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TONGDA(698.HK):POSITIVE ON EARNINGS RECOVERY IN FY24-25E AFTER DISPOSAL OF APPLE BUSINESS

TONGDA(698.HK):POSITIVE ON EARNINGS RECOVERY IN FY24-25E AFTER DISPOSAL OF APPLE BUSINESS

通達(698.HK):出售蘋果業務後,對24-25財年的收益回升持樂觀態度
招银国际 ·  2023/12/29 20:57

Tongda announced plans to dispose its Apple business and purchase back smart electrical appliances and motor businesses, in order to mitigate geopolitical risks and boost capital for future new business development. After our discussion with mgmt., we expect Apple biz disposal will allow Tongda to focus more on non-Apple customers' market share gains and boost capital for new businesses given the likely smartphone recovery in 2024, while business buyback should accelerate profitability improvement driven by order wins in FY24-25E. We lower FY23/25E EPS estimates by 4-19% to reflect the business disposal and cut interest expense assumptions. Our new TP of HK$0.155 is based on the same 6.0x FY24E P/E. Trading at 7.1x/4.0x FY23/24E P/E (a 10-year low), the stock has attractive risk/reward in our view.

通達宣佈計劃出售其蘋果業務並回購智能電器和汽車業務,以減輕地緣政治風險併爲未來的新業務發展增加資金。在與管理層討論後,我們預計,鑑於智能手機可能在2024年復甦,蘋果業務出售將使通達能夠更多地關注非蘋果客戶的市場份額收益,並增加新業務的資本,而業務回購將加速在 FY24-25E 訂單中贏得的推動下盈利能力的提高。我們將23/25財年的每股收益預期下調了4-19%,以反映業務處置並削減了利息支出假設。我們的新目標價爲0.155港元,基於 FY24E 市盈率的6.0倍。我們認爲,該股的交易價格爲7.1倍/4.0倍(10年低點),具有誘人的風險/回報。

Maintain BUY.

維持買入。

Apple biz disposal to boost capital for new business development. Tongda announced that its indirect wholly-owned subsidiary Tongda Precision had signed an agreement with the buyer (Tectum Global) to sell all equity of Tongda Xiamen Precision Rubber and all issued shares of TPT Singapore for a total consideration of HKD$2.015bn in cash. Tongda will use ~80% of net proceeds from the disposal for repaying floating-rate indebtedness to reduce finance cost expenditures and improve liquidity and gearing ratio, which we think will improve its balance sheet and overall profitability. We believe one of the main reasons for the disposal is the recent challenging geopolitical environment for production expansion in the overseas market, and we expect the disposal to be completed in 1H24E. In addition, we expect the disposal to drive smartphone casing growth as Tongda can focus more on non-Apple customers such as Honor, Xiaomi, Vivo and Transsion with share gains and an improving UTR amid smartphone market recovery in 2024.

蘋果出售業務以增加新業務開發的資金。通達宣佈,其間接全資子公司通達精密已與買方(Tectum Global)簽署協議,出售通達廈門精密橡膠的所有股權和新加坡TPT的所有已發行股份,總對價爲20.15億港元現金。通達將把出售淨收益的約80%用於償還浮動利率債務,以減少財務成本支出,提高流動性和資產負債率,我們認爲這將改善其資產負債表和整體盈利能力。我們認爲,出售的主要原因之一是最近海外市場生產擴張面臨挑戰的地緣政治環境,我們預計出售將在 1H24E 中完成。此外,我們預計此次出售將推動智能手機外殼的增長,因爲在2024年智能手機市場復甦的背景下,通達可以更多地關注榮耀、小米、Vivo和Transion等非蘋果客戶,股價上漲,UTR也將改善。

Smart electrical appliances and motors to contribute sales in 2024 after biz buyback. Tongda also announced that its indirect wholly-owned subsidiary, Tongda Intelligence (BVI) will acquire all shares of Credence Technology (small motors, small fans, micro motors and their precision manufacturing) from Tongda Group (Asia) Limited at HKD60mn. In addition, Tongda terminated the sale of shares of Stedfast Investments (smart electrical appliances) at the cost of HKD60mn. We expect smart electrical appliances and motor businesses to contribute sales of HKD250mn/350mn driven by major customer orders in FY24E.

企業回購後,智能電器和電機將在2024年爲銷售做出貢獻。通達還宣佈,其間接全資子公司通達智能(BVI)將以6,000萬港元從通達集團(亞洲)有限公司收購Credence Technology(小型電機、小型風扇、微型電機及其精密製造)的所有股份。此外,通達終止出售Stedfast Investments(智能電器)的股份,成本爲6000萬港元。我們預計,在 FY24E 主要客戶訂單的推動下,智能電器和汽車業務將貢獻2.5億港元/3.5億港元的銷售額。

Positive on household & sports goods and network communication sales growth in FY24E. Mgmt. expected household and sports goods sales to achieve double-digit growth in FY24E driven by customers' demand recovery and new factories' capacity ramp-up. Driven by WiFi 7 router applications popularization, the Paris Olympic Games in 2024 and a major US customer order win, mgmt. expects new network communication products to drive sales growth in FY24E.

FY24E 對家居和體育用品及網絡通信銷售增長持樂觀態度。Mgmt. 預計,在客戶需求復甦和新工廠產能增加的推動下,FY24E 的家居和體育用品銷售將實現兩位數的增長。在 WiFi 7 路由器應用普及、2024 年巴黎奧運會以及美國主要客戶訂單的推動下,mgmt. 預計,新的網絡通信產品將推動 FY24E 的銷售增長。

譯文內容由第三人軟體翻譯。


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