share_log

Jiangsu JIXIN Wind Energy Technology's (SHSE:601218) Soft Earnings Are Actually Better Than They Appear

Jiangsu JIXIN Wind Energy Technology's (SHSE:601218) Soft Earnings Are Actually Better Than They Appear

江蘇吉信風能科技(SHSE: 601218)的軟收益實際上好於預期
Simply Wall St ·  03/23 08:10

Soft earnings didn't appear to concern Jiangsu JIXIN Wind Energy Technology Co., Ltd.'s (SHSE:601218) shareholders over the last week. We did some digging, and we believe the earnings are stronger than they seem.

軟收益似乎並未引起江蘇集信風能科技有限公司的關注。”s(上海證券交易所股票代碼:601218)上週的股東。我們進行了一些挖掘,我們認爲收益比看起來要強勁。

earnings-and-revenue-history
SHSE:601218 Earnings and Revenue History March 23rd 2024
SHSE: 601218 收益和收入歷史記錄 2024 年 3 月 23 日

Zooming In On Jiangsu JIXIN Wind Energy Technology's Earnings

放大江蘇集信風能科技的收益

In high finance, the key ratio used to measure how well a company converts reported profits into free cash flow (FCF) is the accrual ratio (from cashflow). The accrual ratio subtracts the FCF from the profit for a given period, and divides the result by the average operating assets of the company over that time. This ratio tells us how much of a company's profit is not backed by free cashflow.

在高級財務中,用於衡量公司將報告的利潤轉換爲自由現金流(FCF)的關鍵比率是應計比率(來自現金流)。應計比率從給定時期的利潤中減去FCF,然後將結果除以該時間內公司的平均運營資產。這個比率告訴我們,一家公司的利潤中有多少沒有自由現金流的支持。

Therefore, it's actually considered a good thing when a company has a negative accrual ratio, but a bad thing if its accrual ratio is positive. While it's not a problem to have a positive accrual ratio, indicating a certain level of non-cash profits, a high accrual ratio is arguably a bad thing, because it indicates paper profits are not matched by cash flow. Notably, there is some academic evidence that suggests that a high accrual ratio is a bad sign for near-term profits, generally speaking.

因此,當公司的應計比率爲負時,這實際上被認爲是一件好事,但如果其應計比率爲正,則是一件壞事。雖然正應計比率表明非現金利潤達到一定水平不是問題,但高應計比率可以說是一件壞事,因爲它表明紙面利潤與現金流不匹配。值得注意的是,有一些學術證據表明,總的來說,高應計率對短期利潤來說是個壞兆頭。

For the year to December 2023, Jiangsu JIXIN Wind Energy Technology had an accrual ratio of -0.12. That implies it has good cash conversion, and implies that its free cash flow solidly exceeded its profit last year. In fact, it had free cash flow of CN¥384m in the last year, which was a lot more than its statutory profit of CN¥131.3m. Jiangsu JIXIN Wind Energy Technology shareholders are no doubt pleased that free cash flow improved over the last twelve months.

截至2023年12月的一年中,江蘇吉信風能科技的應計率爲-0.12。這意味着它具有良好的現金轉化率,也意味着其去年的自由現金流穩步超過了利潤。實際上,它去年的自由現金流爲3.84億元人民幣,遠遠超過其1.313億元的法定利潤。毫無疑問,江蘇吉信風能科技股東對過去十二個月自由現金流的改善感到高興。

Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Jiangsu JIXIN Wind Energy Technology.

注意:我們始終建議投資者檢查資產負債表的實力。點擊此處查看我們對江蘇吉信風能科技的資產負債表分析。

Our Take On Jiangsu JIXIN Wind Energy Technology's Profit Performance

我們對江蘇集信風能科技盈利表現的看法

Jiangsu JIXIN Wind Energy Technology's accrual ratio is solid, and indicates strong free cash flow, as we discussed, above. Based on this observation, we consider it likely that Jiangsu JIXIN Wind Energy Technology's statutory profit actually understates its earnings potential! On the other hand, its EPS actually shrunk in the last twelve months. The goal of this article has been to assess how well we can rely on the statutory earnings to reflect the company's potential, but there is plenty more to consider. If you want to do dive deeper into Jiangsu JIXIN Wind Energy Technology, you'd also look into what risks it is currently facing. Case in point: We've spotted 1 warning sign for Jiangsu JIXIN Wind Energy Technology you should be aware of.

正如我們在上面討論的那樣,江蘇吉信風能科技的應計比率穩健,表明自由現金流強勁。基於這一觀察,我們認爲江蘇吉信風能科技的法定利潤實際上可能低估了其盈利潛力!另一方面,其每股收益實際上在過去十二個月中萎縮了。本文的目標是評估我們在多大程度上可以依靠法定收益來反映公司的潛力,但還有很多需要考慮的地方。如果你想更深入地了解江蘇吉信風能科技,你還需要研究它目前面臨的風險。一個很好的例子:我們發現了你應該注意的江蘇吉信風能科技的1個警告標誌。

This note has only looked at a single factor that sheds light on the nature of Jiangsu JIXIN Wind Energy Technology's profit. But there are plenty of other ways to inform your opinion of a company. For example, many people consider a high return on equity as an indication of favorable business economics, while others like to 'follow the money' and search out stocks that insiders are buying. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying to be useful.

本報告僅研究了揭示江蘇吉信風能科技利潤性質的單一因素。但是,還有很多其他方法可以讓你對公司的看法。例如,許多人認爲高股本回報率是有利的商業經濟的標誌,而另一些人則喜歡 “關注資金”,尋找內部人士正在買入的股票。雖然可能需要你進行一些研究,但你可能會發現這份免費收集的擁有高股本回報率的公司,或者這份內部人士正在購買的股票清單很有用。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對這篇文章有反饋嗎?對內容感到擔憂?直接聯繫我們。 或者,給編輯團隊 (at) simplywallst.com 發送電子郵件。
Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。

譯文內容由第三人軟體翻譯。


以上內容僅用作資訊或教育之目的,不構成與富途相關的任何投資建議。富途竭力但無法保證上述全部內容的真實性、準確性和原創性。
    搶先評論