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Xinhuanet (SHSE:603888) Jumps 3.2% This Week, Though Earnings Growth Is Still Tracking Behind Three-year Shareholder Returns

Xinhuanet (SHSE:603888) Jumps 3.2% This Week, Though Earnings Growth Is Still Tracking Behind Three-year Shareholder Returns

新華網(SHSE: 603888)本週上漲3.2%,儘管收益增長仍落後於三年股東回報
Simply Wall St ·  03/19 13:18

One simple way to benefit from the stock market is to buy an index fund. But many of us dare to dream of bigger returns, and build a portfolio ourselves. For example, Xinhuanet Co., Ltd. (SHSE:603888) shareholders have seen the share price rise 47% over three years, well in excess of the market decline (18%, not including dividends). On the other hand, the returns haven't been quite so good recently, with shareholders up just 4.2% , including dividends .

從股票市場中獲益的一種簡單方法是購買指數基金。但是我們中的許多人敢於夢想獲得更大的回報,並自己建立投資組合。例如,新華網有限公司(SHSE: 603888)股東的股價在三年內上漲了47%,遠遠超過了市場跌幅(18%,不包括股息)。另一方面,最近的回報並不那麼好,股東僅上漲了4.2%,包括股息。

Since the stock has added CN¥420m to its market cap in the past week alone, let's see if underlying performance has been driving long-term returns.

由於該股僅在過去一週的市值就增加了4.2億元人民幣,因此讓我們看看基礎表現是否推動了長期回報。

To paraphrase Benjamin Graham: Over the short term the market is a voting machine, but over the long term it's a weighing machine. One flawed but reasonable way to assess how sentiment around a company has changed is to compare the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price.

用本傑明·格雷厄姆的話來說:從短期來看,市場是一臺投票機器,但從長遠來看,它是一臺稱重機。評估公司情緒變化的一種有缺陷但合理的方法是將每股收益(EPS)與股價進行比較。

During three years of share price growth, Xinhuanet achieved compound earnings per share growth of 24% per year. The average annual share price increase of 14% is actually lower than the EPS growth. Therefore, it seems the market has moderated its expectations for growth, somewhat. Of course, with a P/E ratio of 53.67, the market remains optimistic.

在三年的股價增長中,新華網實現了每年24%的複合每股收益增長。14%的年平均股價漲幅實際上低於每股收益的增長。因此,市場似乎在某種程度上放緩了對增長的預期。當然,市盈率爲53.67,市場仍然樂觀。

The graphic below depicts how EPS has changed over time (unveil the exact values by clicking on the image).

下圖描述了 EPS 隨着時間的推移是如何變化的(點擊圖片可以看到確切的值)。

earnings-per-share-growth
SHSE:603888 Earnings Per Share Growth March 19th 2024
SHSE: 603888 每股收益增長 2024 年 3 月 19 日

Dive deeper into Xinhuanet's key metrics by checking this interactive graph of Xinhuanet's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

查看這張新華網收益、收入和現金流的交互式圖表,深入了解新華網的關鍵指標。

What About Dividends?

分紅呢?

When looking at investment returns, it is important to consider the difference between total shareholder return (TSR) and share price return. The TSR is a return calculation that accounts for the value of cash dividends (assuming that any dividend received was reinvested) and the calculated value of any discounted capital raisings and spin-offs. So for companies that pay a generous dividend, the TSR is often a lot higher than the share price return. In the case of Xinhuanet, it has a TSR of 51% for the last 3 years. That exceeds its share price return that we previously mentioned. The dividends paid by the company have thusly boosted the total shareholder return.

在考慮投資回報時,重要的是要考慮兩者之間的區別 股東總回報 (TSR) 和 股價回報。股東總回報率是一種回報計算方法,它考慮了現金分紅的價值(假設收到的任何股息都經過再投資)以及任何貼現資本籌集和分拆的計算價值。因此,對於支付豐厚股息的公司來說,股東總回報率通常遠高於股價回報率。就新華網而言,在過去三年中,其股東回報率爲51%。這超過了我們之前提到的其股價回報率。因此,該公司支付的股息提高了 股東回報。

A Different Perspective

不同的視角

It's good to see that Xinhuanet has rewarded shareholders with a total shareholder return of 4.2% in the last twelve months. That's including the dividend. Since the one-year TSR is better than the five-year TSR (the latter coming in at 2% per year), it would seem that the stock's performance has improved in recent times. Someone with an optimistic perspective could view the recent improvement in TSR as indicating that the business itself is getting better with time. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. Consider for instance, the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 4 warning signs with Xinhuanet (at least 1 which is potentially serious) , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

很高興看到新華網在過去十二個月中向股東提供了4.2%的總股東回報率。這包括股息。由於一年期股東總回報率好於五年期股東總回報率(後者爲每年2%),因此該股的表現似乎在最近有所改善。持樂觀態度的人可能會將最近股東總回報率的改善視爲業務本身隨着時間的推移而變得更好。儘管市場狀況可能對股價產生的不同影響值得考慮,但還有其他因素更爲重要。例如,以永遠存在的投資風險幽靈爲例。我們已經在Xinhuanet上發現了4個警告信號(至少一個可能很嚴重),了解它們應該是你投資過程的一部分。

If you are like me, then you will not want to miss this free list of growing companies that insiders are buying.

如果你像我一樣,那麼你不會想錯過這份業內人士正在收購的成長型公司的免費名單。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.

請注意,本文引用的市場回報反映了目前在中國交易所交易的股票的市場加權平均回報。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對這篇文章有反饋嗎?對內容感到擔憂?直接聯繫我們。 或者,給編輯團隊 (at) simplywallst.com 發送電子郵件。
Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。

譯文內容由第三人軟體翻譯。


以上內容僅用作資訊或教育之目的,不構成與富途相關的任何投資建議。富途竭力但無法保證上述全部內容的真實性、準確性和原創性。
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