Vibrant Group Limited (SGX:BIP) May Have Run Too Fast Too Soon With Recent 25% Price Plummet
Vibrant Group Limited (SGX:BIP) May Have Run Too Fast Too Soon With Recent 25% Price Plummet
Unfortunately for some shareholders, the Vibrant Group Limited (SGX:BIP) share price has dived 25% in the last thirty days, prolonging recent pain. For any long-term shareholders, the last month ends a year to forget by locking in a 50% share price decline.
Even after such a large drop in price, it's still not a stretch to say that Vibrant Group's price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.2x right now seems quite "middle-of-the-road" compared to the Logistics industry in Singapore, where the median P/S ratio is around 0.5x. However, investors might be overlooking a clear opportunity or potential setback if there is no rational basis for the P/S.
Check out our latest analysis for Vibrant Group
How Vibrant Group Has Been Performing
For example, consider that Vibrant Group's financial performance has been poor lately as its revenue has been in decline. Perhaps investors believe the recent revenue performance is enough to keep in line with the industry, which is keeping the P/S from dropping off. If you like the company, you'd at least be hoping this is the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's not quite in favour.
Although there are no analyst estimates available for Vibrant Group, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.How Is Vibrant Group's Revenue Growth Trending?
In order to justify its P/S ratio, Vibrant Group would need to produce growth that's similar to the industry.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 29% decrease to the company's top line. At least revenue has managed not to go completely backwards from three years ago in aggregate, thanks to the earlier period of growth. So it appears to us that the company has had a mixed result in terms of growing revenue over that time.
Weighing that medium-term revenue trajectory against the broader industry's one-year forecast for expansion of 9.5% shows it's an unpleasant look.
With this in mind, we find it worrying that Vibrant Group's P/S exceeds that of its industry peers. It seems most investors are ignoring the recent poor growth rate and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent revenue trends is likely to weigh on the share price eventually.
The Bottom Line On Vibrant Group's P/S
Vibrant Group's plummeting stock price has brought its P/S back to a similar region as the rest of the industry. We'd say the price-to-sales ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.
Our look at Vibrant Group revealed its shrinking revenues over the medium-term haven't impacted the P/S as much as we anticipated, given the industry is set to grow. Even though it matches the industry, we're uncomfortable with the current P/S ratio, as this dismal revenue performance is unlikely to support a more positive sentiment for long. Unless the the circumstances surrounding the recent medium-term improve, it wouldn't be wrong to expect a a difficult period ahead for the company's shareholders.
There are also other vital risk factors to consider and we've discovered 2 warning signs for Vibrant Group (1 is concerning!) that you should be aware of before investing here.
If companies with solid past earnings growth is up your alley, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
對於一些股東來說,不幸的是,Vibrant Group Limited(新加坡證券交易所股票代碼:BIP)的股價在過去三十天中下跌了25%,延續了最近的痛苦。對於任何長期股東來說,最後一個月的股價下跌幅度鎖定了50%,從而結束了令人難忘的一年。
即使在價格大幅下跌之後,與新加坡物流業相比,Vibrant Group目前0.2倍的市銷率(或 “市盈率”)似乎相當 “中間路段”,可以毫不誇張地說,Vibrant Group的市銷率中位數約爲0.5倍。但是,如果市銷率沒有合理的基礎,投資者可能會忽略明顯的機會或潛在的挫折。
查看我們對Vibrant Group的最新分析
Vibrant Group 的表現如何
例如,假設Vibrant Group最近由於收入下降而財務表現不佳。也許投資者認爲最近的收入表現足以與該行業保持一致,這阻止了市銷率的下降。如果你喜歡這家公司,你至少希望情況確實如此,這樣你就有可能在它不太受青睞的情況下買入一些股票。
儘管尚無分析師對Vibrant Group的估計,但請看一下這個免費的數據豐富的可視化圖表,看看該公司的收益、收入和現金流是如何積累的。Vibrant Group的收入增長趨勢如何?
爲了證明其市銷率是合理的,Vibrant Group需要實現與該行業相似的增長。
回顧過去,去年的公司收入下降了29%,令人沮喪。至少由於較早的增長期,總收入沒有與三年前相比完全倒退。因此,在我們看來,該公司的收入增長好壞參半。
將中期收入軌跡與整個行業對9.5%的增長預測進行權衡,可以看出這是一個令人不快的表情。
考慮到這一點,我們感到擔憂的是,Vibrant Group的市銷率超過其行業同行。看來大多數投資者都忽視了最近的糟糕增長率,並希望公司的業務前景有所好轉。只有最大膽的人才會假設這些價格是可持續的,因爲近期收入趨勢的延續最終可能會壓制股價。
Vibrant Group 市銷率的底線
Vibrant Group股價的暴跌使其市銷率回到了與該行業其他公司相似的區域。我們可以說,市銷比率的力量主要不是作爲一種估值工具,而是用來衡量當前的投資者情緒和未來預期。
我們對Vibrant Group的調查顯示,鑑於該行業即將增長,其中期收入萎縮對市銷售率的影響沒有我們預期的那麼大。儘管它與行業相匹配,但我們對當前的市銷率感到不舒服,因爲這種慘淡的收入表現不太可能長期支持更積極的情緒。除非近期中期情況有所改善,否則預計公司股東將面臨艱難時期是沒有錯的。
還有其他重要的風險因素需要考慮,我們已經發現了 Vibrant Group 的 2 個警告信號(1 個令人擔憂!)在這裏投資之前,您應該注意這一點。
如果過去盈利增長穩健的公司處於困境,那麼你可能希望看到這些盈利增長強勁、市盈率低的其他公司的免費集合。
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Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。
譯文內容由第三人軟體翻譯。
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