三年中,蘇州SONAVOX電子有限公司的自由現金流總額爲負數。儘管投資者無疑預計這種情況將在適當的時候逆轉,但這顯然意味着其使用債務的風險更大。

Our View

我們的觀點

Happily, Suzhou SONAVOX ElectronicsLtd's impressive interest cover implies it has the upper hand on its debt. But the stark truth is that we are concerned by its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow. All these things considered, it appears that Suzhou SONAVOX ElectronicsLtd can comfortably handle its current debt levels. On the plus side, this leverage can boost shareholder returns, but the potential downside is more risk of loss, so it's worth monitoring the balance sheet. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For instance, we've identified 1 warning sign for Suzhou SONAVOX ElectronicsLtd that you should be aware of.

令人高興的是,蘇州SONAVOX電子有限公司令人印象深刻的利息保障意味着其債務佔上風。但嚴峻的事實是,我們對其將息稅前利潤轉換爲自由現金流感到擔憂。考慮到所有這些因素,蘇州SONAVOX電子有限公司似乎可以輕鬆應對其當前的債務水平。從好的方面來看,這種槓桿作用可以提高股東的回報,但潛在的缺點是損失風險更大,因此值得關注資產負債表。毫無疑問,我們從資產負債表中學到的關於債務的知識最多。但歸根結底,每家公司都可以控制資產負債表之外存在的風險。例如,我們已經確定了蘇州索納沃克斯電子有限公司的一個警告標誌,你應該注意這個標誌。

When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.

當一切都說完之後,有時更容易將注意力集中在甚至不需要債務的公司上。讀者現在可以100%免費訪問淨負債爲零的成長型股票清單。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對這篇文章有反饋嗎?對內容感到擔憂?直接聯繫我們。 或者,給編輯團隊 (at) simplywallst.com 發送電子郵件。
Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。

譯文內容由第三人軟體翻譯。


以上內容僅用作資訊或教育之目的,不構成與富途相關的任何投資建議。富途竭力但無法保證上述全部內容的真實性、準確性和原創性。
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