Investors Still Aren't Entirely Convinced By Tuniu Corporation's (NASDAQ:TOUR) Revenues Despite 35% Price Jump
Investors Still Aren't Entirely Convinced By Tuniu Corporation's (NASDAQ:TOUR) Revenues Despite 35% Price Jump
Tuniu Corporation (NASDAQ:TOUR) shareholders would be excited to see that the share price has had a great month, posting a 35% gain and recovering from prior weakness. But the last month did very little to improve the 60% share price decline over the last year.
In spite of the firm bounce in price, there still wouldn't be many who think Tuniu's price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 1.7x is worth a mention when the median P/S in the United States' Hospitality industry is similar at about 1.3x. Although, it's not wise to simply ignore the P/S without explanation as investors may be disregarding a distinct opportunity or a costly mistake.
How Tuniu Has Been Performing
Recent times have been advantageous for Tuniu as its revenues have been rising faster than most other companies. Perhaps the market is expecting this level of performance to taper off, keeping the P/S from soaring. If the company manages to stay the course, then investors should be rewarded with a share price that matches its revenue figures.
If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Tuniu.What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The P/S?
The only time you'd be comfortable seeing a P/S like Tuniu's is when the company's growth is tracking the industry closely.
If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 140%. Still, revenue has fallen 2.0% in total from three years ago, which is quite disappointing. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing revenues over that time.
Turning to the outlook, the next year should generate growth of 38% as estimated by the lone analyst watching the company. That's shaping up to be materially higher than the 13% growth forecast for the broader industry.
With this in consideration, we find it intriguing that Tuniu's P/S is closely matching its industry peers. It may be that most investors aren't convinced the company can achieve future growth expectations.
The Bottom Line On Tuniu's P/S
Tuniu's stock has a lot of momentum behind it lately, which has brought its P/S level with the rest of the industry. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.
Looking at Tuniu's analyst forecasts revealed that its superior revenue outlook isn't giving the boost to its P/S that we would've expected. When we see a strong revenue outlook, with growth outpacing the industry, we can only assume potential uncertainty around these figures are what might be placing slight pressure on the P/S ratio. It appears some are indeed anticipating revenue instability, because these conditions should normally provide a boost to the share price.
A lot of potential risks can sit within a company's balance sheet. You can assess many of the main risks through our free balance sheet analysis for Tuniu with six simple checks.
If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Tuniu, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
途牛公司(納斯達克股票代碼:TOUR)的股東們會很高興看到股價經歷了一個不錯的月份,漲幅爲35%,並從先前的疲軟中恢復過來。但是上個月幾乎沒有改善去年股價下跌60%的局面。
儘管股價出現反彈,但當美國酒店業的市盈率中位數約爲1.3倍時,仍然沒有多少人認爲途牛1.7倍的市銷率(或 “市盈率”)值得一提。但是,不加解釋地忽略市銷率是不明智的,因爲投資者可能會忽視一個明顯的機會或一個代價高昂的錯誤。
途牛的表現如何
最近對途牛來說是有利的,因爲其收入的增長速度快於大多數其他公司。也許市場預計這種表現水平將逐漸減弱,從而防止市銷率飆升。如果公司設法堅持下去,那麼投資者應該獲得與其收入數字相匹配的股價作爲獎勵。
如果你想了解分析師對未來的預測,你應該查看我們關於途牛的免費報告。收入增長指標告訴我們有關市銷率的哪些信息?
只有當公司的增長密切關注該行業時,你才能放心地看到像途牛這樣的市銷率。
如果我們回顧一下去年的收入增長,該公司公佈了140%的驚人增長。儘管如此,總收入仍比三年前下降了2.0%,這非常令人失望。因此,不幸的是,我們必須承認,在此期間,該公司在增加收入方面做得不好。
談到前景,根據關注該公司的唯一分析師的估計,明年將實現38%的增長。這將大大高於整個行業13%的增長預期。
考慮到這一點,我們發現途牛的市銷率與業內同行非常接近,這很有趣。可能是大多數投資者不相信公司能夠實現未來的增長預期。
途牛市銷率的底線
途牛的股票最近勢頭強勁,這使其市銷率與業內其他公司相比有所上升。通常,在做出投資決策時,我們謹慎行事,不要過多地考慮市售比率,儘管這可以揭示其他市場參與者對公司的看法。
從途牛分析師的預測來看,其優異的收入前景並沒有像我們預期的那樣提振其市銷率。當我們看到強勁的收入前景,增長速度超過行業時,我們只能假設圍繞這些數字的潛在不確定性可能會給市銷率帶來輕微的壓力。看來有些人確實在預測收入不穩定,因爲這些條件通常應該會提振股價。
公司的資產負債表中可能存在許多潛在風險。您可以通過我們對途牛的免費資產負債表分析,通過六張簡單的支票來評估許多主要風險。
如果這些風險讓你重新考慮你對途牛的看法,請瀏覽我們的高質量股票互動清單,了解還有什麼。
對這篇文章有反饋嗎?對內容感到擔憂?直接聯繫我們。 或者,給編輯團隊 (at) simplywallst.com 發送電子郵件。
Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。
譯文內容由第三人軟體翻譯。
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