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LEE & MAN CHEMICAL(00746.HK):NEW MATERIALS BUSINESS TO DRIVE A NEW ROUND OF GROWTH INITIATE WITH "BUY"

LEE & MAN CHEMICAL(00746.HK):NEW MATERIALS BUSINESS TO DRIVE A NEW ROUND OF GROWTH INITIATE WITH "BUY"

理文化學(00746.HK):新材料業務將以 “買入” 爲起點,推動新一輪增長
国泰君安国际 ·  2023/12/27 16:26

Rating and TP: We initiate with a rating of "Buy" and a target price of HK$4.30, representing 2023/ 2024/ 2025 PER of 7.4x/ 3.8x/ 2.9x.

評級和目標價:我們初始評級爲 “買入”,目標價爲4.30港元,相當於2023年/ 2024/ 2025年市盈率爲7.4倍/3.8倍/2.9倍。

Our Views: 1) Lee & Man Chemical (LMC, or the "Company") is falsely regarded as a traditional chemical company with homogenous low-end products; 2) LMC's products matrix is improving with lower sensitivity to economic cycle compared with peers.

我們的觀點:1) 理文化學(LMC,或 “公司”)被錯誤地視爲一家擁有同質低端產品的傳統化工公司;2)與同行相比,LMC的產品矩陣正在改善,對經濟週期的敏感度較低。

Investment Theme: LMC, historically a basic chemical producer, is significantly undervalued given its expansion into the high-potential new materials market. Despite its traditional reliance on chemicals like caustic soda and hydrogen peroxide, its recent ventures into lithium-ion battery additives and high-end fluoropolymers signal a transformation. With the expected completion of the new materials projects in Jiangxi and Zhuhai by 2025, the Company's new materials revenue is forecasted to reach approximately HK$4.7 billion (RMB4.3 billion). The market will likely recognize the discrepancy once its full potential in new materials is operational, leading to a substantial revaluation.

投資主題:LMC歷來是基礎化學品生產商,鑑於其向高潛力新材料市場的擴張,其估值被嚴重低估。儘管其傳統上依賴燒鹼和過氧化氫等化學物質,但其最近在鋰離子電池添加劑和高端含氟聚合物領域的投資預示着一種轉型。預計到2025年,江西和珠海的新材料項目將完工,該公司的新材料收入預計將達到約47億港元(人民幣43億元)。一旦其在新材料方面的全部潛力投入運作,市場可能會意識到這種差異,從而導致大幅升值。

Catalysts: 1) New materials projects are set to commence production over 2024 and 2025; 2) prices of major products continue to recover, leading to higher profitability.

催化劑:1)新材料項目定於2024年和2025年開始生產;2)主要產品的價格繼續回升,從而提高盈利能力。

Risks: 1) Upcoming years may see an intense market competition due to significant capacity increases; 2) technological advancements in batteries could profoundly impact the demand for the Company's products.

風險:1)由於產能的大幅增加,未來幾年可能會出現激烈的市場競爭;2)電池的技術進步可能會對公司產品的需求產生深遠影響。

譯文內容由第三人軟體翻譯。


以上內容僅用作資訊或教育之目的,不構成與富途相關的任何投資建議。富途竭力但無法保證上述全部內容的真實性、準確性和原創性。
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