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Investors More Bullish on Heilongjiang Transport Development (SHSE:601188) This Week as Stock Hikes 12%, Despite Earnings Trending Downwards Over Past Three Years

Investors More Bullish on Heilongjiang Transport Development (SHSE:601188) This Week as Stock Hikes 12%, Despite Earnings Trending Downwards Over Past Three Years

儘管過去三年收益呈下降趨勢,但本週投資者更加看好黑龍江交通發展(SHSE: 601188),股市上漲了12%
Simply Wall St ·  02/25 08:14

It might be of some concern to shareholders to see the Heilongjiang Transport Development Co., Ltd. (SHSE:601188) share price down 17% in the last month. But that doesn't change the fact that the returns over the last three years have been pleasing. In fact, the company's share price bested the return of its market index in that time, posting a gain of 35%.

黑龍江交通發展股份有限公司(SHSE: 601188)的股價在上個月下跌了17%,這可能會引起股東的擔憂。但這並不能改變過去三年的回報令人愉快的事實。實際上,該公司的股價在當時超過了其市場指數的回報率,漲幅爲35%。

Since it's been a strong week for Heilongjiang Transport Development shareholders, let's have a look at trend of the longer term fundamentals.

對於黑龍江交通發展股東來說,這是強勁的一週,讓我們來看看長期基本面走勢。

To paraphrase Benjamin Graham: Over the short term the market is a voting machine, but over the long term it's a weighing machine. One way to examine how market sentiment has changed over time is to look at the interaction between a company's share price and its earnings per share (EPS).

用本傑明·格雷厄姆的話來說:從短期來看,市場是一臺投票機器,但從長遠來看,它是一臺稱重機。研究市場情緒如何隨着時間的推移而變化的一種方法是研究公司股價與其每股收益(EPS)之間的相互作用。

Over the last three years, Heilongjiang Transport Development failed to grow earnings per share, which fell 13% (annualized).

在過去三年中,黑龍江交通發展未能增長每股收益,下降了13%(按年計算)。

Thus, it seems unlikely that the market is focussed on EPS growth at the moment. Since the change in EPS doesn't seem to correlate with the change in share price, it's worth taking a look at other metrics.

因此,目前市場似乎不太可能將注意力集中在每股收益的增長上。由於每股收益的變化似乎與股價的變化無關,因此值得一看其他指標。

The modest 1.6% dividend yield is unlikely to be propping up the share price. You can only imagine how long term shareholders feel about the declining revenue trend (slipping at 14% per year). The only thing that's clear is there is low correlation between Heilongjiang Transport Development's share price and its historic fundamental data. Further research may be required!

1.6%的適度股息收益率不太可能支撐股價。你只能想象長期股東對收入下降趨勢(每年下降14%)的看法。唯一顯而易見的是,黑龍江交通發展的股價與其歷史基本面數據之間的相關性很低。可能需要進一步研究!

You can see below how earnings and revenue have changed over time (discover the exact values by clicking on the image).

您可以在下面看到收入和收入如何隨着時間的推移而變化(點擊圖片了解確切的值)。

earnings-and-revenue-growth
SHSE:601188 Earnings and Revenue Growth February 25th 2024
SHSE: 601188 收益和收入增長 2024 年 2 月 25 日

We're pleased to report that the CEO is remunerated more modestly than most CEOs at similarly capitalized companies. But while CEO remuneration is always worth checking, the really important question is whether the company can grow earnings going forward. It might be well worthwhile taking a look at our free report on Heilongjiang Transport Development's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

我們很高興地向大家報告,首席執行官的薪酬比資本相似公司的大多數首席執行官要適中。但是,儘管首席執行官的薪酬總是值得檢查的,但真正重要的問題是公司未來能否增加收益。也許值得一看我們關於黑龍江交通發展收入、收入和現金流的免費報告。

What About Dividends?

分紅呢?

It is important to consider the total shareholder return, as well as the share price return, for any given stock. The TSR incorporates the value of any spin-offs or discounted capital raisings, along with any dividends, based on the assumption that the dividends are reinvested. Arguably, the TSR gives a more comprehensive picture of the return generated by a stock. In the case of Heilongjiang Transport Development, it has a TSR of 43% for the last 3 years. That exceeds its share price return that we previously mentioned. And there's no prize for guessing that the dividend payments largely explain the divergence!

重要的是要考慮任何給定股票的股東總回報率和股價回報率。基於股息再投資的假設,股東總回報率納入了任何分拆或貼現資本籌集的價值以及任何股息。可以說,股東總回報率更全面地描述了股票產生的回報。就黑龍江交通發展而言,其過去三年的股東總回報率爲43%。這超過了我們之前提到的其股價回報率。而且,猜測股息支付在很大程度上解釋了這種分歧是沒有好處的!

A Different Perspective

不同的視角

It's good to see that Heilongjiang Transport Development has rewarded shareholders with a total shareholder return of 10% in the last twelve months. That's including the dividend. Since the one-year TSR is better than the five-year TSR (the latter coming in at 4% per year), it would seem that the stock's performance has improved in recent times. In the best case scenario, this may hint at some real business momentum, implying that now could be a great time to delve deeper. It's always interesting to track share price performance over the longer term. But to understand Heilongjiang Transport Development better, we need to consider many other factors. For example, we've discovered 3 warning signs for Heilongjiang Transport Development (2 can't be ignored!) that you should be aware of before investing here.

很高興看到黑龍江交通發展在過去十二個月中向股東提供了10%的總股東回報率。這包括股息。由於一年期股東總回報率好於五年期股東總回報率(後者爲每年4%),因此該股的表現似乎在最近有所改善。在最好的情況下,這可能暗示着一些真正的業務勢頭,這意味着現在可能是深入研究的好時機。長期跟蹤股價表現總是很有意思的。但是,要更好地了解黑龍江交通發展,我們需要考慮許多其他因素。例如,我們發現了黑龍江交通發展的 3 個警示標誌(2 個不容忽視!)在這裏投資之前,您應該注意這一點。

But note: Heilongjiang Transport Development may not be the best stock to buy. So take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with past earnings growth (and further growth forecast).

但請注意:黑龍江交通發展可能不是最佳的買入股票。因此,來看看這份過去盈利增長(以及進一步增長預測)的有趣公司的免費清單。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.

請注意,本文引用的市場回報反映了目前在中國交易所交易的股票的市場加權平均回報。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對這篇文章有反饋嗎?對內容感到擔憂?直接聯繫我們。 或者,給編輯團隊 (at) simplywallst.com 發送電子郵件。
Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。

譯文內容由第三人軟體翻譯。


以上內容僅用作資訊或教育之目的,不構成與富途相關的任何投資建議。富途竭力但無法保證上述全部內容的真實性、準確性和原創性。
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